2,000 Year Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Reconstructions ----------------------------------------------------------------------- World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, Boulder and NOAA Paleoclimatology Program ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTE: PLEASE CITE ORIGINAL REFERENCE WHEN USING THIS DATA!!!!! NAME OF DATA SET: 2,000 Year Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Reconstructions LAST UPDATE: 8/2010. Proxy data zipfiles replaced; previously archived zipfiles contained proxy data series not used in the reconstructions. Original receipt by WDC Paleo 9/2008. CONTRIBUTOR: Michael E. Mann, The Pennsylvania State University IGBP PAGES/WDCA CONTRIBUTION SERIES NUMBER: 2008-084 WDC PALEO CONTRIBUTION SERIES CITATION: Mann, M.E., et al. 2008. 2,000 Year Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Reconstructions. IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology Data Contribution Series # 2008-084. NOAA/NCDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder CO, USA. ORIGINAL REFERENCE: Mann, M.E., Z. Zhang, M.K. Hughes, R.S. Bradley, S.K. Miller, S. Rutherford, and F. Ni. 2008. Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 105, No. 36, September 9, 2008. doi:10.1073/pnas.0805721105 ABSTRACT: Following the suggestions of a recent National Research Council report [NRC (National Research Council) (2006) Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years (Natl Acad Press, Washington, DC).], we reconstruct surface temperature at hemispheric and global scale for much of the last 2,000 years using a greatly expanded set of proxy data for decadal-to-centennial climate changes, recently updated instrumental data, and complementary methods that have been thoroughly tested and validated with model simulation experiments. Our results extend previous conclusions that recent Northern Hemisphere surface temperature increases are likely anomalous in a long-term context. Recent warmth appears anomalous for at least the past 1,300 years whether or not tree-ring data are used. If tree-ring data are used, the conclusion can be extended to at least the past 1,700 years, but with additional strong caveats. The reconstructed amplitude of change over past centuries is greater than hitherto reported, with somewhat greater Medieval warmth in the Northern Hemisphere, albeit still not reaching recent levels. GEOGRAPHIC REGION: Global PERIOD OF RECORD: 0 - 2006 AD FUNDING SOURCES: U.S. National Science Foundation, Atmospheric Sciences Program, Grant ATM-0542356 to M.E.M. and Z.Z.. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science (Biological and Environmental Research), Grant No. DE-FG02-98ER62604 to R.S.B.. U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Grant NA16GP2914, from Climate Change Data and Detection, to M.K.H. and F.N.. DESCRIPTION: Global and hemispheric surface temperature reconstructions for the past two millennia, plus the input data (instrumental data and proxy network) and code used to produce the reconstructions. Detailed "Readme" files are contained in each of the compressed archive files for the reconstructions, input data, and source code. Reconstructions are computed separately using either "composite plus scale" (CPS) or "error-in-variables" (EIV) regression methodology, for global and hemispheric extent, and utilizing land-only or land plus ocean instrumental calibration data sets. DATA: Compressed archive data files: recons-cps.zip CPS Temperature Reconstructions recons-eiv.zip EIV Temperature Reconstructions proxy-original.zip Original Proxy Data proxy-infilled.zip Infilled Proxy Data itrdb-matrix.zip Proxy Data Matrix instrument.zip Instrumental Data code.zip Computer Source Code