European Late Glacial Chironomid-Inferred July Temperature Heiri, O.; Brooks, S.J.; Renssen, H.; Bedford, A.; Hazekamp, M.; Ilyashuk, B.; Jeffers, E.S.; Lang, B.; Kirilova, E.; Kuiper, S.; Millet, L.; Samartin, S.; Toth, M.; Verbruggen, F.; Watson, J.E.; van Asch, N.; Lammertsma, E.; Amon, L.; Birks, H.H.; Birks, H.J.B.; Mortensen, M.F.; Hoek, W.Z.; Magyari, E.; Muñoz Sobrino, C.; Seppä, H.; Tinner, W.; Tonkov, S.; Veski, S; Lotter, A.F. Heiri, O. Brooks, S.J. Renssen, H. Bedford, A. Hazekamp, M. Ilyashuk, B. Jeffers, E.S. Lang, B. Kirilova, E. Kuiper, S. Millet, L. Samartin, S. Toth, M. Verbruggen, F. Watson, J.E. van Asch, N. Lammertsma, E. Amon, L. Birks, H.H. Birks, H.J.B. Mortensen, M.F. Hoek, W.Z. Magyari, E. Muñoz Sobrino, C. Seppä, H. Tinner, W. Tonkov, S. Veski, S Lotter, A.F. Air Temperature Reconstruction earth science/paleoclimate/climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology (surface air temperature,midge assemblage,null,degree Celsius,Jul,climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology,composited|corrected,null,N,corrected to modern sea level elevation) earth science/paleoclimate/climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology (surface air temperature,midge assemblage,null,degree Celsius,Jul,climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology,corrected,regression analysis,N,corrected to modern sea level elevation; weighted-averaging partial least-squares regression) earth science/paleoclimate/climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology (age,null,null,calendar year before present,null,climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology,null,null,N,null) earth science/paleoclimate/climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology (surface air temperature,midge assemblage,one root mean square error,degree Celsius,Jul,climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology,corrected,regression analysis,N,corrected to modern sea level elevation; RMSE of prediction; weighted-averaging partial least-squares regression) earth science/paleoclimate/climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology (surface air temperature,midge assemblage,unspecified margin of error,degree Celsius,Jul,climate reconstructions|insect|paleolimnology,composited|corrected,null,N,corrected to modern sea level elevation) earth science/paleoclimate/reconstructions (North Norway>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (West Norway>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (Baltic Region>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (Alpine Region>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (British Isles>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (Southern Europe>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) (Southwestern Europe>LATITUDE >LONGITUDE ) Comparisons of climate model hindcasts with independent proxy data are essential for assessing model performance in non-analogue situations. However, standardized palaeoclimate data sets for assessing the spatial pattern of past climatic change across continents are lacking for some of the most dynamic episodes of Earth's recent past. Here we present a new chironomid-based palaeotemperature dataset designed to assess climate model hindcasts of regional summer temperature change in Europe during the late-glacial and early Holocene. Latitudinal and longitudinal patterns of inferred temperature change are in excellent agreement with simulations by the ECHAM-4 model, implying that atmospheric general circulation models like ECHAM-4 can successfully predict regionally diverging temperature trends in Europe, even when conditions differ significantly from present. However, ECHAM-4 infers larger amplitudes of change and higher temperatures during warm phases than our palaeotemperature estimates, suggesting that this and similar models may overestimate past and potentially also future summer temperature changes in Europe. STUDY NOTES: Chironomid-inferred July air temperature estimates corrected to modern sea level elevation, for 31 individual locations plus 7 regional stacks. NCDC-Paleoclimatology https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data - Bauer Bruce Investigator : Heiri, O. Investigator : Brooks, S.J. Investigator : Renssen, H. Investigator : Bedford, A. Investigator : Hazekamp, M. Investigator : Ilyashuk, B. Investigator : Jeffers, E.S. Investigator : Lang, B. Investigator : Kirilova, E. Investigator : Kuiper, S. Investigator : Millet, L. Investigator : Samartin, S. Investigator : Toth, M. Investigator : Verbruggen, F. Investigator : Watson, J.E. Investigator : van Asch, N. Investigator : Lammertsma, E. Investigator : Amon, L. Investigator : Birks, H.H. Investigator : Birks, H.J.B. Investigator : Mortensen, M.F. Investigator : Hoek, W.Z. Investigator : Magyari, E. Investigator : Muñoz Sobrino, C. Investigator : Seppä, H. Investigator : Tinner, W. Investigator : Tonkov, S. Investigator : Veski, S Investigator : Lotter, A.F. 2015-10-08 ONLINE Files online, ASCII https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/19379 https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/seurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/ https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/sweurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/nnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/wnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/britisles2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/alpine2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/baltic2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/seurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/ https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/sweurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/nnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/wnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/britisles2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/alpine2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/baltic2014cit.txt English https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/19379 https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/seurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/ https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/sweurope2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/nnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/wnorway2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/britisles2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/alpine2014cit.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleolimnology/europe/heiri2014cit/baltic2014cit.txt Oliver Heiri, Stephen J. Brooks, Hans Renssen, Alan Bedford, Marjolein Hazekamp, Boris Ilyashuk, Elizabeth S. Jeffers, Barbara Lang, Emiliya Kirilova, Saskia Kuiper, Laurent Millet, Stéphanie Samartin, Monika Toth, Frederike Verbruggen, Jenny E. Watson, Nelleke van Asch, Emmy Lammertsma, Leeli Amon, Hilary H. Birks, H. John B. Birks, Morten F. Mortensen, Wim Z. Hoek, Enikö Magyari, Castor Muñoz Sobrino, Heikki Seppä, Willy Tinner, Spassimir Tonkov, Siim Veski, André F. Lotter2014Validation of climate model-inferred regional temperature change for late-glacial EuropeNature Communications4914510.1038/ncomms5914http://www.nature.com/ncomms/2014/140911/ncomms5914/full/ncomms5914.html START YEAR: 15000 cal yr BP * END YEAR: 11000 cal yr BP -9 42 28 71