Cook - Northern Hudson Valley historical - TSCA - ITRDB NY042 Cook, E.R.; Krusic, P.J. Cook, E.R. Krusic, P.J. hydrology TSCA Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr. eastern hemlock earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC6b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS5b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: TRL34; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC3b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC6a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS2a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS5a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS6a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS7b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: TRL10; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: TRL14; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC3a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS6b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (age,null,null,year Common Era,null,tree ring,null,null,N,null) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: TRL27; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: trl12; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC8a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: VSC8b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS2b; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree ring (total ring width,null,null,millimeter,null,tree ring,null,null,N,Tree ID: BS7a; units are 0.01 mm if end-of-series marker is 999 and 0.001 mm if end-of-series marker is -9999) earth science/paleoclimate/tree-ring (Northern Hudson Valley>LATITUDE 43.4>LONGITUDE -74) Six water emergencies have occurred since 1981 for the New York City region (NYC) despite: 1) its perhumid climate, 2) substantial conservation of water since 1979 and 3) meteorological data showing little severe or extreme drought since 1970. We reconstruct 472 years of moisture availability for the NYC watershed to place these emergencies in long-term hydroclimatic context. Using nested reconstruction techniques, 32 tree-ring chronologies comprised of 12 species account for up to 66.2% of the average May-August Palmer Drought Severity Index. Verification statistics indicate good statistical skill from 1531-2003. The use of multiple tree species, including rarely-used species that can sometimes occur on mesic sites like Liriodendron tulipifera, Betula lenta and Carya spp., seems to aid reconstruction skill. Importantly, the reconstruction captures pluvial events in the instrumental record nearly as well as drought events and is significantly correlated to precipitation over much of the northeastern US. While the mid-1960s drought is a severe drought in the context of the new reconstruction, the region experienced repeated droughts of similar intensity, but greater duration during the 16th and 17th centuries. The full record reveals a trend towards more pluvial conditions since ca 1800 that is accentuated by an unprecedented, 43-year pluvial event that continues through 2011. In the context of the current pluvial, decreasing water usage, but increasing extra-urban pressures, it appears that the water supply system for the greater NYC region could be severely stressed if the current water boom shifts towards hydroclimatic regimes like the 16th and 17th centuries. STUDY NOTES: This collection of Tsuga canadensis raw ring widths was made # from historical timbers and structures by E. Cook in and around # the greater northern Hudson Valley region of NY State. We cannot # say anything about forest conditions from which these samples # originally grew. However, given the basic life-history traits # and growth patterns of eastern hemlock, it is best to consider # detrending these raw data with closed-canopy or forest interior # conditions in mind. # # These data were combined with the Pack Forest (Tsuga canadensis) # data that are accessible in the ITRDB. NOAA Template Raw Measurements file added 2019-02-08. NCDC-Paleoclimatology https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data - Bauer Bruce Investigator : Cook, E.R. Investigator : Krusic, P.J. 2013-01-05 ONLINE Files online, ASCII https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/13984 https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042-noaa.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/correlation-stats/ny042.txt https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042-noaa.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/correlation-stats/ny042.txt English https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/13984 https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042-noaa.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/northamerica/usa/ny042.rwl https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/measurements/correlation-stats/ny042.txt Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston, and K.J. Vranes2013Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region?Journal of Climate261339-135410.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1 START YEAR: 1509 AD * END YEAR: 1825 AD -74 43.4 -74 43.4