noaa-recon-13196
Texas 500 Year Palmer Drought Severity Index Reconstructions
Cleaveland, M.K.; Votteler, T.H.; Stahle, D.K.; Casteel, R.C.; Banner, J.L.
Texas 500 Year Palmer Drought Severity Index Reconstructions
2012-08-07
NCDC-Paleoclimatology
ONLINE Files
Pending
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/13196
Investigator
M.K.
Cleaveland
Investigator
T.H.
Votteler
Investigator
D.K.
Stahle
Investigator
R.C.
Casteel
Investigator
J.L.
Banner
earth science
paleoclimate
climate reconstructions|tree ring
age,null,null,year Common Era,null,climate reconstructions|tree ring,null,null,N,null
earth science
paleoclimate
instrumental
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,instrumental,null,null,N,TX6
earth science
paleoclimate
climate reconstructions|tree ring
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,climate reconstructions|tree ring,null,null,N,TX5
earth science
paleoclimate
climate reconstructions|tree ring
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,climate reconstructions|tree ring,null,null,N,TX8
earth science
paleoclimate
instrumental
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,instrumental,null,null,N,TX8
earth science
paleoclimate
climate reconstructions|tree ring
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,climate reconstructions|tree ring,null,null,N,TX6
earth science
paleoclimate
instrumental
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,instrumental,null,null,N,TX5
earth science
paleoclimate
instrumental
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,instrumental,null,null,N,TX7
earth science
paleoclimate
climate reconstructions|tree ring
Palmer Drought Severity Index,null,null,dimensionless,Jun,climate reconstructions|tree ring,null,null,N,TX7
earth science
paleoclimate
reconstructions
ground water
geoscientificInformation
Palmer Drought Index Reconstruction
drought
1500 AD
2008 AD
450 cal yr BP
-58 cal yr BP
Complete
29
31.5
-103.5
-95.5
Continent
North America
United States Of America
Texas
Texas Climate Division 5 (Trans Pecos)>LATITUDE 31.5>LONGITUDE -103.5
Continent
North America
United States Of America
Texas
Texas Climate Division 6 (Edwards Plateau)>LATITUDE 31>LONGITUDE -100
Continent
North America
United States Of America
Texas
Texas Climate Division 7 (South Central)>LATITUDE 30.5>LONGITUDE -97.5
Continent
North America
United States Of America
Texas
Texas Climate Division 8 (Upper Coast)>LATITUDE 29>LONGITUDE -95.5
None
Please cite original publication, online resource, dataset and publication DOIs (where available), and date accessed when using downloaded data. If there is no publication information, please cite investigator, title, online resource, and date accessed. The appearance of external links associated with a dataset does not constitute endorsement by the Department of Commerce/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of external Web sites or the information, products or services contained therein. For other than authorized activities, the Department of Commerce/NOAA does not exercise any editorial control over the information you may find at these locations. These links are provided consistent with the stated purpose of this Department of Commerce/NOAA Web site.
English
DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI
National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data
DATA Center Contact
Bruce
Bauer
bruce.a.bauer@noaa.gov
paleo@noaa.gov
303-497-6280
303-497-6513
325 Broadway, E/NE31
Boulder
CO
80305-3328
USA
online
ASCII
Cleaveland, M.K., T.H. Votteler, D.K. Stahle, R.C. Casteel,
and J.L. Banner. 2011.
Extended Chronology of Drought in South Central, Southeastern
and West Texas.
Texas Water Journal, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 54-96, December 2011.
Short instrumental climatic records prevent appropriate statistical
and historical characterization of extreme events such as the extent,
duration, and severity of multiyear droughts. The best solution is
to extend climatic records through well-understood proxies of climate.
One of the best such proxies is climate-sensitive annual tree rings,
which can be dated precisely to the year, are easily sampled, and are
widely distributed. We created 3 new baldcypress chronologies in South
Central Texas and used them, along with existing Douglas-fir chronologies
from West Texas and a composite post oak chronology in Central Texas,
to calibrate 1931-2008 and reconstruct June Palmer Drought Severity
Index (PDSI) in Texas climate divisions 5 (Trans Pecos), 6 (Edwards
Plateau), 7 (S. Central), and 8 (Upper Coast) 1500-2008. We validated
the reconstructions against observed data not used in calibration.
Most water planners in Texas at present use the drought of the 1950s,
1950-1956, as a worst-case scenario. Our reconstructions show, however,
that a number of extended droughts of the past were longer and/or more
intense than the 1950s drought. Furthermore, extended droughts have
been a consistent feature of southwestern climate since the 800s,
including at least 4megadroughts 15- to 30-years long centered in
central or northern Mexico (Stahle et al. 2009; 2011b). This and
previous studies indicate that severe decadal-scale droughts have
occurred in Texas at least once a century since the 1500s. Current
use by water planners of the 1950s drought as a worst-case scenario,
therefore, is questionable. When water managers consider past droughts,
population growth, and climate change, it becomes highly probable
that the future poses unprecedented challenges.
STUDY NOTES: Tree-ring based Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) reconstructions
for 4 south-central Texas Climate Divisions over the past 500 years.
The areas of the PDSI reconstructions are climate divisions 5
(Trans Pecos), 6 (Edwards Plateau), 7 (S. Central), and 8 (Upper Coast).
The tree-ring data utilized in the reconstructions are archived
in the International Tree-Ring Data Bank (ITRDB), available at:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/treering.html
The chronologies used are:
Guadalupe River State Park, TADI, ITRDB TX052
Krause Springs, TADI, ITRDB TX053
San Bernard River (Bates Allen Park), TADI, ITRDB TX054
South Texas Composite post oak, QUST, ITRDB TX049
Big Bend National Park, PSME, ITRDB TX001
Guadalupe Peak, PSME, ITRDB TX046 (also recollected in 2008)
GET DATA
https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/reconstructions/northamerica/usa/texas/texas2011pdsi.txt
GET DATA
https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/treering/reconstructions/northamerica/usa/texas/texas2011pdsi.xls
USA/NOAA
DIF
Version 9.8.4
2019-05-30
2019-05-29