{"NOAAStudyId":"1000093","contactInfo":{"address":"325 Broadway, E/NE31","city":"Boulder","constraints":"Please cite original publication, online resource, dataset and publication DOIs (where available), and date accessed when using downloaded data. If there is no publication information, please cite investigator, title, online resource, and date accessed. The appearance of external links associated with a dataset does not constitute endorsement by the Department of Commerce/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of external Web sites or the information, products or services contained therein. For other than authorized activities, the Department of Commerce/NOAA does not exercise any editorial control over the information you may find at these locations. These links are provided consistent with the stated purpose of this Department of Commerce/NOAA Web site.","country":"USA","dataCenterUrl":"https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data","email":"paleo@noaa.gov","fax":"303-497-6513","longName":"National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce ","phone":"303-497-6280","postalCode":"80305-3328","shortName":"DOC/NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI","state":"CO","type":"CONTACT INFORMATION"},"contributionDate":"2013-04-10","dataPublisher":"NOAA","dataType":"TREE RING","dataTypeInformation":"https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data/datasets/tree-ring","difMetadataLink":"http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/metadata/published/paleo/dif/xml/noaa-tree-1000093.xml","doi":"https://doi.org/10.7289/V5M9070P","earliestYearBP":450,"earliestYearCE":1500,"entryId":"noaa-tree-1000093","funding":[],"investigators":"Speer, J.H.; Swetnam, T.W.","mostRecentYearBP":-30,"mostRecentYearCE":1980,"onlineResourceLink":"https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/1000093","originalSource":null,"publication":[{"abstract":"Episodic outbreaks of pandora moth (Coloradia pandora Blake), a forest insect that defoliates ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Dougl. ex Laws.) and other pine species in the western United States, have recurred several times during the 20th century in forests of south-central Oregon. We collected and analyzed tree-ring samples from stands affected by recent outbreaks of pandora moth to develop a long-term record of outbreaks.\r\nOutbreaks were evident in tree-ring series as a characteristic ‘‘signature’’ of sharply reduced latewood width within a ring, followed by reduced ring widths lasting 4–20 yr. We verified\r\nthat this tree-ring signature was unrelated to drought or other climatic fluctuations by comparing the timing of known and inferred outbreaks with independent climatic data. Using the pandora moth tree-ring signature, we reconstructed a 622-year record of 22\r\nindividual outbreaks in 14 old-growth ponderosa pine stands. This is currently the longest\r\nregional reconstruction of forest insect outbreak history in North America. Intervals between\r\npandora moth outbreaks were highly variable within individual forest stands, ranging from\r\n9 yr to 156 yr. Spectral analyses of a composite time series from all stands, however, showed\r\nmore consistent intervals between outbreaks, suggesting quasicyclical population dynamics\r\nat regional and decadal scales. Waveforms extracted from the regional outbreak time series\r\nhad periods ranging over ;18–24 yr (39.7% variance explained) and ;37–41 yr (37.3% variance explained). The periods and strengths of these cycles varied across the centuries, with the largest outbreaks occurring when relatively high-amplitude periods of the dominant cycles were in phase. Twentieth-century outbreaks were not more synchronous (extensive), severe, or longer in duration than outbreaks in previous centuries, but there was an unusual 60-yr reduction in regional activity during ;1920–1980. The changing dynamical behavior of pandora moth populations highlights the need to evaluate historical factors that may have influenced this system, such as climatic variations, forest fires, and human land uses.\r\nAlthough cyclical dynamics in animal populations have most commonly been attributed to endogenous, ecological processes (e.g., ‘‘delayed density dependence,’’ predators, pathogens, and parasites) our findings suggest that exogenous processes (e.g., climatic oscillations) may also be involved.\r\n","author":null,"citation":"Speer, J.H., T.W. Swetnam, B.E. Wickman, and A. Youngblood. 2001. Changes in pandora moth outbreak dynamics during the past 622 years. Ecology, 82(3): 679-697.","edition":null,"identifier":null,"issue":null,"journal":"Ecology","pages":null,"pubRank":"1","pubYear":2001,"reportNumber":null,"title":"Changes in pandora moth outbreak dynamics during the past 622 years","type":"publication","volume":null}],"reconstruction":"N","scienceKeywords":["PAGES NAmerica 2k","PAGES 2k Network"],"site":[{"NOAASiteId":"17093","geo":{"geoType":"Feature","geometry":{"coordinates":["43.72","-121.6"],"type":"POINT"},"properties":{"easternmostLongitude":"-121.6","maxElevationMeters":"1530","minElevationMeters":"1530","northernmostLatitude":"43.72","southernmostLatitude":"43.72","westernmostLongitude":"-121.6"}},"locationName":"Continent>North America>United States Of America>Oregon","mappable":"Y","paleoData":[{"NOAADataTableId":"1000081","coreLengthMeters":null,"dataFile":[{"NOAAKeywords":["earth science>paleoclimate>tree-ring>width>ring width"],"fileUrl":"https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/reconstructions/pages2k/namerica2k/nam-tr_120-or049-1500-1980.txt","linkText":"nam-tr_120-or049-1500-1980.txt","urlDescription":"Data","variables":[]}],"dataTableName":"NAm-TR_120-or049-1500-1980","dataTableNotes":"PAGES ID: NAm-TR_120; Correlation with Temperature: negative","earliestYear":1500,"earliestYearBP":450,"earliestYearCE":1500,"mostRecentYear":1980,"mostRecentYearBP":-30,"mostRecentYearCE":1980,"species":[{"commonName":["ponderosa pine","western yellow pine"],"scientificName":"Pinus ponderosa Douglas ex C. Lawson","speciesCode":"PIPO"}],"timeUnit":"AD"}],"siteName":"Experimental Forest"}],"studyCode":"OR049","studyName":"Speer - Experimental Forest - PIPO - OR049, PAGES North America 2K Version","studyNotes":null,"version":"1.0","xmlId":"12747"}