Tonsina Hill, Alaska - AK153 Additional Site Information Margaret S. Musser Alexander K. Stewart Measurement type: Total ring width Reference: Eifert, H. and Stewart, A. 2017. Infrastructure projects and their impact on mass movements: dendrogeomorphic evidence from the Trans-Alaskan pipeline, Tonsina, Alaska. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting (Seattle), Abstracts with Programs, v 49, n 6. Keywords: climate, black spruce, mass movements, permafrost, Trans-Alaskan Pipeline Notes: Climate control on the growth of Black Spruce, Tonsina, Alaska (1890-2015) Funding Agency: St. Lawrence University Center for Intercultural and International Studies COFECHA output: Chronology file name : AK153.CRN Measurement file name : AK153.RWL Date checked : 16OCT17 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1890 Ending year : 2015 Principal investigators: Margaret S. Musser Alexander K. Stewart Site name : Tonsina Hill Site location : Alaska Species information : PCMA BLACK SPRUCE Latitude : 6141 Longitude : -14510 Elevation : 230M Series intercorrelation: 0.483 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.181 Avg standard deviation : 0.342 Avg autocorrelation : 0.795 Number dated series : 54 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 11 Pct problem segments : 5.88 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Tonsina Hill 10:52 Mon 16 Oct 2017 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 THC01A 1916 2015 .48 .55 .67 .75 2 THC01B 1920 2015 .50 .63 .69 .76 3 THC02A 1922 2015 .40 .52 .62 .78 4 THC02B 1922 2015 .55 .60 .68 .71 5 THC03A 1919 2015 .15B .41 .54 .45 6 THC03B 1919 2015 .10B .34B .53 .70 7 THC04A 1904 2015 .41 .44 .24B .33 8 THC04B 1904 2015 .46 .52 .42 .51 9 THC05a 1904 2015 .38 .45 .56 .73 10 THC05b 1930 2015 .21B .49 .64 11 THC06 1942 2015 .61 .63 .38 12 THC06B 1942 2015 .56 .68 .74 13 THC07A 1902 2015 .39 .55 .61 .64 14 THC08ar 1900 2015 .21B .54 .57 .64 15 THC08B 1899 2015 .43 .39 .57 .62 .48 16 THC09b 1924 2015 .37 .37 .42 .33 17 thc10ar 1893 2015 .52 .42 .51 .51 .63 18 thc10br 1893 2015 .67 .69 .68 .59 .62 19 THC11A 1940 2015 .59 .63 .70 20 THC11B 1938 2015 .38 .41 .60 21 THC12A 1940 2015 .42 .49 .49 22 THC12B 1945 2015 .35 .43 .52 23 THC14a 1934 2015 .33 .48 .52 24 THC14b 1934 2015 .34 .40 .59 25 THC15a 1933 2015 .58 .57 .61 26 THC15b 1937 2015 .52 .66 .63 27 THC16A 1950 2015 .61 .54 28 THC16B 1950 2015 .56 .49 29 THC17a 1937 2015 .28B .57 .64 30 THC17b 1937 2015 .65 .58 .57 31 THC18A 1927 2015 .51 .63 .59 32 thc18br 1927 2015 .48 .53 .54 33 THC19A 1958 2015 .44 .40 34 THC19B 1959 2015 .51 .52 35 THC20a 1935 2015 .63 .65 .62 36 THC20b 1935 2015 .66 .65 .66 37 THC21A 1922 2015 .45 .47 .61 .62 38 THC21B 1921 2015 .34B .39 .49 .44 39 THC22A 1929 2015 .64 .74 .78 40 THC22B 1928 2015 .53 .60 .58 41 thc24a 1945 2015 .38 .40 .42 42 THC24B 1945 2015 .43 .41 .51 43 THC25A 1908 2015 .33 .51 .51 .48 44 THC25B 1908 2015 .33 .50 .51 .69 45 THC26A 1900 2015 .38 .38 .53 .68 46 THC26B 1899 2015 .45 .38 .35 .47 .48 47 THC27a 1907 2015 .37B .56 .56 .36 48 thc27br 1907 2015 .30B .47 .55 .45 49 THC28A 1944 2015 .62 .65 .53 50 THC28B 1944 2015 .66 .67 .51 51 THC29a 1930 2015 .38 .50 .47 52 THC29b 1929 2015 .39B .44 .39 53 THC30A 1930 2015 .56 .50 .50 54 THC30B 1890 2015 .36 .40 .53 .56 .62 Av segment correlation .48 .38 .49 .55 .57 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tonsina Hill 10:52 Mon 16 Oct 2017 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 THC01A 1916 2015 100 4 0 .644 .60 1.67 .305 .868 .195 2.51 .423 -.055 1 2 THC01B 1920 2015 96 4 0 .658 .65 1.83 .301 .870 .199 2.54 .495 -.039 2 3 THC02A 1922 2015 94 4 0 .646 .54 1.51 .255 .836 .184 2.74 .487 -.087 1 4 THC02B 1922 2015 94 4 0 .649 .58 1.42 .254 .840 .190 2.62 .406 -.066 1 5 THC03A 1919 2015 97 4 1 .296 .64 1.34 .265 .841 .178 2.53 .455 -.065 1 6 THC03B 1919 2015 97 4 2 .412 .83 2.06 .354 .815 .177 2.89 .603 .008 1 7 THC04A 1904 2015 112 4 1 .365 .91 2.06 .370 .820 .175 2.70 .408 -.031 1 8 THC04B 1904 2015 112 4 0 .484 .94 1.85 .304 .768 .169 2.70 .486 .007 1 9 THC05a 1904 2015 112 4 0 .565 .88 2.34 .365 .832 .176 2.79 .539 -.051 2 10 THC05b 1930 2015 86 3 1 .404 .75 1.23 .180 .592 .158 2.65 .484 -.012 1 11 THC06 1942 2015 74 3 0 .406 1.02 1.99 .332 .817 .142 2.74 .399 -.021 1 12 THC06B 1942 2015 74 3 0 .622 .90 1.90 .292 .648 .209 2.62 .459 -.046 1 13 THC07A 1902 2015 114 4 0 .518 .74 1.74 .381 .824 .207 2.47 .353 -.023 1 14 THC08ar 1900 2015 116 4 1 .519 .85 1.39 .235 .722 .165 2.45 .363 -.080 1 15 THC08B 1899 2015 117 5 0 .475 .66 1.98 .335 .824 .223 2.71 .471 -.051 2 16 THC09b 1924 2015 92 4 0 .244 .78 2.25 .543 .909 .235 2.57 .492 -.049 2 17 thc10ar 1893 2015 123 5 0 .580 .75 1.49 .308 .815 .208 2.73 .421 -.085 1 18 thc10br 1893 2015 123 5 0 .629 .90 1.82 .297 .770 .157 2.75 .427 -.013 2 19 THC11A 1940 2015 76 3 0 .607 1.02 2.50 .366 .771 .146 2.72 .445 -.016 1 20 THC11B 1938 2015 78 3 0 .523 .85 1.89 .291 .754 .162 2.59 .473 .004 1 21 THC12A 1940 2015 76 3 0 .422 1.04 3.05 .823 .941 .200 2.61 .463 .062 1 22 THC12B 1945 2015 71 3 0 .426 1.23 2.88 .594 .907 .166 2.59 .452 .055 1 23 THC14a 1934 2015 82 3 0 .400 1.06 2.48 .401 .753 .160 2.72 .479 .034 1 24 THC14b 1934 2015 82 3 0 .487 1.31 3.58 .460 .639 .152 2.80 .541 -.073 1 25 THC15a 1933 2015 83 3 0 .559 1.07 2.34 .550 .906 .165 2.53 .394 .029 1 26 THC15b 1937 2015 79 3 0 .568 1.21 7.29 1.014 .610 .194 2.66 .445 .035 1 27 THC16A 1950 2015 66 2 0 .531 .82 1.78 .357 .865 .179 2.71 .523 .048 1 28 THC16B 1950 2015 66 2 0 .538 .96 1.67 .261 .655 .186 2.81 .570 .038 1 29 THC17a 1937 2015 79 3 1 .367 .80 2.95 .544 .923 .179 2.60 .372 .079 1 30 THC17b 1937 2015 79 3 0 .599 .80 1.95 .333 .870 .166 2.68 .504 -.052 2 31 THC18A 1927 2015 89 3 0 .523 .90 2.83 .401 .810 .195 2.65 .444 -.060 3 32 thc18br 1927 2015 89 3 0 .505 .88 2.37 .368 .872 .165 2.57 .481 -.035 1 33 THC19A 1958 2015 58 2 0 .344 .67 1.16 .266 .868 .188 2.43 .411 -.094 2 34 THC19B 1959 2015 57 2 0 .472 .80 1.51 .299 .818 .169 2.80 .538 -.007 1 35 THC20a 1935 2015 81 3 0 .566 .92 1.93 .286 .664 .177 2.67 .565 .051 1 36 THC20b 1935 2015 81 3 0 .636 .78 1.94 .285 .724 .190 2.51 .407 .006 1 37 THC21A 1922 2015 94 4 0 .529 .80 1.67 .325 .848 .143 2.60 .436 -.049 1 38 THC21B 1921 2015 95 4 1 .355 .81 1.67 .390 .867 .176 2.56 .485 -.026 2 39 THC22A 1929 2015 87 3 0 .669 .80 1.34 .258 .829 .153 2.48 .465 -.045 1 40 THC22B 1928 2015 88 3 0 .498 .63 1.38 .234 .772 .177 2.54 .427 -.004 1 41 thc24a 1945 2015 71 3 0 .357 .99 1.98 .326 .718 .203 2.46 .344 -.053 1 42 THC24B 1945 2015 71 3 0 .462 .84 1.59 .242 .509 .210 2.70 .486 -.063 1 43 THC25A 1908 2015 108 4 0 .393 .83 1.62 .277 .693 .206 2.94 .648 -.003 1 44 THC25B 1908 2015 108 4 0 .502 .73 1.47 .266 .802 .199 2.71 .469 -.056 1 45 THC26A 1900 2015 116 4 0 .494 .82 2.07 .384 .837 .200 2.56 .407 -.068 1 46 THC26B 1899 2015 117 5 0 .407 .59 2.05 .386 .868 .215 2.55 .462 -.030 1 47 THC27a 1907 2015 109 4 1 .363 .87 1.67 .220 .706 .153 2.67 .483 -.069 1 48 thc27br 1907 2015 109 4 1 .368 .62 1.59 .248 .835 .192 2.80 .505 -.003 4 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tonsina Hill 10:52 Mon 16 Oct 2017 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 THC28A 1944 2015 72 3 0 .517 .99 2.07 .446 .885 .192 2.74 .471 -.007 1 50 THC28B 1944 2015 72 3 0 .506 .84 2.40 .458 .882 .162 2.77 .535 .025 1 51 THC29a 1930 2015 86 3 0 .403 .80 1.51 .213 .601 .160 2.47 .391 -.006 1 52 THC29b 1929 2015 87 3 1 .164 1.02 1.87 .317 .791 .165 2.41 .346 .021 1 53 THC30A 1930 2015 86 3 0 .465 .28 .46 .081 .689 .185 2.52 .427 .013 1 54 THC30B 1890 2015 126 5 0 .441 .31 .97 .168 .900 .176 2.73 .498 .005 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 4907 187 11 .483 .81 7.29 .342 .795 .181 2.94 .462 -.023