Chronology file name : CA647.CRN Measurement file name : CA647.RWL Date checked : 29JUL09 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1409 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: D.W.Stahle R.D.Griffin J.R.Edmondson Site name : Wright Mountain Site location : California Species information : QUDG BLUE OAK Latitude : 3634 Longitude : -12052 Elevation : 1219M Series intercorrelation: 0.814 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.494 Avg standard deviation : 0.418 Avg autocorrelation : 0.441 Number dated series : 61 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Wright Mountain 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 B3202A 1727 1940 .71 .80 .86 .90 .90 .87 .91 2 B3205A 1848 2003 .92 .93 .96 3 B3206A 1872 1999 .57 .61 4 B3207A 1875 2003 .93 5 B3208A 1850 2003 .78 .94 6 B3211A 1841 2003 .54 .81 .84 7 B3212A 1767 1865 .90 .90 .86 .84 8 B3213A 1828 2003 .93 .92 .90 9 B3214A 1870 2003 .82 .79 10 B3215A 1758 2003 .87 .84 .84 .73 .74 .90 11 B3216A 1804 2003 .48 .89 .91 .92 12 B3217A 1774 2003 .94 .94 .96 .93 .87 .88 13 B3218A 1877 1985 .93 15 B3221A 1647 2003 .54 .44 .45 .88 .84 .88 .90 .75 .74 .86 .90 16 B3225A 1747 2003 .89 .88 .92 .83 .75 .84 .88 17 B3229A 1880 2003 .89 18 B3230A 1875 2003 .76 19 B3231A 1820 1996 .91 .91 .88 .91 20 B3232A 1812 2003 .81 .92 .93 .88 21 B3233A 1725 2003 .72 .87 .85 .90 .95 .92 .86 22 B3233B 1879 2000 .68 23 B3234A 1625 1820 .72 .82 .83 .72 .68 .83 .81 24 B3236A 1673 1896 .74 .74 .64 .76 .89 .85 .80 .83 .89 25 B3237A 1818 2000 .82 .84 .88 .89 26 B3241A 1877 2003 .90 27 B3242A 1690 1920 .72 .77 .76 .89 .89 .90 .92 .80 .65 28 B3242B 1705 1930 .81 .82 .86 .92 .93 .91 .82 .74 29 B3243A 1734 1890 .61 .61 .55 .67 .75 .72 30 B3247B 1890 2002 .75 31 B3248A 1880 2003 .87 32 B3249A 1835 2003 .90 .91 .92 33 B3249B 1870 2003 .88 .90 34 B3253A 1874 2000 .90 .89 35 B3255A 1790 2003 .91 .93 .95 .92 .89 36 B3280A 1672 1880 .90 .91 .89 .86 .84 .86 .89 .89 .86 37 B3281A 1551 1823 .45 .44 .66 .92 .89 .83 .81 .86 .91 .67 38 B3281B 1551 1812 .49 .52 .72 .88 .86 .88 .92 .92 .91 .93 39 B3281C 1551 1792 .43 .54 .70 .92 .92 .91 .90 .87 .84 40 B3282A 1502 1620 .88 .78 .75 .61 41 B3282B 1502 1620 .88 .83 .84 .74 42 B3284A 1633 1880 .84 .90 .91 .88 .79 .83 .89 .91 .93 .90 43 B3284B 1629 1850 .80 .88 .93 .93 .83 .86 .89 .91 .91 44 B3287A 1710 1823 .85 .84 .86 .91 45 B3288A 1689 1850 .71 .88 .83 .85 .85 .86 .87 46 B3289A 1569 1857 .75 .79 .84 .92 .89 .88 .88 .87 .89 .90 .88 .87 47 B3289B 1567 1842 .49 .48 .47 .89 .89 .90 .89 .89 .91 .89 .87 48 B3290A 1528 1767 .73 .73 .78 .80 .83 .85 .78 .65 .66 49 B3290B 1528 1767 .76 .79 .83 .83 .82 .84 .82 .76 .77 50 B3292A 1409 1550 .82 .80 .86 .90 .52 .51 51 B3292B 1420 1566 .89 .87 .92 .91 .56 .42 52 B3293A 1594 1813 .79 .79 .87 .91 .91 .86 .83 .87 .74 53 B3293B 1593 1792 .85 .85 .85 .86 .89 .88 .82 .80 54 B3294A 1559 1700 .75 .83 .76 .82 .65 .64 55 B3295A 1446 1711 .87 .90 .90 .82 .75 .77 .78 .81 .88 .88 .88 56 B4395B 1446 1704 .84 .86 .88 .82 .73 .79 .77 .82 .89 .76 .76 57 B3296A 1790 1880 .88 .88 .68 .57 58 B3297A 1758 1913 .89 .92 .95 .96 .85 .84 59 B3298A 1670 1850 .85 .87 .85 .80 .87 .84 .87 .87 60 B3299A 1679 1854 .66 .75 .79 .79 .80 .84 .84 61 B3299B 1679 1842 .73 .78 .77 .80 .90 .90 Av segment correlation .86 .85 .89 .90 .75 .69 .67 .69 .75 .84 .83 .81 .83 .80 .85 .86 .85 .86 .84 .86 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Wright Mountain 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1900 1925 1950 1975 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 B3202A 1727 1940 .86 2 B3205A 1848 2003 .93 .94 .96 .94 3 B3206A 1872 1999 .78 .87 .83 4 B3207A 1875 2003 .79 .84 .91 .82 5 B3208A 1850 2003 .93 .92 .92 .90 6 B3211A 1841 2003 .73 .82 .85 .86 8 B3213A 1828 2003 .85 .91 .94 .95 9 B3214A 1870 2003 .77 .68 .52 .47 10 B3215A 1758 2003 .82 .86 .82 .76 11 B3216A 1804 2003 .91 .90 .91 .91 12 B3217A 1774 2003 .84 .88 .94 .94 13 B3218A 1877 1985 .92 .93 .76 14 B3219A 1915 1998 .49 .54 .60 15 B3221A 1647 2003 .91 .90 .92 .90 16 B3225A 1747 2003 .85 .91 .89 .90 17 B3229A 1880 2003 .89 .94 .92 .92 18 B3230A 1875 2003 .88 .90 .78 .78 19 B3231A 1820 1996 .85 .88 .92 20 B3232A 1812 2003 .83 .90 .84 .84 21 B3233A 1725 2003 .81 .78 .76 .76 22 B3233B 1879 2000 .64 .81 .87 .88 25 B3237A 1818 2000 .90 .92 .75 .74 26 B3241A 1877 2003 .87 .89 .90 .89 28 B3242B 1705 1930 .52 30 B3247B 1890 2002 .69 .64 .70 .72 31 B3248A 1880 2003 .91 .93 .92 .92 32 B3249A 1835 2003 .89 .93 .94 .93 33 B3249B 1870 2003 .86 .89 .72 .71 34 B3253A 1874 2000 .88 .60 .62 .61 35 B3255A 1790 2003 .84 .85 .78 .75 Av segment correlation .82 .85 .83 .83 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Wright Mountain 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 B3202A 1727 1940 214 8 0 .837 .82 2.07 .482 .628 .458 2.68 .461 -.030 1 2 B3205A 1848 2003 156 7 0 .934 .95 2.56 .479 .345 .484 2.79 .542 -.013 1 3 B3206A 1872 1999 128 5 0 .728 .65 2.26 .429 .391 .565 3.05 .545 .002 1 4 B3207A 1875 2003 129 5 0 .850 .43 .94 .201 .336 .455 2.62 .523 -.042 1 5 B3208A 1850 2003 154 6 0 .857 .59 3.33 .446 .205 .607 2.96 .551 -.037 1 6 B3211A 1841 2003 163 7 0 .743 .57 1.97 .362 .517 .492 2.68 .498 -.070 1 7 B3212A 1767 1865 99 4 0 .860 .68 4.59 .735 .779 .553 2.63 .430 -.030 1 8 B3213A 1828 2003 176 7 0 .917 .75 2.69 .539 .431 .581 2.62 .491 -.075 1 9 B3214A 1870 2003 134 6 0 .674 .59 1.86 .365 .309 .549 2.98 .599 -.015 1 10 B3215A 1758 2003 246 10 0 .809 .59 1.87 .353 .446 .484 2.69 .441 -.012 3 11 B3216A 1804 2003 200 8 0 .788 .97 2.25 .501 .300 .500 2.63 .498 -.016 1 12 B3217A 1774 2003 230 10 0 .905 .77 2.80 .549 .494 .547 2.74 .528 .024 1 13 B3218A 1877 1985 109 4 0 .847 .75 2.60 .461 .369 .515 2.83 .567 -.028 1 14 B3219A 1915 1998 84 3 0 .579 .83 2.31 .498 .265 .506 3.00 .636 .025 1 15 B3221A 1647 2003 357 15 0 .782 .65 1.86 .383 .383 .513 2.71 .423 .021 1 16 B3225A 1747 2003 257 11 0 .859 .54 2.24 .357 .253 .606 2.85 .572 -.002 1 17 B3229A 1880 2003 124 5 0 .904 .54 1.96 .377 .512 .558 2.71 .476 -.023 1 18 B3230A 1875 2003 129 5 0 .787 .48 2.00 .353 .503 .632 2.80 .625 -.053 1 19 B3231A 1820 1996 177 7 0 .891 .76 3.14 .522 .427 .545 2.90 .542 -.005 1 20 B3232A 1812 2003 192 8 0 .845 .76 2.48 .537 .429 .608 2.76 .514 -.050 1 21 B3233A 1725 2003 279 11 0 .828 .59 2.10 .399 .439 .536 2.79 .464 .004 1 22 B3233B 1879 2000 122 5 0 .779 .50 2.18 .388 .462 .594 2.80 .588 .008 1 23 B3234A 1625 1820 196 7 0 .756 .65 1.82 .336 .525 .394 2.52 .372 -.002 1 24 B3236A 1673 1896 224 9 0 .791 .49 1.27 .236 .372 .435 2.74 .430 .002 1 25 B3237A 1818 2000 183 8 0 .835 .63 1.80 .333 .318 .511 2.78 .452 .001 1 26 B3241A 1877 2003 127 5 0 .889 .89 2.62 .523 .541 .446 2.69 .469 .023 1 27 B3242A 1690 1920 231 9 0 .778 .61 2.53 .373 .489 .494 2.62 .442 -.013 1 28 B3242B 1705 1930 226 9 0 .788 .81 2.35 .541 .588 .488 2.57 .473 -.031 1 29 B3243A 1734 1890 157 6 0 .617 .65 2.00 .463 .808 .382 2.44 .265 -.050 1 30 B3247B 1890 2002 113 5 0 .729 .35 .99 .173 .405 .383 2.83 .505 -.019 1 31 B3248A 1880 2003 124 5 0 .899 .83 2.66 .511 .567 .496 2.68 .548 -.038 1 32 B3249A 1835 2003 169 7 0 .905 1.05 4.12 .729 .674 .440 2.61 .464 -.044 1 33 B3249B 1870 2003 134 6 0 .816 1.05 3.15 .677 .610 .467 2.56 .438 -.018 1 34 B3253A 1874 2000 127 6 0 .780 .34 .82 .173 .445 .435 2.64 .475 -.011 1 35 B3255A 1790 2003 214 9 0 .864 .81 2.87 .559 .652 .454 2.60 .433 -.012 1 36 B3280A 1672 1880 209 9 0 .880 .55 2.21 .421 .627 .536 2.56 .415 .006 1 37 B3281A 1551 1823 273 10 0 .739 .66 1.75 .341 .271 .538 2.58 .363 .012 1 38 B3281B 1551 1812 262 10 0 .807 .62 1.86 .374 .435 .571 2.53 .361 .008 1 39 B3281C 1551 1792 242 9 0 .782 .57 1.79 .337 .378 .554 2.62 .389 -.007 1 40 B3282A 1502 1620 119 4 0 .693 .47 1.65 .295 .606 .516 2.67 .489 -.018 1 41 B3282B 1502 1620 119 4 0 .778 .53 1.62 .304 .522 .522 2.56 .435 -.014 1 42 B3284A 1633 1880 248 10 0 .873 .73 1.88 .368 .484 .452 2.54 .385 .009 2 43 B3284B 1629 1850 222 9 0 .878 .71 2.40 .347 .452 .427 2.48 .376 .018 2 44 B3287A 1710 1823 114 4 0 .877 1.26 2.72 .547 .207 .423 2.66 .432 .036 1 45 B3288A 1689 1850 162 7 0 .801 .68 2.82 .444 .498 .493 2.65 .415 -.019 1 46 B3289A 1569 1857 289 12 0 .857 .58 1.68 .292 .246 .520 2.53 .359 .023 1 47 B3289B 1567 1842 276 11 0 .804 .57 1.59 .281 .299 .496 2.57 .354 .016 2 48 B3290A 1528 1767 240 9 0 .766 .96 3.53 .473 .411 .363 2.68 .380 .035 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Wright Mountain 17:02 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 B3290B 1528 1767 240 9 0 .809 .90 3.73 .531 .511 .377 2.64 .357 -.001 2 50 B3292A 1409 1550 142 6 0 .752 .51 1.78 .308 .457 .446 2.87 .496 .022 1 51 B3292B 1420 1566 147 6 0 .764 .51 1.89 .321 .535 .435 2.74 .514 .018 1 52 B3293A 1594 1813 220 9 0 .822 .89 2.39 .475 .216 .544 2.67 .393 .008 2 53 B3293B 1593 1792 200 8 0 .850 .95 3.35 .520 .158 .529 2.65 .325 -.002 2 54 B3294A 1559 1700 142 6 0 .704 .66 2.76 .619 .704 .525 2.53 .419 .014 1 55 B3295A 1446 1711 266 11 0 .844 .76 2.50 .439 .396 .529 2.76 .454 .010 4 56 B4395B 1446 1704 259 11 0 .799 .77 2.03 .418 .394 .510 2.74 .426 .014 4 57 B3296A 1790 1880 91 4 0 .718 .66 2.13 .389 .393 .513 2.71 .483 -.024 1 58 B3297A 1758 1913 156 6 0 .894 1.17 3.63 .667 .510 .464 2.66 .418 -.004 1 59 B3298A 1670 1850 181 8 0 .852 .69 2.20 .350 .607 .342 2.69 .438 -.017 1 60 B3299A 1679 1854 176 7 0 .760 .72 1.67 .311 .573 .370 2.36 .280 .004 1 61 B3299B 1679 1842 164 6 0 .807 .65 1.40 .236 .371 .354 2.36 .309 -.023 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 11243 453 0 .814 .70 4.59 .418 .441 .494 3.05 .443 -.006