Chronology file name : CA665.CRN Measurement file name : CA665.RWL Date checked : 29JUL09 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1408 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: D.W.Stahle R.D.Griffin M.D.Therrell Site name : Tuolumne River Site location : California Species information : QUDG BLUE OAK Latitude : 3787 Longitude : -11998 Elevation : 1194M Series intercorrelation: 0.584 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.214 Avg standard deviation : 0.274 Avg autocorrelation : 0.693 Number dated series : 75 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 28 Pct problem segments : 3.74 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Tuolumne River 17:14 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TUO02A 1869 2002 .33 .38 .41 2 TUO04A 1705 2005 .45 .48 .68 .67 .57 .66 .49 .55 .47 3 TUO05A 1750 2005 .51 .55 .51 .56 .55 .70 .57 4 TUO06A 1651 2005 .52 .56 .59 .61 .76 .75 .61 .66 .64 .69 .56 5 TUO08A 1813 2005 .54 .54 .54 .58 .56 7 TUO10A 1754 2005 .43 .50 .49 .53 .51 .57 .72 8 TUO11A 1888 2005 .59 .55 9 TUO12A 1843 2005 .51 .47 .56 .34 10 TUO13A 1785 2005 .78 .68 .63 .60 .73 .73 11 TUO14A 1752 1826 .72 .65 .64 12 TUO14B 1900 2005 .69 14 TUO16A 1888 2005 .43 .39 15 TUO19A 1743 2005 .59 .64 .65 .55 .51 .54 .65 .74 16 TUO20A 1823 2005 .55 .55 .36 .51 .69 17 TUO22A 1884 2005 .50 .59 19 TUO24A 1673 2005 .48 .47 .59 .75 .80 .71 .70 .68 .55 .58 .61 20 TUO25A 1734 2003 .79 .83 .73 .69 .60 .53 .67 .74 21 TUO26A 1730 2005 .63 .71 .78 .76 .77 .65 .63 .59 22 TUO27A 1669 2005 .59 .61 .79 .70 .75 .79 .62 .62 .73 .73 .66 24 TUO31A 1659 2005 .56 .51 .48 .37 .60 .79 .74 .67 .66 .68 .64 25 TUO32A 1878 2003 .37 .61 26 TUO34A 1806 2002 .47 .46 .39 .61 .70 27 TUO36A 1762 2005 .64 .71 .71 .74 .71 .69 .71 28 TUO38A 1729 2005 .69 .72 .78 .70 .71 .75 .59 .52 29 TUO39A 1775 2005 .66 .72 .58 .47 .60 .67 30 TUO40A 1890 2005 .50 .56 31 TUO41B 1824 2005 .49 .49 .51 .52 .25B 32 TUO41C 1756 2005 .70 .44 .34 .48 .54 .61 .39B 33 TUO42A 1582 2005 .64 .66 .52 .55 .68 .73 .69 .65 .67 .67 .69 .56 .39 .36 34 TUO42B 1555 2005 .51 .64 .63 .59 .43 .53 .65 .57 .65 .63 .56 .54 .67 .65 .37 35 TUO42C 1545 2005 .59 .62 .66 .58 .49 .62 .70 .75 .75 .78 .72 .63 .70 .60 .53 .46 36 TUO43A 1694 2005 .60 .66 .61 .71 .75 .62 .66 .64 .55 .52 37 TUO43B 1680 2005 .70 .77 .69 .68 .72 .64 .56 .68 .66 .58 38 TUO44B 1568 2005 .63 .61 .70 .69 .63 .69 .76 .70 .59 .66 .51 .24B .29A .37 .35 39 TUO61A 1641 1919 .62 .64 .69 .63 .69 .71 .61 .57 .45 .49 .43 40 TUO62A 1701 1905 .68 .77 .79 .76 .64 .37 .45 .49 41 TUO63A 1535 1781 .47 .53 .68 .73 .72 .67 .71 .73 .61 .60 42 TUO63B 1545 1674 .49 .54 .66 .63 .67 43 TUO64A 1537 1909 .62 .72 .68 .60 .63 .60 .62 .62 .71 .66 .55 .54 .62 .62 .52 44 TUO64B 1581 1915 .58 .70 .76 .67 .64 .65 .68 .83 .75 .59 .62 .44 .49 45 TUO64C 1558 1887 .81 .66 .60 .73 .65 .55 .56 .62 .70 .69 .65 .56 .57 46 TUO65B 1582 1874 .54 .53 .52 .49 .69 .74 .54 .59 .72 .79 .73 47 TUO66A 1605 1905 .51 .56 .33 .37 .56 .63 .58 .62 .53 .30A .47 .45 48 TUO67A 1634 1949 .46 .58 .60 .60 .58 .70 .74 .66 .53 .64 .70 .50 49 TUO68A 1544 1779 .70 .68 .70 .61 .61 .43 .41 .60 .67 .68 50 TUO68B 1552 1740 .46 .38 .43 .57 .41 .47 .18B 51 TUO70A 1487 1816 .74 .75 .64 .55 .63 .61 .49 .38 .29B .45 .49 .63 .68 52 TUO70B 1501 1819 .63 .51 .52 .59 .62 .55 .35 .50 .64 .54 .52 .52 53 TUO70C 1408 1546 .42 .62 .71 .69 54 TUO70D 1438 1527 .53 .70 .73 .71 55 TUO71A 1510 1835 .62 .64 .68 .69 .69 .67 .62 .72 .72 .63 .71 .73 .75 56 TUO72A 1661 1825 .49 .61 .72 .58 .75 .80 .78 57 TUO72B 1658 1802 .25B .39 .64 .60 .72 .71 58 TUO73A 1514 1738 .73 .79 .78 .67 .65 .60 .38 .52 .61 59 TUO73B 1526 1738 .71 .64 .44 .50 .59 .53 .57 .56 60 TUO74B 1695 1858 .61 .65 .62 .69 .62 .55 .48 61 TUO75A 1431 1818 .42B .63 .63 .56 .49 .53 .59 .61 .58 .53 .59 .65 .65 .55 .52 62 TUO75B 1431 1526 .43 .60 .34 .28B 63 TUO76B 1641 1885 .72 .75 .81 .62 .60 .72 .57 .48 .52 .61 64 TUO78A 1466 1743 .44 .43 .58 .73 .67 .66 .75 .77 .73 .63 .60 65 TUO79A 1513 1870 .48 .57 .41 .35 .37 .29A .39 .63 .66 .61 .51 .32A .43 .59 66 TUO79C 1513 1700 .50 .49 .26B .31A .51 .45 .49 .49 67 TUO80A 1563 1885 .74 .71 .66 .57 .51 .57 .65 .65 .77 .82 .56 .39B .38 68 TUO80B 1564 1910 .70 .74 .72 .65 .60 .74 .77 .70 .75 .75 .63 .53 .45 .58 69 TUO81A 1579 1888 .67 .70 .66 .59 .47 .48 .62 .61 .48 .28B .22B .41 70 TUO81B 1566 1890 .80 .78 .72 .66 .64 .78 .73 .65 .63 .45 .44 .34B .33 71 TUO82A 1577 1844 .49 .74 .64 .53 .58 .55 .44 .47 .47 .34 72 TUO83A 1568 1889 .48 .59 .58 .58 .53 .54 .68 .77 .76 .56 .49 .46 .53 73 TUO83B 1570 1889 .61 .63 .60 .72 .63 .48 .55 .74 .84 .72 .38 .28B .63 74 TUO84A 1457 1874 .25A .22B .43 .67 .74 .73 .45 .33 .51 .47 .39 .40 .49 .42 .21B .30A 75 TUO84B 1481 1860 .19B .40 .74 .81 .67 .46 .53 .71 .63 .58 .43 .53 .59 .16B .18B Av segment correlation .45 .54 .50 .57 .62 .62 .61 .61 .59 .54 .58 .62 .62 .67 .65 .57 .53 .54 .57 .55 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Tuolumne River 17:14 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1925 1950 1975 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 TUO02A 1869 2002 .57 .72 .72 2 TUO04A 1705 2005 .57 .80 .82 3 TUO05A 1750 2005 .45 .77 .81 4 TUO06A 1651 2005 .39 .56 .63 5 TUO08A 1813 2005 .45 .58 .63 6 TUO09A 1932 2005 .53 .58 .57 7 TUO10A 1754 2005 .71 .80 .81 8 TUO11A 1888 2005 .41 .62 .70 9 TUO12A 1843 2005 .29A .40 .47 10 TUO13A 1785 2005 .68 .74 .74 12 TUO14B 1900 2005 .65 .64 .68 13 TUO15A 1937 2005 .56 .69 .71 14 TUO16A 1888 2005 .53 .69 .71 15 TUO19A 1743 2005 .49 .47 .49 16 TUO20A 1823 2005 .58 .56 .61 17 TUO22A 1884 2005 .59 .55 .55 18 TUO23A 1945 2005 .60 .61 .59 19 TUO24A 1673 2005 .59 .59 .61 20 TUO25A 1734 2003 .63 .74 .74 21 TUO26A 1730 2005 .46 .62 .64 22 TUO27A 1669 2005 .70 .75 .74 23 TUO28A 1942 2005 .60 .64 .65 24 TUO31A 1659 2005 .56 .71 .71 25 TUO32A 1878 2003 .73 .63 .62 26 TUO34A 1806 2002 .64 .63 .68 27 TUO36A 1762 2005 .73 .80 .81 28 TUO38A 1729 2005 .65 .73 .72 29 TUO39A 1775 2005 .79 .85 .87 30 TUO40A 1890 2005 .55 .56 .52 31 TUO41B 1824 2005 .47 .58 .58 32 TUO41C 1756 2005 .29A .53 .60 33 TUO42A 1582 2005 .58 .57 .58 34 TUO42B 1555 2005 .33 .66 .58 35 TUO42C 1545 2005 .45 .54 .50 36 TUO43A 1694 2005 .62 .66 .65 37 TUO43B 1680 2005 .61 .61 .62 38 TUO44B 1568 2005 .55 .58 .65 Av segment correlation .56 .64 .66 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tuolumne River 17:14 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 TUO02A 1869 2002 134 6 0 .515 .75 1.67 .318 .774 .234 2.71 .528 .007 1 2 TUO04A 1705 2005 301 12 0 .589 .57 1.45 .221 .770 .203 2.58 .437 -.036 2 3 TUO05A 1750 2005 256 10 0 .574 .51 1.06 .146 .548 .213 2.61 .400 .000 1 4 TUO06A 1651 2005 355 14 0 .606 .58 2.14 .309 .857 .198 2.52 .309 -.018 1 5 TUO08A 1813 2005 193 8 0 .561 .91 2.23 .475 .850 .222 2.71 .424 -.033 1 6 TUO09A 1932 2005 74 3 0 .540 1.11 1.75 .250 .580 .175 2.72 .574 .019 2 7 TUO10A 1754 2005 252 10 0 .599 .63 1.18 .189 .597 .214 2.65 .393 .002 1 8 TUO11A 1888 2005 118 5 0 .607 .72 1.91 .282 .596 .264 2.67 .416 -.050 2 9 TUO12A 1843 2005 163 7 1 .406 .38 .72 .103 .569 .200 2.61 .380 -.047 1 10 TUO13A 1785 2005 221 9 0 .708 .51 1.13 .158 .663 .209 2.49 .328 .002 1 11 TUO14A 1752 1826 75 3 0 .614 .95 1.82 .413 .490 .338 2.70 .502 .028 2 12 TUO14B 1900 2005 106 4 0 .651 .69 1.25 .178 .347 .222 2.68 .437 .111 2 13 TUO15A 1937 2005 69 3 0 .607 1.03 2.14 .419 .744 .229 2.69 .528 -.018 1 14 TUO16A 1888 2005 118 5 0 .537 .53 .92 .110 .360 .191 2.57 .423 .022 6 15 TUO19A 1743 2005 263 11 0 .563 .65 2.21 .383 .821 .241 2.80 .391 -.025 1 16 TUO20A 1823 2005 183 8 0 .553 .73 2.08 .247 .598 .205 2.66 .449 .005 1 17 TUO22A 1884 2005 122 5 0 .531 .93 1.89 .326 .567 .258 2.66 .375 -.022 1 18 TUO23A 1945 2005 61 3 0 .578 .84 1.34 .246 .537 .227 2.55 .407 -.053 2 19 TUO24A 1673 2005 333 14 0 .626 .53 1.95 .314 .779 .270 2.64 .377 -.010 1 20 TUO25A 1734 2003 270 11 0 .705 .75 2.31 .288 .721 .214 2.73 .374 .006 1 21 TUO26A 1730 2005 276 11 0 .667 .61 1.97 .245 .624 .261 2.74 .368 -.020 1 22 TUO27A 1669 2005 337 14 0 .691 .73 2.00 .410 .789 .220 3.11 .416 .056 1 23 TUO28A 1942 2005 64 3 0 .625 .68 1.24 .225 .709 .198 2.57 .342 .053 1 24 TUO31A 1659 2005 347 14 0 .620 .64 2.12 .259 .621 .238 3.15 .471 -.035 5 25 TUO32A 1878 2003 126 5 0 .526 .67 1.38 .219 .589 .242 2.70 .492 .044 1 26 TUO34A 1806 2002 197 8 0 .558 .67 1.72 .226 .577 .224 2.96 .505 .023 1 27 TUO36A 1762 2005 244 10 0 .703 .71 1.54 .273 .782 .199 2.66 .362 -.003 1 28 TUO38A 1729 2005 277 11 0 .679 .64 1.69 .281 .808 .204 2.54 .327 -.003 2 29 TUO39A 1775 2005 231 9 0 .693 .75 1.50 .296 .838 .166 2.64 .408 .022 1 30 TUO40A 1890 2005 116 5 0 .511 .65 1.35 .227 .660 .229 2.61 .390 -.015 1 31 TUO41B 1824 2005 182 8 1 .486 .54 1.44 .268 .772 .242 2.46 .375 -.011 1 32 TUO41C 1756 2005 250 10 2 .509 .61 1.31 .191 .670 .189 2.56 .379 -.027 1 33 TUO42A 1582 2005 424 17 0 .578 .64 1.41 .194 .704 .185 2.55 .319 -.009 1 34 TUO42B 1555 2005 451 18 0 .543 .60 1.63 .182 .698 .182 2.61 .335 -.005 2 35 TUO42C 1545 2005 461 19 0 .606 .69 2.79 .276 .770 .191 2.70 .316 -.028 1 36 TUO43A 1694 2005 312 13 0 .620 .78 1.92 .221 .697 .178 2.65 .398 .005 2 37 TUO43B 1680 2005 326 13 0 .641 .76 1.41 .200 .471 .213 2.67 .465 .019 4 38 TUO44B 1568 2005 438 18 2 .569 .60 1.73 .236 .788 .183 2.69 .327 -.028 1 39 TUO61A 1641 1919 279 11 0 .560 1.21 2.64 .521 .788 .204 2.64 .389 -.007 1 40 TUO62A 1701 1905 205 8 0 .623 .56 1.13 .196 .690 .224 2.55 .349 .045 1 41 TUO63A 1535 1781 247 10 0 .630 .74 2.43 .414 .856 .243 2.89 .508 .015 2 42 TUO63B 1545 1674 130 5 0 .582 .72 2.14 .396 .816 .272 2.70 .510 .018 5 43 TUO64A 1537 1909 373 15 0 .593 .72 4.32 .427 .821 .217 2.93 .447 .014 1 44 TUO64B 1581 1915 335 13 0 .650 .63 1.90 .267 .527 .247 3.23 .496 .009 1 45 TUO64C 1558 1887 330 13 0 .640 .69 2.32 .348 .727 .233 2.89 .335 .016 1 46 TUO65B 1582 1874 293 11 0 .623 .66 2.39 .211 .372 .233 2.90 .375 .004 1 47 TUO66A 1605 1905 301 12 1 .502 .74 3.85 .375 .777 .187 2.79 .393 -.008 1 48 TUO67A 1634 1949 316 12 0 .601 .61 2.07 .339 .836 .230 2.74 .408 .020 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Tuolumne River 17:14 Wed 29 Jul 2009 Page 12 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 TUO68A 1544 1779 236 10 0 .597 1.03 2.72 .373 .711 .191 2.69 .339 .020 2 50 TUO68B 1552 1740 189 7 1 .393 1.25 2.47 .411 .782 .173 2.65 .436 .032 4 51 TUO70A 1487 1816 330 13 1 .553 .52 1.43 .167 .615 .219 2.76 .431 .002 1 52 TUO70B 1501 1819 319 12 0 .526 .52 1.50 .169 .689 .209 2.41 .253 -.021 1 53 TUO70C 1408 1546 139 4 0 .557 .60 1.23 .211 .767 .191 2.69 .353 -.014 1 54 TUO70D 1438 1527 90 4 0 .625 .67 1.25 .251 .776 .192 2.59 .427 -.010 1 55 TUO71A 1510 1835 326 13 0 .679 .86 1.68 .275 .541 .254 2.51 .332 -.004 1 56 TUO72A 1661 1825 165 7 0 .637 1.01 1.88 .302 .699 .179 2.69 .474 -.033 3 57 TUO72B 1658 1802 145 6 1 .481 .97 1.79 .260 .525 .214 2.46 .376 -.016 4 58 TUO73A 1514 1738 225 9 0 .629 .68 1.47 .280 .787 .214 2.75 .430 -.024 2 59 TUO73B 1526 1738 213 8 0 .578 .67 1.59 .282 .790 .206 2.93 .457 .005 2 60 TUO74B 1695 1858 164 7 0 .589 1.09 2.36 .375 .348 .303 2.83 .508 .036 1 61 TUO75A 1431 1818 388 15 1 .544 .59 1.54 .243 .792 .194 2.67 .401 -.036 1 62 TUO75B 1431 1526 96 4 1 .339 .50 1.12 .244 .890 .190 2.68 .442 .021 1 63 TUO76B 1641 1885 245 10 0 .636 1.02 2.53 .396 .700 .235 2.59 .412 -.015 1 64 TUO78A 1466 1743 278 11 0 .643 .55 1.90 .205 .572 .225 2.81 .357 -.013 1 65 TUO79A 1513 1870 358 14 2 .464 .73 2.28 .358 .756 .212 2.60 .364 .000 1 66 TUO79C 1513 1700 188 8 2 .424 .90 2.17 .351 .718 .230 2.58 .424 -.055 1 67 TUO80A 1563 1885 323 13 1 .631 .74 3.16 .376 .799 .229 2.80 .399 .008 1 68 TUO80B 1564 1910 347 14 0 .671 .79 2.02 .250 .635 .193 2.73 .400 -.005 1 69 TUO81A 1579 1888 310 12 2 .523 .50 .98 .148 .538 .213 2.56 .340 -.016 1 70 TUO81B 1566 1890 325 13 1 .604 .52 1.03 .167 .543 .231 2.72 .400 .009 1 71 TUO82A 1577 1844 268 10 0 .492 .49 1.07 .140 .478 .225 2.74 .417 -.035 1 72 TUO83A 1568 1889 322 13 0 .581 .92 3.74 .497 .838 .208 2.68 .422 -.036 1 73 TUO83B 1570 1889 320 13 1 .611 .86 2.75 .347 .754 .210 2.88 .411 .000 1 74 TUO84A 1457 1874 418 16 4 .429 .50 1.44 .195 .774 .190 2.83 .354 .005 1 75 TUO84B 1481 1860 380 15 3 .491 .50 .96 .146 .647 .193 2.71 .418 -.016 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 18642 748 28 .584 .69 4.32 .274 .693 .214 3.23 .395 -.004