[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run BEHM1 Program COF 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25238 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: behm1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1220 to 1850 631 years Continuous time span is 1220 to 1850 631 years Portion with two or more series is 1233 to 1827 595 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 39 *C* *O* Master series 1220 1850 631 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 7547 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 7511 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .539 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .183 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 14 *A* *** Mean length of series 193.5 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . <=============> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0201A 1 1220 1362 143 . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . . . . . OLC0202A 2 1442 1654 213 . . . . . . . . .<===============> . . . . . . . . . OLC0202B 3 1462 1629 168 . . . . <==========>. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0208A 4 1233 1341 109 . . . . <==========>. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0208B 5 1233 1348 116 . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . . . . . OLC0212A 6 1455 1660 206 . . . . . . . . .<===================> . . . . . . . . OLC0212B 7 1463 1661 199 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============> . . . . . OLC0215A 8 1664 1803 140 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . . . . OLC0215B 9 1664 1850 187 . . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . . . . OLC0218A 10 1498 1705 208 . . . . . . . . . <========================>. . . . . . . OLC0218B 11 1498 1742 245 . . . . .<===============================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC0219A 12 1267 1581 315 . . . . .<=========================> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0219B 13 1266 1520 255 . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============> . . . . . OLC0220A 14 1653 1815 163 . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . OLC0220B 15 1653 1827 175 . . . . . . . . <================>. . . . . . . . . . OLC0223A 16 1428 1598 171 . . . . . . . . <====================> . . . . . . . . . OLC0223B 17 1427 1630 204 . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . . . . . . OLC0226B 18 1538 1748 211 . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . OLC0231A 19 1633 1804 172 . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . . OLC0231B 20 1633 1810 178 . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . . . . . . OLC0232A 21 1586 1744 159 . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0237A 22 1383 1538 156 . . . . . . . <=================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC0237B 23 1383 1567 185 . . . . . . <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0239A 24 1322 1481 160 . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0239B 25 1322 1478 157 . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . OLC0240A 26 1645 1815 171 . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . . . . . OLC0240B 27 1645 1811 167 . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . . . . . OLC0242A 28 1598 1793 196 . . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . . . OLC0242B 29 1599 1784 186 . . . . . <=====================> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0243A 30 1304 1521 218 . . . . . <=====================> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0243B 31 1304 1521 218 . . . . . . . . <========================> . . . . . . . . OLC0245A 32 1433 1686 254 . . . . . . . . <======================> . . . . . . . . OLC0245B 33 1433 1663 231 . . . . . <===================> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0248B 34 1309 1504 196 . . . . . . <===============> . . . . . . . . . . . OLC0250A 35 1351 1518 168 . . . . . . <=======================>. . . . . . . . . . OLC0250B 36 1350 1590 241 . . . . . . <=======================>. . . . . . . . . . OLC0250C 37 1351 1590 240 . . . . . . <=====================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC0251A 38 1341 1569 229 . . . . . . <======================> . . . . . . . . . . OLC0251B 39 1343 1579 237 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1250 -.374 3 1300 .853 5 1350 -1.039 11 1400 1.266 14 1450 -.736 19 1251 .777 3 1301 1.273 5 1351 -.570 13 1401 -.374 14 1451 1.714 19 1252 -.750 3 1302 .487 5 1352 .259 13 1402 .724 14 1452 1.164 19 1253 .888 3 1303 2.094 5 1353 -.341 13 1403 .787 14 1453 .788 19 1254 -1.153 3 1304 .223 7 1354 1.717 13 1404 .930 14 1454 .210 19 1255 -.198 3 1305 -.878 7 1355 1.130 13 1405 1.160 14 1455 -.116 20 1256 .132 3 1306 .183 7 1356 1.202 13 1406 1.793 14 1456 -1.172 20 1257 1.208 3 1307 -.660 7 1357 .730 13 1407 .790 14 1457 -.895 20 1258 -.042 3 1308 -.498 7 1358 -.223 13 1408 -2.315 14 1458 .122 20 1259 1.188 3 1309 -1.120 8 1359 .366 13 1409 -.919 14 1459 .478 20 1260 .002 3 1310 -1.496 8 1360 -.611 13 1410 1.077 14 1460 .360 20 1261 -1.830 3 1311 -1.183 8 1361 -.468 13 1411 -.661 14 1461 .917 20 1262 -.665 3 1312 -.418 8 1362 -.171 13 1412 .231 14 1462 1.262 21 1263 -1.673 3 1313 .421 8 1363 -.454 12 1413 -.093 14 1463 .656 22 1264 -1.151 3 1314 .522 8 1364 -.486 12 1414 -.034 14 1464 -.274 22 1265 .731 3 1315 .690 8 1365 -1.563 12 1415 -1.276 14 1465 -1.095 22 1266 .513 4 1316 .246 8 1366 .067 12 1416 -.552 14 1466 -1.539 22 1267 .063 5 1317 .325 8 1367 .455 12 1417 .888 14 1467 -.309 22 1268 -.231 5 1318 1.521 8 1368 .153 12 1418 -.884 14 1468 .497 22 1269 1.666 5 1319 2.028 8 1369 -2.075 12 1419 .074 14 1469 .440 22 1220 -.155 1 1270 .993 5 1320 .377 8 1370 -.863 12 1420 .858 14 1470 -.786 22 1221 1.592 1 1271 1.644 5 1321 .261 8 1371 -.888 12 1421 .022 14 1471 -.650 22 1222 .693 1 1272 .747 5 1322 -.465 10 1372 -1.541 12 1422 -1.005 14 1472 -1.776 22 1223 -1.393 1 1273 1.139 5 1323 1.556 10 1373 -.132 12 1423 -.038 14 1473 -.104 22 1224 -1.025 1 1274 -.775 5 1324 .336 10 1374 1.585 12 1424 .449 14 1474 .761 22 1225 -3.161 1 1275 .301 5 1325 .536 10 1375 .574 12 1425 -.874 14 1475 -.747 22 1226 -.692 1 1276 -.456 5 1326 .133 10 1376 1.257 12 1426 -.694 14 1476 .344 22 1227 1.600 1 1277 -.914 5 1327 .118 10 1377 -.097 12 1427 -.616 15 1477 .879 22 1228 .472 1 1278 -.315 5 1328 -3.502 10 1378 .958 12 1428 -.587 16 1478 1.020 22 1229 2.217 1 1279 -.058 5 1329 -.364 10 1379 -.371 12 1429 -1.198 16 1479 -1.354 21 1230 1.750 1 1280 .149 5 1330 .055 10 1380 .335 12 1430 -.280 16 1480 .116 21 1231 1.358 1 1281 1.036 5 1331 -.046 10 1381 1.143 12 1431 .089 16 1481 -.359 21 1232 .480 1 1282 -2.109 5 1332 -.800 10 1382 1.384 12 1432 -.152 16 1482 .668 20 1233 -1.024 3 1283 -1.755 5 1333 -1.507 10 1383 .865 14 1433 1.956 18 1483 -.942 20 1234 -1.717 3 1284 .165 5 1334 .575 10 1384 1.540 14 1434 2.657 18 1484 -.875 20 1235 .357 3 1285 -1.340 5 1335 .544 10 1385 .447 14 1435 1.243 18 1485 -.298 20 1236 -.899 3 1286 -2.552 5 1336 -.214 10 1386 1.031 14 1436 .905 18 1486 1.252 20 1237 .284 3 1287 .315 5 1337 1.750 10 1387 .326 14 1437 -.103 18 1487 .898 20 1238 .235 3 1288 -1.401 5 1338 -1.119 10 1388 -.768 14 1438 -1.187 18 1488 .005 20 1239 1.350 3 1289 .361 5 1339 .326 10 1389 -.673 14 1439 -.759 18 1489 -.218 20 1240 1.090 3 1290 -.554 5 1340 -.538 10 1390 -1.967 14 1440 -.570 18 1490 -.626 20 1241 .884 3 1291 .028 5 1341 1.305 11 1391 -1.721 14 1441 -.416 18 1491 .929 20 1242 -.048 3 1292 -1.209 5 1342 .343 10 1392 -.662 14 1442 .017 19 1492 1.530 20 1243 .038 3 1293 -.436 5 1343 1.226 11 1393 .185 14 1443 -.786 19 1493 .183 20 1244 -.088 3 1294 -1.621 5 1344 .889 11 1394 -.321 14 1444 -.570 19 1494 .199 20 1245 1.894 3 1295 .565 5 1345 1.134 11 1395 -1.067 14 1445 .089 19 1495 1.578 20 1246 -1.369 3 1296 1.373 5 1346 .138 11 1396 -1.493 14 1446 -.582 19 1496 .193 20 1247 .525 3 1297 .987 5 1347 -.811 11 1397 -1.485 14 1447 -.183 19 1497 1.038 20 1248 -.928 3 1298 .875 5 1348 -2.109 11 1398 -.444 14 1448 -.532 19 1498 .600 22 1249 -.451 3 1299 1.361 5 1349 -1.101 10 1399 .404 14 1449 .527 19 1499 -1.262 22 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1500 -1.242 22 1550 -1.157 17 1600 .053 13 1650 -.044 15 1700 .280 14 1750 -.064 10 1501 -.777 22 1551 -.843 17 1601 -1.298 13 1651 1.029 15 1701 .036 14 1751 -1.135 10 1502 -1.948 22 1552 -.590 17 1602 .348 13 1652 -.630 15 1702 -.414 14 1752 1.117 10 1503 -1.593 22 1553 -.586 17 1603 -1.252 13 1653 .270 17 1703 .099 14 1753 1.354 10 1504 -.326 22 1554 -1.282 17 1604 .579 13 1654 .162 17 1704 1.032 14 1754 1.823 10 1505 -.126 21 1555 -.332 17 1605 -1.027 13 1655 .932 16 1705 .505 14 1755 1.511 10 1506 .593 21 1556 .129 17 1606 -.451 13 1656 .634 16 1706 .296 13 1756 .552 10 1507 1.427 21 1557 -.041 17 1607 -.179 13 1657 .945 16 1707 -.269 13 1757 1.418 10 1508 1.604 21 1558 .772 17 1608 -.852 13 1658 .783 16 1708 -1.279 13 1758 .477 10 1509 .565 21 1559 1.587 17 1609 -.851 13 1659 -.690 16 1709 -2.341 13 1759 .569 10 1510 .938 21 1560 1.962 17 1610 -.413 13 1660 -.120 16 1710 -.203 13 1760 .088 10 1511 .825 21 1561 1.838 17 1611 .761 13 1661 -.170 15 1711 -.694 13 1761 .054 10 1512 1.464 21 1562 .604 17 1612 .451 13 1662 .669 14 1712 -.193 13 1762 .586 10 1513 .203 21 1563 -1.164 17 1613 -.373 13 1663 .289 14 1713 .361 13 1763 .235 10 1514 -.657 21 1564 -.346 17 1614 .288 13 1664 .786 15 1714 .379 13 1764 .281 10 1515 -.843 21 1565 -.988 17 1615 .222 13 1665 .734 15 1715 1.253 13 1765 -.258 10 1516 -.925 21 1566 .070 17 1616 1.433 13 1666 .573 15 1716 .787 13 1766 -.895 10 1517 -.146 21 1567 .571 17 1617 1.894 13 1667 .053 15 1717 .218 13 1767 -1.679 10 1518 -.239 21 1568 .136 16 1618 1.296 13 1668 .156 15 1718 .145 13 1768 -1.390 10 1519 -1.369 20 1569 -1.011 16 1619 -.326 13 1669 -1.076 15 1719 -.612 13 1769 -.282 10 1520 -.546 20 1570 .499 15 1620 .562 13 1670 -2.006 15 1720 1.344 13 1770 -1.442 10 1521 1.323 19 1571 .134 15 1621 .522 13 1671 -.843 15 1721 -.320 13 1771 -2.994 10 1522 1.178 17 1572 .276 15 1622 -1.212 13 1672 -.935 15 1722 .048 13 1772 -.442 10 1523 .735 17 1573 -.046 15 1623 .165 13 1673 .335 15 1723 -.697 13 1773 -.181 10 1524 -.472 17 1574 .724 15 1624 -1.244 13 1674 -.559 15 1724 -.731 13 1774 -.335 10 1525 -.242 17 1575 .088 15 1625 -.810 13 1675 -1.365 15 1725 -.454 13 1775 .180 10 1526 -.387 17 1576 .132 15 1626 -.779 13 1676 -1.454 15 1726 -1.978 13 1776 1.229 10 1527 -1.633 17 1577 1.101 15 1627 -.032 13 1677 -.970 15 1727 -1.232 13 1777 1.875 10 1528 .064 17 1578 .837 15 1628 -.052 13 1678 -.770 15 1728 .317 13 1778 2.073 10 1529 -.840 17 1579 -.021 15 1629 .257 13 1679 -1.273 15 1729 -1.033 13 1779 .261 10 1530 -.814 17 1580 -1.418 14 1630 .698 12 1680 -.667 15 1730 .411 13 1780 .899 10 1531 -.846 17 1581 .250 14 1631 -1.271 11 1681 .865 15 1731 .418 13 1781 1.155 10 1532 -.514 17 1582 -1.084 13 1632 -.429 11 1682 .015 15 1732 1.024 13 1782 1.086 10 1533 -.865 17 1583 -.134 13 1633 -.814 13 1683 .662 15 1733 .789 13 1783 .211 10 1534 .682 17 1584 .067 13 1634 1.182 13 1684 1.275 15 1734 1.020 13 1784 .195 10 1535 1.914 17 1585 1.310 13 1635 .617 13 1685 .798 15 1735 -.517 13 1785 -.287 9 1536 1.732 17 1586 -.709 14 1636 .324 13 1686 1.791 15 1736 .016 13 1786 -1.080 9 1537 2.203 17 1587 -.311 14 1637 .892 13 1687 .641 14 1737 .742 13 1787 -.995 9 1538 .045 18 1588 -.637 14 1638 .822 13 1688 -.491 14 1738 2.233 13 1788 -.120 9 1539 .685 17 1589 -.796 14 1639 .414 13 1689 -.735 14 1739 1.434 13 1789 -1.442 9 1540 -.746 17 1590 -.867 14 1640 1.197 13 1690 -.962 14 1740 -.145 13 1790 -2.270 9 1541 -.104 17 1591 -.708 12 1641 .998 13 1691 .920 14 1741 -.638 13 1791 -1.179 9 1542 .220 17 1592 .922 12 1642 .136 13 1692 .584 14 1742 -.046 13 1792 -.981 9 1543 .251 17 1593 .274 12 1643 -.978 13 1693 .877 14 1743 -.967 12 1793 .160 9 1544 -.053 17 1594 1.175 12 1644 -2.504 13 1694 2.358 14 1744 -.592 12 1794 1.199 8 1545 -.035 17 1595 1.556 12 1645 -1.178 15 1695 .588 14 1745 -2.206 11 1795 1.019 8 1546 .449 17 1596 .656 12 1646 -1.339 15 1696 -.544 14 1746 -.939 11 1796 .547 8 1547 -.752 17 1597 .073 12 1647 -.779 15 1697 -.507 14 1747 -.613 11 1797 1.084 8 1548 -.626 17 1598 -.436 13 1648 .699 15 1698 -.789 14 1748 .681 11 1798 .954 8 1549 -1.624 17 1599 .162 13 1649 .342 15 1699 -1.032 14 1749 -.889 10 1799 1.690 8 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1800 .093 8 1850 -.814 1 1801 -1.111 8 1802 -.161 8 1803 -2.100 8 1804 -.888 7 1805 1.364 6 1806 -1.116 6 1807 .700 6 1808 -.539 6 1809 1.233 6 1810 .044 6 1811 -.529 5 1812 .776 4 1813 .678 4 1814 -1.063 4 1815 .684 4 1816 -1.384 2 1817 .400 2 1818 1.745 2 1819 .973 2 1820 .553 2 1821 1.559 2 1822 1.184 2 1823 -.893 2 1824 1.970 2 1825 .980 2 1826 1.909 2 1827 -1.410 2 1828 -.290 1 1829 -.757 1 1830 -1.662 1 1831 -1.637 1 1832 -1.624 1 1833 .140 1 1834 .170 1 1835 .160 1 1836 -1.806 1 1837 .924 1 1838 -.170 1 1839 -1.886 1 1840 -.312 1 1841 -2.863 1 1842 -1.959 1 1843 -.976 1 1844 1.101 1 1845 -.359 1 1846 .363 1 1847 1.081 1 1848 1.906 1 1849 1.574 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1250---a 1300--------C 1350-d 1400---------E 1450--c 1500-e 1550-e 1251--------C 1301---------E 1351---b 1401---a 1451----------G 1501--c 1551--c 1252--c 1302-------B 1352------A 1402--------C 1452---------E 1502h 1552---b 1253--------D 1303----------H 1353----a 1403--------C 1453--------C 1503f 1553---b 1254-e 1304------A 1354----------G 1404--------D 1454------A 1504----a 1554-e 1255----a 1305--d 1355---------E 1405---------E 1455----@ 1505----a 1555----a 1256-----A 1306------A 1356---------E 1406----------G 1456-e 1506-------B 1556-----A 1257---------E 1307--c 1357--------C 1407--------C 1457--d 1507----------F 1557-----@ 1258-----@ 1308---b 1358----a 1408i 1458-----@ 1508----------F 1558--------C 1259---------E 1309-d 1359------A 1409--d 1459-------B 1509-------B 1559----------F 1260-----@ 1310f 1360---b 1410---------D 1460------A 1510--------D 1560----------H 1261g 1311-e 1361---b 1411--c 1461--------D 1511--------C 1561----------G 1262--c 1312---b 1362----a 1412------A 1462---------E 1512----------F 1562-------B 1263g 1313-------B 1363---b 1413----@ 1463--------C 1513------A 1563-e 1264-e 1314-------B 1364---b 1414-----@ 1464----a 1514---c 1564----a 1265--------C 1315--------C 1365f 1415-e 1465-d 1515--c 1565-d 1266-------B 1316------A 1366-----@ 1416---b 1466f 1516--d 1566-----@ 1267-----@ 1317------A 1367-------B 1417--------D 1467----a 1517----a 1567-------B 1268----a 1318----------F 1368-----A 1418--d 1468-------B 1518----a 1568-----A 1269----------G 1319----------H 1369h 1419-----@ 1469-------B 1519e 1569-d 1220----a 1270---------D 1320------B 1370--c 1420--------C 1470--c 1520---b 1570-------B 1221----------F 1271----------G 1321------A 1371--d 1421-----@ 1471---c 1521---------E 1571-----A 1222--------C 1272--------C 1322---b 1372f 1422-d 1472g 1522---------E 1572------A 1223f 1273---------E 1323----------F 1373----a 1423-----@ 1473----@ 1523--------C 1573-----@ 1224-d 1274--c 1324------A 1374----------F 1424-------B 1474--------C 1524---b 1574--------C 1225m 1275------A 1325-------B 1375-------B 1425--c 1475--c 1525----a 1575-----@ 1226--c 1276---b 1326-----A 1376---------E 1426--c 1476------A 1526---b 1576-----A 1227----------F 1277--d 1327-----@ 1377----@ 1427---b 1477--------D 1527g 1577---------D 1228-------B 1278----a 1328n 1378--------D 1428---b 1478---------D 1528-----@ 1578--------C 1229----------I 1279-----@ 1329----a 1379----a 1429-e 1479-e 1529--c 1579-----@ 1230----------G 1280-----A 1330-----@ 1380------A 1430----a 1480-----@ 1530--c 1580f 1231---------E 1281---------D 1331-----@ 1381---------E 1431-----@ 1481----a 1531--c 1581------A 1232-------B 1282h 1332--c 1382---------F 1432----a 1482--------C 1532---b 1582-d 1233-d 1283g 1333f 1383--------C 1433----------H 1483--d 1533--c 1583----a 1234g 1284------A 1334-------B 1384----------F 1434----------K 1484--c 1534--------C 1584-----@ 1235------A 1285-e 1335-------B 1385-------B 1435---------E 1485----a 1535----------H 1585---------E 1236--d 1286j 1336----a 1386---------D 1436--------D 1486---------E 1536----------G 1586--c 1237------A 1287------A 1337----------G 1387------A 1437----@ 1487--------D 1537----------I 1587----a 1238------A 1288f 1338-d 1388--c 1438-e 1488-----@ 1538-----@ 1588---c 1239---------E 1289------A 1339------A 1389--c 1439--c 1489----a 1539--------C 1589--c 1240---------D 1290---b 1340---b 1390h 1440---b 1490---c 1540--c 1590--c 1241--------D 1291-----@ 1341---------E 1391g 1441---b 1491--------D 1541----@ 1591--c 1242-----@ 1292-e 1342------A 1392--c 1442-----@ 1492----------F 1542------A 1592--------D 1243-----@ 1293---b 1343---------E 1393------A 1443--c 1493------A 1543------A 1593------A 1244----@ 1294f 1344--------D 1394----a 1444---b 1494------A 1544-----@ 1594---------E 1245----------H 1295-------B 1345---------E 1395-d 1445-----@ 1495----------F 1545-----@ 1595----------F 1246e 1296---------E 1346-----A 1396f 1446---b 1496------A 1546-------B 1596--------C 1247-------B 1297---------D 1347--c 1397f 1447----a 1497---------D 1547--c 1597-----@ 1248--d 1298--------C 1348h 1398---b 1448---b 1498-------B 1548---c 1598---b 1249---b 1299---------E 1349-d 1399-------B 1449-------B 1499-e 1549f 1599------A PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600-----@ 1650-----@ 1700------A 1750-----@ 1800-----@ 1850--c 1601-e 1651---------D 1701-----@ 1751-e 1801-d 1602------A 1652---c 1702---b 1752---------D 1802----a 1603-e 1653------A 1703-----@ 1753---------E 1803h 1604-------B 1654------A 1704---------D 1754----------G 1804--d 1605-d 1655--------D 1705-------B 1755----------F 1805---------E 1606---b 1656-------C 1706------A 1756-------B 1806-d 1607----a 1657--------D 1707----a 1757----------F 1807--------C 1608--c 1658--------C 1708-e 1758-------B 1808---b 1609--c 1659--c 1709i 1759-------B 1809---------E 1610---b 1660----@ 1710----a 1760-----@ 1810-----@ 1611--------C 1661----a 1711--c 1761-----@ 1811---b 1612-------B 1662--------C 1712----a 1762-------B 1812--------C 1613---a 1663------A 1713------A 1763------A 1813--------C 1614------A 1664--------C 1714------B 1764------A 1814-d 1615------A 1665--------C 1715---------E 1765----a 1815--------C 1616----------F 1666-------B 1716--------C 1766--d 1816f 1617----------H 1667-----@ 1717------A 1767g 1817-------B 1618---------E 1668-----A 1718-----A 1768f 1818----------G 1619----a 1669-d 1719---b 1769----a 1819---------D 1620-------B 1670h 1720---------E 1770f 1820-------B 1621-------B 1671--c 1721----a 1771l 1821----------F 1622-e 1672--d 1722-----@ 1772---b 1822---------E 1623------A 1673------A 1723--c 1773----a 1823--d 1624-e 1674---b 1724--c 1774----a 1824----------H 1625--c 1675-e 1725---b 1775------A 1825---------D 1626--c 1676f 1726h 1776---------E 1826----------H 1627-----@ 1677-d 1727-e 1777----------G 1827f 1628-----@ 1678--c 1728------A 1778----------H 1828----a 1629------A 1679-e 1729-d 1779------A 1829--c 1630--------C 1680--c 1730-------B 1780--------D 1830g 1631-e 1681--------C 1731-------B 1781---------E 1831g 1632---b 1682-----@ 1732---------D 1782---------D 1832f 1633--c 1683--------C 1733--------C 1783------A 1833-----A 1634---------E 1684---------E 1734---------D 1784------A 1834------A 1635-------B 1685--------C 1735---b 1785----a 1835------A 1636------A 1686----------G 1736-----@ 1786-d 1836g 1637--------D 1687-------C 1737--------C 1787-d 1837--------D 1638--------C 1688---b 1738----------I 1788----@ 1838----a 1639-------B 1689--c 1739----------F 1789f 1839h 1640---------E 1690-d 1740----a 1790i 1840----a 1641---------D 1691--------D 1741---c 1791-e 1841k 1642-----A 1692-------B 1742-----@ 1792-d 1842h 1643-d 1693--------D 1743-d 1793------A 1843-d 1644j 1694----------I 1744---b 1794---------E 1844---------D 1645-e 1695-------B 1745i 1795---------D 1845----a 1646-e 1696---b 1746--d 1796-------B 1846------A 1647--c 1697---b 1747---b 1797---------D 1847---------D 1648--------C 1698--c 1748--------C 1798--------D 1848----------H 1649------A 1699-d 1749--d 1799----------G 1849----------F PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1274 1299 1324 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OLC0201A 1220 1362 .42 .41 .48 .64 .64 2 OLC0202A 1442 1654 .30A .46 .74 .72 .65 .64 .58 .49 .41 3 OLC0202B 1462 1629 .57 .59 .78 .72 .55 .33 .34 4 OLC0208A 1233 1341 .57 .74 .59 .67 5 OLC0208B 1233 1348 .56 .67 .52 .65 6 OLC0212A 1455 1660 .63 .69 .65 .60 .42 .44 .58 .46 7 OLC0212B 1463 1661 .60 .70 .75 .62 .34 .37 .49 .42 8 OLC0215A 1664 1803 .27A .27B .49 9 OLC0215B 1664 1850 .40 .46 .64 10 OLC0218A 1498 1705 .39 .44B .46 .55 .57 .49 .35 .43 .35 11 OLC0218B 1498 1742 .53 .51 .41 .59 .66 .60 .43 .37 .39 .52 12 OLC0219A 1267 1581 .62 .63 .54 .60 .45 .48 .63 .66 .38 .24A .50 .54 .51 13 OLC0219B 1266 1520 .59 .63 .57 .57 .54 .56 .55 .45 .02B .01B 14 OLC0220A 1653 1815 .43 .52 .65 15 OLC0220B 1653 1827 .30A .55 .75 16 OLC0223A 1428 1598 .50 .52 .57 .61 .50 .38 17 OLC0223B 1427 1630 .51 .53 .53 .62 .62 .62 .62 .59 18 OLC0226B 1538 1748 .29A .35 .60 .65 .68 .75 .66 .54 19 OLC0231A 1633 1804 .37 .54 .57 .41 20 OLC0231B 1633 1810 .34 .53 .64 .56 21 OLC0232A 1586 1744 .43 .48 .57 .57 .45 .21B 22 OLC0237A 1383 1538 .66 .80 .58 .52 .65 .68 23 OLC0237B 1383 1567 .62 .66 .48 .60 .65 .65 .69 24 OLC0239A 1322 1481 .75 .75 .65 .65 .64 .56 .55 25 OLC0239B 1322 1478 .65 .64 .57 .61 .60 .54 .54 26 OLC0240A 1645 1815 .65 .61 .52 .58 27 OLC0240B 1645 1811 .46 .51 .56 .58 28 OLC0242A 1598 1793 .34 .33 .45 .57 .51 .50 29 OLC0242B 1599 1784 .50 .50 .52 .58 .48 .28B 30 OLC0243A 1304 1521 .54 .58 .46 .61 .67 .53 .52 .58 31 OLC0243B 1304 1521 .73 .75 .64 .81 .74 .49 .54 .67 32 OLC0245A 1433 1686 .48 .55 .60 .62 .53 .46 .62 .68 .44 .41 33 OLC0245B 1433 1663 .38 .43 .50 .53 .54 .57 .58 .55 .45 34 OLC0248B 1309 1504 .81 .76 .67 .79 .68 .52 .57 .59 35 OLC0250A 1351 1518 .44 .66 .77 .70 .61 .58 36 OLC0250B 1350 1590 .39 .36 .71 .71 .65 .53 .38 .37 .23B 37 OLC0250C 1351 1590 .56 .59 .64 .56 .62 .62 .55 .54 .25B 38 OLC0251A 1341 1569 .45 .61 .66 .59 .57 .55 .53 .59 .65 39 OLC0251B 1343 1579 .54 .59 .49 .56 .57 .44 .46 .67 .60 .57 Av segment correlation .52 .61 .57 .65 .63 .55 .61 .66 .53 .52 .54 .60 .55 .47 .51 .52 .47 .48 .49 .52 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1725 1750 1775 1800 1774 1799 1824 1849 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 8 OLC0215A 1664 1803 .70 .70 .69 9 OLC0215B 1664 1850 .75 .52 .46 .49 14 OLC0220A 1653 1815 .67 .54 .57 15 OLC0220B 1653 1827 .72 .68 .65 .67 19 OLC0231A 1633 1804 .45B .58 .65 20 OLC0231B 1633 1810 .61 .67 .66 26 OLC0240A 1645 1815 .66 .68 .76 27 OLC0240B 1645 1811 .64 .72 .72 28 OLC0242A 1598 1793 .64 .60 29 OLC0242B 1599 1784 .45 .52 Av segment correlation .63 .62 .64 .58 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OLC0201A 1220 to 1362 143 years Series 1 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1220 to 1232 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .492) is: Lower 1240< -.022 1293< -.018 1267> -.016 1288> -.010 1257< -.009 1256< -.008 Higher 1328 .062 1282 .040 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1267 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0202A 1442 to 1654 213 years Series 2 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1442 1491 0 .01 .30 -.10 .00 -.19 -.15 .16 -.03 .00 -.11 .30* .08 -.06 -.23 .18 .13 .17 -.12 .05 -.08 -.21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .509) is: Lower 1456> -.024 1459< -.016 1450> -.012 1622> -.010 1608> -.009 1452< -.007 Higher 1479 .016 1644 .011 1442 to 1491 segment: Lower 1456> -.079 1459< -.045 1450> -.039 1443> -.023 1452< -.022 1449< -.022 Higher 1479 .184 1483 .029 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1456 +3.9 SD; 1626 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0202B 1462 to 1629 168 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .508) is: Lower 1479< -.039 1608> -.023 1624> -.014 1588> -.012 1603> -.008 1472> -.008 Higher 1527 .010 1622 .010 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1478 1479 -5.1 SD 1479 1480 5.5 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1479-10.1 SD; 1608 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0208A 1233 to 1341 109 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .635) is: Lower 1309< -.064 1233> -.032 1241< -.010 1249> -.006 1314< -.006 1300< -.006 Higher 1328 .063 1246 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0208B 1233 to 1348 116 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .589) is: Lower 1308< -.033 1233< -.029 1285> -.017 1283> -.012 1242> -.011 1348> -.009 Higher 1328 .071 1282 .033 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1285 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0212A 1455 to 1660 206 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .534) is: Lower 1456> -.022 1655< -.016 1472> -.012 1569> -.011 1577< -.011 1589> -.008 Higher 1644 .011 1479 .009 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1456 +3.7 SD; 1569 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0212B 1463 to 1661 199 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .500) is: Lower 1589< -.020 1465> -.010 1655< -.008 1609< -.007 1605> -.007 1626> -.007 Higher 1644 .017 1479 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0215A 1664 to 1803 140 years Series 8 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1664 1713 0 .14 .20 .06 .10 .02 .09 -.07 .16 -.03 -.20 .27* .23 .05 .23 .14 -.16 -.28 .09 -.10 .01 .11 1675 1724 3 .20 .10 -.03 .07 -.08 .06 .05 .07 .03 -.23 .27| .20 -.11 .28* .14 -.02 -.24 .04 -.01 -.18 .14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .531) is: Lower 1692< -.023 1728< -.013 1729> -.012 1704< -.011 1796< -.010 1668< -.007 Higher 1771 .025 1745 .023 1664 to 1713 segment: Lower 1692< -.073 1704< -.036 1668< -.020 1689> -.019 1682> -.014 1690> -.014 Higher 1709 .046 1691 .044 1675 to 1724 segment: Lower 1692< -.063 1704< -.033 1724> -.018 1689> -.018 1716< -.017 1717> -.015 Higher 1709 .043 1720 .042 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0215B 1664 to 1850 187 years Series 9 [*] Later part of series cannot be checked from 1828 to 1850 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .528) is: Lower 1790< -.017 1823> -.013 1801> -.010 1668< -.008 1670> -.008 1805< -.007 Higher 1745 .016 1827 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0218A 1498 to 1705 208 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1500 1549 1 -.11 -.26 -.07 -.20 -.16 .01 -.07 -.04 .18 .06 .44| .48* .13 .19 -.12 -.11 .06 -.10 -.11 -.01 -.20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .437) is: Lower 1640< -.028 1672< -.016 1499> -.014 1633> -.009 1643> -.008 1533> -.008 Higher 1644 .024 1631 .014 1500 to 1549 segment: Lower 1533> -.047 1547> -.027 1542< -.021 1549> -.018 1508< -.018 1546< -.017 Higher 1512 .026 1538 .024 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0218B 1498 to 1742 245 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .514) is: Lower 1703< -.013 1538< -.009 1549> -.009 1527> -.008 1721> -.008 1659> -.007 Higher 1644 .018 1726 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1591 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0219A 1267 to 1581 315 years Series 12 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1475 1524 0 .05 .08 -.19 .00 -.09 -.01 -.07 -.02 -.03 .18 .24*-.15 -.11 .20 -.17 -.12 .05 -.30 -.11 .00 -.07 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .511) is: Lower 1397< -.023 1328> -.010 1479> -.009 1490< -.009 1489> -.008 1389> -.007 Higher 1408 .015 1282 .010 1475 to 1524 segment: Lower 1479> -.047 1489> -.038 1518> -.025 1508< -.021 1476< -.020 1496> -.016 Higher 1495 .027 1475 .019 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1396 1397 -4.2 SD [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1389 +3.8 SD; 1397 -4.8 SD; 1489 +4.2 SD; 1518 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0219B 1266 to 1520 255 years Series 13 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1450 1499 -7 -.11 -.04 -.11 .43* .00 -.09 -.27 .14 .06 .24 .02|-.01 -.07 .13 .00 -.29 -.06 .14 .17 -.08 .07 1471 1520 -1 -.29 -.20 -.25 .23 -.01 -.05 -.08 .24 .16 .34* .01| .05 -.01 .14 .06 -.34 -.24 -.16 .05 -.09 .05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .444) is: Lower 1486< -.049 1479> -.020 1406< -.010 1463< -.009 1470> -.008 1304< -.006 Higher 1348 .012 1338 .011 1450 to 1499 segment: Lower 1486< -.191 1479> -.070 1470> -.030 1463< -.020 1473< -.018 1489> -.015 Higher 1451 .062 1472 .044 1471 to 1520 segment: Lower 1486< -.184 1479> -.074 1473< -.017 1489> -.015 1496> -.011 1480< -.009 Higher 1472 .042 1491 .024 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1485 1486 -4.0 SD [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1470 +3.3 SD; 1479 +3.8 SD; 1486 -5.9 SD; 1489 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0220A 1653 to 1815 163 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .566) is: Lower 1653< -.024 1790> -.018 1806> -.018 1722< -.012 1810< -.010 1755< -.009 Higher 1745 .020 1738 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0220B 1653 to 1827 175 years Series 15 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1653 1702 0 -.06 .16 .09 -.01 .04 .00 .17 -.05 .26 .07 .30* .29 .05 .01 -.23 -.03 .01 -.02 -.03 .06 -.09 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .617) is: Lower 1658< -.032 1811< -.016 1759< -.009 1810> -.008 1740> -.007 1707> -.006 Higher 1827 .016 1771 .015 1653 to 1702 segment: Lower 1658< -.168 1688> -.029 1690> -.018 1689> -.018 1668< -.017 1673< -.017 Higher 1694 .049 1686 .038 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0223A 1428 to 1598 171 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .491) is: Lower 1598< -.018 1557< -.011 1519> -.010 1479> -.009 1586> -.009 1531> -.008 Higher 1472 .014 1451 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1552 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0223B 1427 to 1630 204 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .569) is: Lower 1589> -.014 1482< -.012 1475> -.011 1465> -.008 1613< -.008 1603> -.008 Higher 1451 .008 1535 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1589 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0226B 1538 to 1748 211 years Series 18 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1538 1587 0 .02 -.02 -.04 .13 -.02 -.16 .12 -.08 .15 -.01 .29* .25 .04 -.11 .19 -.06 .17 .21 -.12 -.04 -.18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .533) is: Lower 1548< -.033 1726> -.015 1574< -.011 1554> -.010 1605> -.010 1556< -.008 Higher 1644 .012 1709 .011 1538 to 1587 segment: Lower 1548< -.073 1574< -.038 1554> -.036 1563> -.027 1556< -.025 1542< -.020 Higher 1559 .032 1582 .025 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1726 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0231A 1633 to 1804 172 years Series 19 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1725 1774 4 -.09 -.17 .01 -.08 .09 -.01 -.11 -.05 .04 -.01 .45|-.02 .20 .09 .45*-.08 -.03 -.23 .05 -.12 -.01 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .485) is: Lower 1741< -.038 1776< -.011 1721> -.010 1638< -.010 1645> -.009 1660< -.009 Higher 1726 .017 1709 .012 1725 to 1774 segment: Lower 1741< -.126 1745> -.021 1754< -.021 1739< -.015 1752< -.014 1749> -.010 Higher 1726 .052 1767 .017 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1741 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0231B 1633 to 1810 178 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .543) is: Lower 1644> -.023 1638< -.021 1659< -.015 1657< -.011 1721> -.010 1776< -.009 Higher 1805 .008 1806 .007 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0232A 1586 to 1744 159 years Series 21 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1695 1744 -3 -.07 .15 -.35 -.11 -.09 -.29 .23 .26* .14 .05 .21| .25 .00 .04 -.22 -.12 -.05 .00 -.16 -.18 .22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .414) is: Lower 1699< -.023 1738< -.018 1601> -.018 1709> -.014 1586> -.012 1649< -.011 Higher 1622 .012 1652 .011 1695 to 1744 segment: Lower 1738< -.040 1709> -.032 1699< -.024 1721> -.021 1725< -.019 1744< -.017 Higher 1720 .038 1708 .030 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0237A 1383 to 1538 156 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .619) is: Lower 1479> -.023 1397> -.016 1453< -.014 1385< -.013 1466> -.010 1473< -.009 Higher 1408 .041 1390 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0237B 1383 to 1567 185 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .629) is: Lower 1429< -.027 1479> -.019 1527> -.011 1397> -.009 1473< -.008 1385< -.007 Higher 1408 .030 1390 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0239A 1322 to 1481 160 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .668) is: Lower 1447< -.015 1457> -.010 1390> -.009 1462< -.008 1338> -.008 1463< -.007 Higher 1328 .057 1348 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0239B 1322 to 1478 157 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .597) is: Lower 1365< -.014 1390> -.010 1461< -.008 1338> -.007 1443> -.007 1372> -.007 Higher 1328 .035 1369 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0240A 1645 to 1815 171 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .613) is: Lower 1714< -.015 1722< -.015 1740< -.013 1758< -.009 1707> -.009 1697< -.008 Higher 1806 .013 1709 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1815 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0240B 1645 to 1811 167 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1687< -.022 1645< -.017 1718< -.017 1726> -.013 1811> -.012 1657< -.012 Higher 1709 .012 1806 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0242A 1598 to 1793 196 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .486) is: Lower 1790> -.018 1603> -.014 1630< -.012 1667< -.010 1703< -.010 1605> -.009 Higher 1771 .025 1745 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0242B 1599 to 1784 186 years Series 29 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1700 1749 -2 .14 .04 -.12 -.02 -.24 .13 .20 -.07 .34* .00 .28|-.10 .01 .00 -.24 .12 -.12 -.34 .12 -.11 .05 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .464) is: Lower 1729> -.022 1622> -.020 1709> -.015 1633> -.010 1637< -.009 1762< -.009 Higher 1771 .022 1644 .020 1700 to 1749 segment: Lower 1729> -.062 1709> -.037 1733< -.021 1731< -.021 1740> -.019 1741> -.018 Higher 1726 .065 1745 .038 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1622 +3.0 SD; 1623 +3.2 SD; 1709 +3.4 SD; 1729 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0243A 1304 to 1521 218 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .551) is: Lower 1330< -.010 1390> -.009 1418> -.009 1304> -.009 1338> -.007 1335< -.007 Higher 1328 .041 1408 .017 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1329 +3.1 SD; 1361 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0243B 1304 to 1521 218 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .676) is: Lower 1304> -.015 1365> -.012 1324< -.009 1479> -.009 1465> -.006 1447< -.006 Higher 1328 .045 1408 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0245A 1433 to 1686 254 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .529) is: Lower 1665< -.017 1588< -.012 1547> -.010 1433< -.007 1472> -.007 1592< -.006 Higher 1622 .008 1549 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0245B 1433 to 1663 231 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .486) is: Lower 1490> -.011 1433< -.010 1477< -.010 1547> -.009 1538> -.007 1471> -.007 Higher 1479 .010 1527 .010 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1471 +3.0 SD; 1661 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0248B 1309 to 1504 196 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .699) is: Lower 1479> -.018 1365> -.009 1360> -.007 1311< -.007 1465> -.006 1447< -.006 Higher 1328 .037 1408 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OLC0250A 1351 to 1518 168 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .602) is: Lower 1362< -.020 1479> -.020 1511< -.013 1399< -.009 1429> -.009 1490> -.008 Higher 1408 .042 1433 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1362 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0250B 1350 to 1590 241 years Series 36 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1541 1590 2 -.25 .11 -.21 .25 .05 .04 -.08 .06 -.04 .12 .23| .14 .26*-.02 .06 -.21 -.06 -.02 -.01 -.06 -.06 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .470) is: Lower 1382< -.032 1523< -.015 1549> -.012 1587< -.009 1390> -.009 1550< -.009 Higher 1369 .010 1433 .009 1541 to 1590 segment: Lower 1549> -.049 1586> -.024 1578< -.024 1587< -.024 1560< -.022 1582> -.020 Higher 1547 .063 1559 .030 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1382 -5.4 SD; 1523 -4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0250C 1351 to 1590 240 years Series 37 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1541 1590 2 -.24 .19 -.04 .16 .08 -.13 -.01 -.07 .06 -.07 .25| .04 .36* .03 .07 -.09 -.14 .01 -.01 .03 .07 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .514) is: Lower 1578< -.020 1580> -.014 1479> -.010 1581< -.008 1547< -.007 1519< -.007 Higher 1472 .008 1433 .008 1541 to 1590 segment: Lower 1578< -.073 1580> -.057 1581< -.031 1582> -.025 1577< -.019 1560< -.016 Higher 1547 .057 1559 .041 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1547 -5.4 SD; 1578 -5.6 SD; 1580 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0251A 1341 to 1569 229 years Series 38 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .538) is: Lower 1529> -.012 1341< -.010 1348> -.010 1550> -.009 1548> -.007 1346> -.006 Higher 1390 .011 1527 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1529 +3.0 SD; 1550 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OLC0251B 1343 to 1579 237 years Series 39 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .523) is: Lower 1490< -.019 1347> -.013 1418> -.012 1492< -.009 1568< -.009 1470> -.008 Higher 1479 .009 1434 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1390 -5.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:38 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OLC0201A 1220 1362 143 5 0 .492 .70 1.96 .347 .799 .226 2.85 .443 -.022 1 2 OLC0202A 1442 1654 213 9 1 .509 .93 2.28 .361 .801 .168 2.52 .329 -.032 1 3 OLC0202B 1462 1629 168 7 0 .508 .88 4.90 .529 .808 .160 2.36 .224 -.054 1 4 OLC0208A 1233 1341 109 4 0 .635 1.04 2.06 .308 .733 .175 2.57 .397 -.007 3 5 OLC0208B 1233 1348 116 4 0 .589 .98 1.73 .360 .846 .165 2.61 .473 -.003 3 6 OLC0212A 1455 1660 206 8 0 .534 .86 2.18 .396 .902 .150 2.49 .302 -.024 1 7 OLC0212B 1463 1661 199 8 0 .500 .85 1.86 .310 .819 .164 2.40 .300 -.049 1 8 OLC0215A 1664 1803 140 6 2 .531 .74 1.42 .285 .864 .173 2.61 .427 .015 1 9 OLC0215B 1664 1850 187 7 0 .528 .56 1.15 .219 .877 .161 2.49 .322 -.009 1 10 OLC0218A 1498 1705 208 9 1 .437 .48 1.73 .273 .915 .163 2.61 .431 -.050 4 11 OLC0218B 1498 1742 245 10 0 .514 .47 1.72 .231 .910 .138 2.61 .371 -.029 1 12 OLC0219A 1267 1581 315 13 1 .511 .50 1.94 .273 .916 .154 2.65 .306 -.040 1 13 OLC0219B 1266 1520 255 10 2 .444 .40 2.07 .297 .900 .198 2.77 .429 -.016 2 14 OLC0220A 1653 1815 163 6 0 .566 .58 2.10 .329 .925 .161 2.81 .470 -.062 1 15 OLC0220B 1653 1827 175 7 1 .617 .55 1.98 .314 .917 .153 2.64 .461 -.064 1 16 OLC0223A 1428 1598 171 6 0 .491 .73 2.80 .378 .893 .166 2.80 .448 -.052 2 17 OLC0223B 1427 1630 204 8 0 .569 .66 2.80 .428 .920 .185 2.66 .367 -.030 1 18 OLC0226B 1538 1748 211 8 1 .533 .69 1.85 .349 .895 .174 2.60 .378 .010 2 19 OLC0231A 1633 1804 172 7 1 .485 .51 1.52 .289 .894 .205 2.55 .367 .017 1 20 OLC0231B 1633 1810 178 7 0 .543 .47 1.67 .333 .906 .201 2.54 .355 .026 1 21 OLC0232A 1586 1744 159 6 1 .414 .55 1.05 .200 .751 .206 2.62 .394 -.037 1 22 OLC0237A 1383 1538 156 6 0 .619 .67 1.66 .337 .823 .229 2.68 .415 .003 1 23 OLC0237B 1383 1567 185 7 0 .629 .66 1.34 .277 .794 .220 2.64 .377 -.012 1 24 OLC0239A 1322 1481 160 7 0 .668 .70 1.55 .363 .885 .194 2.78 .388 .053 1 25 OLC0239B 1322 1478 157 7 0 .597 .65 1.45 .291 .855 .185 2.69 .400 -.007 1 26 OLC0240A 1645 1815 171 7 0 .613 .82 3.30 .511 .900 .205 2.92 .475 -.043 1 27 OLC0240B 1645 1811 167 7 0 .568 .75 3.79 .626 .952 .169 2.73 .507 -.074 1 28 OLC0242A 1598 1793 196 8 0 .486 .80 1.73 .328 .776 .216 2.64 .461 -.025 1 29 OLC0242B 1599 1784 186 8 1 .464 .73 1.77 .323 .846 .208 2.67 .505 -.030 1 30 OLC0243A 1304 1521 218 8 0 .551 .84 1.69 .289 .708 .189 2.70 .426 .001 1 31 OLC0243B 1304 1521 218 8 0 .676 .61 1.19 .215 .748 .197 2.53 .357 -.009 1 32 OLC0245A 1433 1686 254 10 0 .529 .71 2.91 .442 .930 .194 2.76 .501 -.026 1 33 OLC0245B 1433 1663 231 9 0 .486 .72 3.48 .485 .935 .183 2.58 .399 -.032 1 34 OLC0248B 1309 1504 196 8 0 .699 .61 1.14 .214 .754 .191 2.61 .430 .026 1 35 OLC0250A 1351 1518 168 6 0 .602 .55 1.53 .242 .876 .155 2.59 .356 -.035 1 36 OLC0250B 1350 1590 241 9 1 .470 .37 1.65 .222 .876 .221 2.64 .390 -.042 1 37 OLC0250C 1351 1590 240 9 1 .514 .43 2.00 .314 .925 .195 2.70 .346 -.007 1 38 OLC0251A 1341 1569 229 9 0 .538 .58 1.55 .251 .866 .182 2.64 .430 -.060 2 39 OLC0251B 1343 1579 237 10 0 .523 .62 1.91 .243 .838 .166 2.53 .318 -.040 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7547 298 14 .539 .65 4.90 .325 .862 .183 2.92 .393 -.023 - = [ COFECHA BEHM1COF ] = -