[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run KAUP Program COF 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25238 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: kaup.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1798 to 1993 196 years Continuous time span is 1798 to 1993 196 years Portion with two or more series is 1803 to 1993 191 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 43 *C* *O* Master series 1798 1993 196 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 6257 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 6252 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .594 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .246 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 3 *A* *** Mean length of series 145.5 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0521A 1 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0521B 2 1862 1993 132 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . OMA0522A 3 1803 1993 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . OMA0522B 4 1809 1993 185 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . OMA0523A 5 1818 1993 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . OMA0523B 6 1814 1993 180 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========>. . OMA0525A 7 1905 1993 89 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0526A 8 1847 1993 147 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0528A 9 1874 1993 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0528B 10 1869 1993 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0529A 11 1848 1993 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0529B 12 1854 1993 140 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0530A 13 1869 1993 125 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0530B 14 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0531B 15 1853 1993 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0532B 16 1828 1993 166 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0533A 17 1832 1993 162 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0533B 18 1844 1993 150 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . OMA0534B 19 1798 1993 196 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0535B 20 1889 1993 105 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0536A 21 1873 1993 121 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0536B 22 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0537A 23 1841 1993 153 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0537B 24 1836 1993 158 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0538A 25 1832 1993 162 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0538B 26 1821 1993 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0539A 27 1882 1993 112 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0541A 28 1845 1993 149 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0541B 29 1848 1993 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0542A 30 1821 1993 173 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0542B 31 1824 1993 170 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0543A 32 1840 1993 154 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0543B 33 1843 1993 151 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0544A 34 1874 1993 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0544B 35 1853 1993 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0545A 36 1833 1993 161 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0545B 37 1829 1993 165 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0546A 38 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0546B 39 1864 1993 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0547A 40 1861 1993 133 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0547B 41 1857 1993 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0549A 42 1858 1993 136 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0549B 43 1860 1993 134 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1800 -1.253 1 1850 .411 22 1900 -.524 42 1950 1.541 43 1801 -1.722 1 1851 1.446 22 1901 -.100 42 1951 .431 43 1802 -1.295 1 1852 -.041 22 1902 .257 42 1952 1.239 43 1803 1.320 2 1853 -1.437 24 1903 1.396 42 1953 1.302 43 1804 1.105 2 1854 1.101 25 1904 .684 42 1954 1.786 43 1805 1.185 2 1855 -1.393 25 1905 .399 43 1955 -.485 43 1806 1.541 2 1856 .704 25 1906 -1.477 43 1956 -1.460 43 1807 -1.424 2 1857 .387 26 1907 1.019 43 1957 1.381 43 1808 -.555 2 1858 -1.174 27 1908 .451 43 1958 .667 43 1809 -.508 3 1859 -2.141 27 1909 -.546 43 1959 -.694 43 1810 -2.118 3 1860 -.234 28 1910 -2.115 43 1960 -.023 43 1811 .459 3 1861 .002 29 1911 -.904 43 1961 -.817 43 1812 1.681 3 1862 1.078 30 1912 -.618 43 1962 -1.034 43 1813 .282 3 1863 1.264 30 1913 -.189 43 1963 -2.008 43 1814 .591 4 1864 -.276 32 1914 1.139 43 1964 -1.129 43 1815 .325 4 1865 1.311 32 1915 1.222 43 1965 .236 43 1816 -1.304 4 1866 1.149 32 1916 .282 43 1966 -.313 43 1817 -1.284 4 1867 -.558 32 1917 -.984 43 1967 1.060 43 1818 -1.514 5 1868 -.016 33 1918 -.640 43 1968 .446 43 1819 -.164 5 1869 -1.061 35 1919 -1.801 43 1969 -.453 43 1820 .436 5 1870 -.484 35 1920 -.496 43 1970 -.856 43 1821 .763 7 1871 -.278 37 1921 .226 43 1971 -1.470 43 1822 -.874 7 1872 -1.017 37 1922 1.783 43 1972 -.916 43 1823 1.149 7 1873 .239 38 1923 1.605 43 1973 -.840 43 1824 .834 8 1874 .564 40 1924 1.530 43 1974 -.036 43 1825 1.558 8 1875 -2.209 40 1925 -.142 43 1975 -.714 43 1826 .218 8 1876 .093 40 1926 -.724 43 1976 .963 43 1827 -.327 8 1877 -.072 40 1927 .863 43 1977 .704 43 1828 -.092 9 1878 .183 40 1928 -.079 43 1978 .675 43 1829 -.758 10 1879 .462 40 1929 -.300 43 1979 1.895 43 1830 -.698 10 1880 1.339 40 1930 -.592 43 1980 .745 43 1831 -.745 10 1881 -.024 40 1931 -1.240 43 1981 .256 43 1832 -1.186 12 1882 1.151 41 1932 .453 43 1982 -.550 43 1833 -1.351 13 1883 -1.290 41 1933 -1.141 43 1983 .498 43 1834 -.196 13 1884 -.276 41 1934 1.158 43 1984 -.407 43 1835 -.271 13 1885 .074 41 1935 .618 43 1985 -.861 43 1836 -.254 14 1886 .227 41 1936 -.158 43 1986 -.066 43 1837 -.268 14 1887 -.122 41 1937 1.131 43 1987 .939 43 1838 .457 14 1888 -.239 41 1938 1.512 43 1988 1.025 43 1839 1.168 14 1889 -2.274 42 1939 -1.089 43 1989 .370 43 1840 2.022 15 1890 1.845 42 1940 -1.345 43 1990 1.549 43 1841 1.123 16 1891 .700 42 1941 -.703 43 1991 .474 43 1842 .134 16 1892 1.156 42 1942 -1.972 43 1992 -2.606 43 1843 -.104 17 1893 .150 42 1943 .016 43 1993 -.607 43 1844 .622 18 1894 .985 42 1944 -1.119 43 1845 -1.772 19 1895 .487 42 1945 .063 43 1846 -.005 19 1896 .052 42 1946 .077 43 1847 -.442 20 1897 -.791 42 1947 -.194 43 1798 1.355 1 1848 .321 22 1898 .178 42 1948 -.078 43 1799 1.408 1 1849 .526 22 1899 -.549 42 1949 .668 43 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1800-e 1850-------B 1900---b 1950----------F 1801g 1851----------F 1901----@ 1951-------B 1802-e 1852-----@ 1902------A 1952---------E 1803---------E 1853-f 1903----------F 1953---------E 1804---------D 1854---------D 1904--------C 1954----------G 1805---------E 1855-f 1905-------B 1955---b 1806----------F 1856--------C 1906f 1956-f 1807-f 1857-------B 1907---------D 1957----------F 1808---b 1858-e 1908-------B 1958-------C 1809---b 1859i 1909---b 1959--c 1810h 1860----a 1910h 1960-----@ 1811-------B 1861-----@ 1911--d 1961--c 1812----------G 1862---------D 1912---b 1962-d 1813------A 1863---------E 1913----a 1963h 1814-------B 1864----a 1914---------E 1964-e 1815------A 1865---------E 1915---------E 1965------A 1816-e 1866---------E 1916------A 1966----a 1817-e 1867---b 1917-d 1967---------D 1818f 1868-----@ 1918--c 1968-------B 1819----a 1869-d 1919g 1969---b 1820-------B 1870---b 1920---b 1970--c 1821--------C 1871----a 1921------A 1971-f 1822--c 1872-d 1922----------G 1972--d 1823---------E 1873------A 1923----------F 1973--c 1824--------C 1874-------B 1924----------F 1974-----@ 1825----------F 1875i 1925----a 1975--c 1826------A 1876-----@ 1926--c 1976--------D 1827----a 1877-----@ 1927--------C 1977--------C 1828-----@ 1878------A 1928-----@ 1978--------C 1829--c 1879-------B 1929----a 1979----------H 1830--c 1880---------E 1930---b 1980--------C 1831--c 1881-----@ 1931-e 1981------A 1832-e 1882---------E 1932-------B 1982---b 1833-e 1883-e 1933-e 1983-------B 1834----a 1884----a 1934---------E 1984---b 1835----a 1885-----@ 1935-------B 1985--c 1836----a 1886------A 1936----a 1986-----@ 1837----a 1887----@ 1937---------E 1987--------D 1838-------B 1888----a 1938----------F 1988---------D 1839---------E 1889i 1939-d 1989------A 1840----------H 1890----------G 1940-e 1990----------F 1841---------D 1891--------C 1941--c 1991-------B 1842------A 1892---------E 1942h 1992j 1843----@ 1893------A 1943-----@ 1993---b 1844-------B 1894--------D 1944-d 1845g 1895-------B 1945-----@ 1846-----@ 1896-----@ 1946-----@ 1847---b 1897--c 1947----a 1798---------E 1848------A 1898------A 1948-----@ 1799----------F 1849-------B 1899---b 1949-------C PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OMA0521A 1871 1993 .55 .57 .64 .70 .68 2 OMA0521B 1862 1993 .68 .76 .73 .54 .46 3 OMA0522A 1803 1993 .54 .56 .66 .58 .47 .56 .54 4 OMA0522B 1809 1993 .50 .53 .70 .63 .53 .44 .48 5 OMA0523A 1818 1993 .70 .69 .69 .63 .71 .68 .34 6 OMA0523B 1814 1993 .61 .62 .66 .62 .62 .67 .35 7 OMA0525A 1905 1993 .61 .63 .57 8 OMA0526A 1847 1993 .59 .64 .70 .65 .53 .41 9 OMA0528A 1874 1993 .46 .47 .52 .43 .50 10 OMA0528B 1869 1993 .33B .39 .59 .61 .66 11 OMA0529A 1848 1993 .73 .75 .81 .68 .71 .77 12 OMA0529B 1854 1993 .71 .65 .56 .66 .49 13 OMA0530A 1869 1993 .53 .58 .58 .63 .61 14 OMA0530B 1864 1993 .66 .72 .60 .62 .61 15 OMA0531B 1853 1993 .61 .64 .52 .43 .49 16 OMA0532B 1828 1993 .54 .50 .41 .60 .54 .56 17 OMA0533A 1832 1993 .44 .44 .41 .43 .49 .50 18 OMA0533B 1844 1993 .65 .57 .58 .60 .52 .49 19 OMA0534B 1798 1993 .37 .52 .70 .67 .68 .66 .52 20 OMA0535B 1889 1993 .68 .62 .54 .46 21 OMA0536A 1873 1993 .79 .79 .78 .71 .78 22 OMA0536B 1871 1993 .73 .74 .76 .81 .79 23 OMA0537A 1841 1993 .71 .66 .70 .64 .60 .61 24 OMA0537B 1836 1993 .79 .77 .78 .79 .79 .72 25 OMA0538A 1832 1993 .52 .62 .62 .57 .61 .71 26 OMA0538B 1821 1993 .58 .64 .41 .39 .53 .54 .76 27 OMA0539A 1882 1993 .58 .61 .69 .66 28 OMA0541A 1845 1993 .60 .57 .66 .61 .57 .71 29 OMA0541B 1848 1993 .70 .70 .71 .67 .67 .69 30 OMA0542A 1821 1993 .12B .12B .53 .55 .61 .65 .64 31 OMA0542B 1824 1993 .45 .46 .48 .43 .60 .57 .53 32 OMA0543A 1840 1993 .59 .51 .58 .67 .62 .70 33 OMA0543B 1843 1993 .64 .57 .60 .64 .55 .60 34 OMA0544A 1874 1993 .60 .63 .64 .64 .61 35 OMA0544B 1853 1993 .57 .48 .51 .50 .52 36 OMA0545A 1833 1993 .68 .68 .72 .72 .68 .76 37 OMA0545B 1829 1993 .50 .76 .64 .59 .55 .59 38 OMA0546A 1868 1993 .62 .67 .72 .78 .79 39 OMA0546B 1864 1993 .45 .52 .72 .68 .72 40 OMA0547A 1861 1993 .68 .73 .71 .74 .80 41 OMA0547B 1857 1993 .66 .78 .73 .76 .71 42 OMA0549A 1858 1993 .42 .53 .52 .39 .37 43 OMA0549B 1860 1993 .51 .56 .57 .57 .48 Av segment correlation .48 .58 .60 .62 .62 .61 .60 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OMA0521A 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .630) is: Lower 1903< -.015 1884< -.013 1883> -.013 1962> -.012 1963> -.012 1889> -.007 Higher 1875 .035 1890 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0521B 1862 to 1993 132 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .611) is: Lower 1958< -.018 1963> -.015 1862< -.012 1992> -.011 1960< -.009 1927< -.009 Higher 1875 .036 1889 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1963 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0522A 1803 to 1993 191 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .552) is: Lower 1908< -.010 1805< -.010 1917< -.010 1925> -.009 1976< -.008 1956> -.008 Higher 1889 .011 1807 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0522B 1809 to 1993 185 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .536) is: Lower 1906> -.016 1959> -.013 1832> -.008 1915< -.006 1867> -.006 1816> -.005 Higher 1875 .017 1889 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0523A 1818 to 1993 176 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .568) is: Lower 1991< -.044 1992> -.031 1875> -.013 1975> -.012 1973> -.008 1955> -.008 Higher 1939 .012 1889 .010 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1991 1992 4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0523B 1814 to 1993 180 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .552) is: Lower 1992> -.046 1904< -.019 1991< -.013 1859> -.011 1990< -.008 1972> -.007 Higher 1875 .009 1855 .008 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1991 1992 5.4 SD [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1992 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0525A 1905 to 1993 89 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .579) is: Lower 1909< -.028 1981< -.028 1927< -.009 1974< -.009 1914< -.008 1963> -.008 Higher 1922 .014 1906 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0526A 1847 to 1993 147 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .531) is: Lower 1975< -.028 1978< -.017 1961> -.015 1982> -.011 1849< -.011 1953< -.009 Higher 1992 .020 1883 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1961 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0528A 1874 to 1993 120 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .477) is: Lower 1875> -.031 1885< -.025 1933> -.016 1944> -.016 1989< -.016 1948< -.011 Higher 1992 .060 1906 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1944 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0528B 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1869 1918 -8 .30 -.16 .35*-.33 .11 -.11 .12 -.17 .17 -.17 .33|-.19 -.04 .04 .16 -.28 .00 -.17 .10 .06 -.04 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .531) is: Lower 1875> -.043 1885< -.029 1890< -.012 1944> -.012 1905< -.009 1883> -.009 Higher 1992 .055 1889 .023 1869 to 1918 segment: Lower 1875> -.090 1885< -.050 1890< -.021 1878< -.017 1905< -.017 1883> -.016 Higher 1889 .080 1892 .021 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0529A 1848 to 1993 146 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .724) is: Lower 1906> -.011 1863< -.010 1897< -.009 1853> -.008 1848< -.008 1865< -.007 Higher 1875 .019 1992 .014 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0529B 1854 to 1993 140 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .602) is: Lower 1975< -.051 1879< -.011 1922< -.011 1982> -.009 1955> -.007 1882< -.007 Higher 1875 .033 1883 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1975 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0530A 1869 to 1993 125 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .601) is: Lower 1910> -.017 1907< -.014 1876< -.014 1892< -.012 1959< -.011 1952< -.010 Higher 1875 .033 1992 .028 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0530B 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .622) is: Lower 1991< -.026 1873< -.020 1938< -.018 1898< -.012 1926< -.011 1939> -.010 Higher 1883 .013 1875 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0531B 1853 to 1993 141 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1933> -.013 1942> -.012 1881> -.011 1939> -.011 1853> -.010 1898< -.010 Higher 1875 .019 1855 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0532B 1828 to 1993 166 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .527) is: Lower 1974< -.027 1892< -.026 1832< -.022 1875> -.011 1919> -.011 1926> -.010 Higher 1845 .021 1906 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1844 +3.0 SD; 1888 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0533A 1832 to 1993 162 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .458) is: Lower 1899< -.018 1833< -.011 1832> -.011 1869> -.010 1855> -.010 1944> -.008 Higher 1859 .017 1845 .016 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0533B 1844 to 1993 150 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .563) is: Lower 1899< -.020 1978< -.015 1855> -.012 1853> -.009 1877< -.008 1975> -.008 Higher 1992 .036 1845 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0534B 1798 to 1993 196 years Series 19 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1798 to 1802 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .556) is: Lower 1820< -.026 1982< -.024 1975> -.016 1845> -.010 1826> -.010 1972> -.008 Higher 1992 .016 1807 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1975 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0535B 1889 to 1993 105 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .592) is: Lower 1950< -.028 1919> -.018 1977< -.013 1979< -.009 1968> -.009 1963> -.007 Higher 1889 .025 1939 .020 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1968 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0536A 1873 to 1993 121 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .770) is: Lower 1889> -.018 1981< -.014 1880< -.013 1971> -.012 1942> -.006 1970> -.005 Higher 1992 .026 1875 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0536B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .782) is: Lower 1980> -.007 1887< -.006 1971> -.005 1911< -.005 1893< -.005 1965< -.005 Higher 1992 .027 1875 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0537A 1841 to 1993 153 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .646) is: Lower 1972< -.011 1897> -.010 1883> -.009 1939> -.007 1869> -.007 1931> -.007 Higher 1875 .022 1845 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0537B 1836 to 1993 158 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .753) is: Lower 1978< -.011 1992> -.007 1857< -.006 1931> -.005 1877> -.005 1838< -.005 Higher 1845 .010 1883 .006 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0538A 1832 to 1993 162 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .594) is: Lower 1860< -.011 1832> -.010 1895< -.009 1845> -.008 1982> -.008 1872> -.008 Higher 1992 .035 1875 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0538B 1821 to 1993 173 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .547) is: Lower 1875> -.036 1895< -.017 1822> -.015 1821< -.012 1937< -.011 1973< -.009 Higher 1992 .045 1906 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0539A 1882 to 1993 112 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .628) is: Lower 1924< -.022 1889> -.017 1975> -.016 1990< -.011 1988< -.010 1991> -.010 Higher 1992 .063 1890 .012 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0541A 1845 to 1993 149 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .624) is: Lower 1869> -.020 1889> -.019 1939> -.011 1859> -.009 1923< -.008 1918> -.007 Higher 1992 .035 1875 .020 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1869 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0541B 1848 to 1993 146 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .696) is: Lower 1869> -.015 1858< -.012 1944> -.009 1906> -.007 1952< -.007 1986< -.006 Higher 1992 .033 1889 .013 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0542A 1821 to 1993 173 years Series 30 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1821 1870 1 .06 -.06 -.01 -.11 .08 -.08 -.13 .20 -.03 .02 .12| .32* .02 -.05 -.12 .04 .05 -.06 .06 -.01 -.29 1825 1874 1 .03 -.09 -.04 -.09 .12 -.02 -.11 .21 -.06 .05 .12| .34*-.04 -.07 -.12 .04 .04 -.05 .08 .04 -.23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .433) is: Lower 1825< -.049 1845> -.025 1822> -.019 1844< -.012 1883> -.012 1851< -.012 Higher 1992 .022 1875 .015 1821 to 1870 segment: Lower 1825< -.127 1845> -.059 1822> -.046 1844< -.029 1851< -.029 1826> -.022 Higher 1859 .059 1832 .039 1825 to 1874 segment: Lower 1825< -.134 1845> -.068 1844< -.030 1851< -.029 1826> -.025 1833> -.011 Higher 1859 .061 1832 .042 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1825 -4.7 SD; 1843 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0542B 1824 to 1993 170 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .477) is: Lower 1888< -.026 1883> -.017 1992> -.010 1825< -.010 1927< -.008 1844< -.008 Higher 1939 .012 1919 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0543A 1840 to 1993 154 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .623) is: Lower 1869> -.018 1883> -.015 1939> -.015 1875> -.012 1881< -.010 1897> -.009 Higher 1845 .018 1889 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0543B 1843 to 1993 151 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .617) is: Lower 1895< -.015 1945< -.014 1869> -.014 1883> -.012 1982> -.009 1965< -.007 Higher 1875 .015 1845 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0544A 1874 to 1993 120 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .629) is: Lower 1902< -.024 1875> -.017 1944> -.013 1954< -.012 1960< -.010 1904< -.008 Higher 1890 .012 1910 .010 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0544B 1853 to 1993 141 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .546) is: Lower 1883> -.039 1942> -.015 1858> -.014 1904< -.012 1958< -.007 1952< -.007 Higher 1855 .015 1875 .015 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1883 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0545A 1833 to 1993 161 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .703) is: Lower 1835< -.030 1861< -.017 1889> -.010 1899> -.008 1928> -.007 1929> -.005 Higher 1992 .018 1875 .018 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0545B 1829 to 1993 165 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .559) is: Lower 1834< -.028 1844< -.022 1922< -.015 1954< -.011 1832> -.010 1882< -.009 Higher 1875 .027 1890 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1955 -5.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0546A 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 38 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .738) is: Lower 1875> -.019 1906> -.013 1944> -.008 1982< -.008 1953< -.007 1916< -.007 Higher 1992 .034 1890 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0546B 1864 to 1993 130 years Series 39 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .615) is: Lower 1883> -.034 1891< -.024 1867> -.016 1944> -.011 1971> -.010 1889> -.009 Higher 1992 .044 1890 .016 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1883 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0547A 1861 to 1993 133 years Series 40 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .719) is: Lower 1865< -.021 1911< -.015 1919> -.009 1869> -.008 1971> -.007 1870> -.007 Higher 1992 .035 1875 .019 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0547B 1857 to 1993 137 years Series 41 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .694) is: Lower 1859> -.013 1857< -.011 1986< -.007 1914< -.007 1865< -.007 1909> -.007 Higher 1992 .023 1875 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0549A 1858 to 1993 136 years Series 42 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .452) is: Lower 1957< -.021 1967< -.017 1906> -.017 1875> -.014 1956> -.014 1976< -.013 Higher 1992 .026 1859 .017 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0549B 1860 to 1993 134 years Series 43 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .534) is: Lower 1980< -.037 1902< -.031 1967< -.020 1875> -.016 1956> -.011 1867> -.011 Higher 1992 .036 1883 .017 =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:10 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OMA0521A 1871 1993 123 5 0 .630 .92 2.75 .566 .868 .231 2.64 .379 .024 1 2 OMA0521B 1862 1993 132 5 0 .611 1.18 3.86 .823 .903 .218 2.69 .413 -.045 2 3 OMA0522A 1803 1993 191 7 0 .552 .66 2.42 .476 .852 .243 2.72 .439 -.042 1 4 OMA0522B 1809 1993 185 7 0 .536 .56 1.76 .321 .801 .249 2.77 .459 -.047 4 5 OMA0523A 1818 1993 176 7 0 .568 .74 3.00 .502 .744 .317 2.76 .394 -.062 1 6 OMA0523B 1814 1993 180 7 0 .552 .52 1.84 .369 .797 .323 2.69 .430 -.008 1 7 OMA0525A 1905 1993 89 3 0 .579 .91 1.97 .372 .695 .244 2.68 .490 .016 1 8 OMA0526A 1847 1993 147 6 0 .531 .75 4.29 .793 .896 .299 2.57 .382 -.021 2 9 OMA0528A 1874 1993 120 5 0 .477 1.05 2.24 .433 .741 .238 2.56 .428 -.040 1 10 OMA0528B 1869 1993 125 5 1 .531 .85 2.12 .405 .811 .220 2.72 .500 .002 1 11 OMA0529A 1848 1993 146 6 0 .724 .80 4.32 .554 .689 .308 2.67 .424 -.060 1 12 OMA0529B 1854 1993 140 5 0 .602 .65 2.18 .333 .728 .234 2.51 .349 -.090 2 13 OMA0530A 1869 1993 125 5 0 .601 1.01 1.86 .360 .788 .182 2.71 .508 .017 1 14 OMA0530B 1864 1993 130 5 0 .622 .91 1.72 .280 .667 .190 2.87 .578 .012 1 15 OMA0531B 1853 1993 141 5 0 .547 .71 2.45 .464 .835 .305 2.70 .469 .066 1 16 OMA0532B 1828 1993 166 6 0 .527 .61 3.39 .420 .759 .253 2.84 .392 -.008 3 17 OMA0533A 1832 1993 162 6 0 .458 1.13 2.64 .549 .894 .175 2.64 .411 -.035 2 18 OMA0533B 1844 1993 150 6 0 .563 1.07 3.13 .495 .868 .173 2.71 .452 -.029 2 19 OMA0534B 1798 1993 196 7 0 .556 .78 2.98 .510 .864 .255 2.67 .391 -.038 1 20 OMA0535B 1889 1993 105 4 0 .592 .53 1.26 .207 .795 .169 2.68 .388 -.059 1 21 OMA0536A 1873 1993 121 5 0 .770 .86 3.79 .643 .840 .286 2.75 .541 -.062 1 22 OMA0536B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .782 .94 4.53 .886 .892 .282 2.65 .489 -.089 1 23 OMA0537A 1841 1993 153 6 0 .646 1.00 4.13 .741 .866 .262 2.71 .428 .009 4 24 OMA0537B 1836 1993 158 6 0 .753 .98 4.59 .785 .877 .244 2.63 .390 -.053 2 25 OMA0538A 1832 1993 162 6 0 .594 .97 2.84 .505 .903 .192 2.55 .351 -.036 2 26 OMA0538B 1821 1993 173 7 0 .547 1.02 2.69 .572 .861 .203 2.64 .393 .009 1 27 OMA0539A 1882 1993 112 4 0 .628 .85 2.42 .441 .799 .235 2.52 .379 -.065 1 28 OMA0541A 1845 1993 149 6 0 .624 .76 2.45 .402 .817 .224 2.62 .483 -.054 1 29 OMA0541B 1848 1993 146 6 0 .696 .81 2.61 .401 .787 .221 2.56 .440 -.080 1 30 OMA0542A 1821 1993 173 7 2 .433 .56 2.70 .374 .806 .228 2.72 .440 .019 1 31 OMA0542B 1824 1993 170 7 0 .477 .57 2.34 .324 .746 .225 2.70 .457 .013 1 32 OMA0543A 1840 1993 154 6 0 .623 1.10 2.83 .420 .670 .239 2.62 .432 -.053 1 33 OMA0543B 1843 1993 151 6 0 .617 1.05 2.87 .422 .746 .227 2.54 .444 -.034 1 34 OMA0544A 1874 1993 120 5 0 .629 1.09 2.44 .376 .636 .193 2.78 .431 -.002 1 35 OMA0544B 1853 1993 141 5 0 .546 1.12 2.71 .440 .752 .209 2.63 .408 -.052 1 36 OMA0545A 1833 1993 161 6 0 .703 .95 3.11 .525 .686 .336 2.82 .539 .013 1 37 OMA0545B 1829 1993 165 6 0 .559 .88 3.01 .556 .734 .339 2.59 .426 .002 1 38 OMA0546A 1868 1993 126 5 0 .738 .87 2.24 .365 .710 .272 2.73 .372 -.039 1 39 OMA0546B 1864 1993 130 5 0 .615 .90 3.51 .547 .834 .243 3.03 .498 .004 1 40 OMA0547A 1861 1993 133 5 0 .719 .73 2.69 .562 .825 .312 2.80 .445 -.018 1 41 OMA0547B 1857 1993 137 5 0 .694 .73 2.53 .511 .855 .299 2.66 .470 -.058 1 42 OMA0549A 1858 1993 136 5 0 .452 .88 2.61 .525 .862 .196 2.51 .359 -.004 1 43 OMA0549B 1860 1993 134 5 0 .534 1.05 2.95 .554 .837 .213 2.77 .492 -.063 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 6257 241 3 .594 .85 4.59 .492 .800 .246 3.03 .435 -.026 - = [ COFECHA KAUP COF ] = -