Mount Onnebetsu, Japan - japa010 Additional Site Information G. Jacoby, R. D'Arrigo, N. Davi, O. Solomina, and D. Frank Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : JAPA010.CRN Measurement file name : JAPA010.RWL Date checked : 26OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1693 Ending year : 2003 Principal investigators: G. Jacoby R. D'Arrigo N. Davi O. Solomina D. Frank Site name : Mount Onnebetsu Site location : Japan Species information : PCGN SAKHALIN SPRUCE Latitude : +4400 Longitude : 14500 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.564 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.190 Avg standard deviation : 0.434 Avg autocorrelation : 0.791 Number dated series : 52 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 31 Pct problem segments : 6.35 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mount Onnebetsu 14:58 Wed 26 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 shi04a 1719 2003 .37 .34 .53 .64 .71 .69 .70 .69 .53 .68 .78 .75 2 shi04b 1693 2003 .45 .42B .39 .58 .64 .45 .56 .68 .51 .58 .78 .73 .74 3 shi05a 1694 2003 .43 .42 .36 .50 .71 .69 .66 .55 .47 .61 .73 .70 .73 4 shi30a 1720 2003 .18B .25B .39 .59 .75 .50 .49 .46 .31A .39 .37 .35 5 shi30b 1713 2003 .39B .43B .51 .64 .70 .57 .40 .35B .47 .50 .52 .60 6 shi01a 1833 2003 .50 .70 .45 .47 .60 .65 .65 7 shi02a 1812 2003 .57 .47 .31A .12B .36 .56 .62 .62 8 shi02b 1851 2003 .49 .42 .63 .74 .78 .77 9 shi03a 1788 2003 .50 .58 .75 .67 .63 .73 .57 .53 .51 10 shi03b 1777 2003 .50 .55 .65 .66 .53 .63 .72 .72 .70 11 shi05b 1741 2003 .53 .58 .61 .44 .58 .55 .32A .36 .55 .57 .53 12 shi06a 1818 2003 .74 .61 .57 .55 .49 .65 .68 .72 13 shi06b 1800 2003 .53 .52 .46 .50 .52 .61 .72 .59 14 shi07a 1794 2003 .08B .19B .60 .52 .39 .53 .58 .53 .61 15 shi09a 1797 2003 .65 .68 .58 .44 .38 .53 .66 .74 .71 16 shi09b 1786 2003 .46 .57 .71 .65 .53 .57 .68 .62 .61 17 shi10a 1849 2003 .57 .54 .38 .50 .64 .66 .63 18 shi10b 1841 2003 .59 .52 .30A .22B .45 .68 .71 19 shi12a 1810 2003 .68 .59 .46 .45 .52 .76 .74 .75 20 shi13a 1749 2003 .63 .64 .77 .73 .63 .61 .53 .63 .80 .78 .68 21 shi13b 1755 2003 .47 .66 .73 .74 .75 .52 .42 .64 .79 .74 22 shi14a 1753 2003 .59 .80 .81 .77 .67 .47 .41 .55 .72 .67 23 shi14b 1753 2003 .39 .54 .69 .79 .78 .65 .63 .59 .58 .63 24 shi15a 1793 2003 .71 .76 .84 .68 .48 .57 .64 .74 .71 25 shi15b 1800 1997 .46 .51 .45 .57 .57 .61 .73 26 shi16a 1783 2003 .46 .55 .63 .69 .55 .62 .76 .75 .74 27 shi17a 1746 2003 .42 .46 .65 .69 .54 .57 .61 .47 .56 .49 .55 28 shi17b 1789 2003 .72 .74 .70 .65 .59 .50 .63 .59 .55 29 shi18a 1737 2003 .53 .56 .62 .64 .59 .63 .59 .57 .67 .67 .75 30 shi18b 1748 2003 .47 .45 .50 .51 .59 .52 .37 .47 .66 .62 .64 31 shi19a 1749 2003 .21B .23B .61 .69 .77 .77 .58 .50 .55 .54 .52 32 shi19b 1844 2003 .67 .69 .48 .23A .23A .47 .49 33 shi20a 1769 2003 .46 .53 .60 .58 .57 .37B .43 .68 .65 .66 34 shi20b 1773 2003 .57 .59 .59 .71 .70 .59 .51 .56 .65 .68 35 shi21a 1788 2003 .20A .50 .58 .54 .54 .47 .58 .73 .76 36 shi21b 1814 2003 .59 .60 .57 .56 .51 .66 .80 .78 37 shi22a 1769 2003 .43 .49 .61 .63 .70 .62 .41 .64 .69 .71 38 shi22b 1788 2003 .51 .61 .64 .64 .64 .42 .42 .67 .65 39 shi23a 1765 2003 .52 .58 .69 .81 .69 .55 .43 .54 .66 .65 40 shi23b 1765 2003 .37 .49 .50 .68 .66 .46 .32A .44 .59 .56 41 shi24a 1774 2000 .37 .48 .78 .81 .77 .63 .57 .62 .63 .60 42 shi24b 1814 2003 .49 .61 .69 .58 .51 .64 .67 .65 43 shi25a 1770 2003 .55 .69 .68 .64 .60 .44 .43 .57 .57 .60 44 shi25b 1751 2003 .54 .56 .64 .71 .78 .67 .48 .62 .67 .67 45 shi26a 1803 2003 .47 .57 .59 .40 .30A .60 .66 .65 46 shi26b 1775 2003 .30A .38 .38 .56 .47 .30A .68 .73 .73 47 shi27a 1780 2003 .57 .73 .74 .62 .56 .59 .64 .68 .65 48 shi28a 1763 2003 .52 .59 .53 .56 .62 .55 .38 .52 .32A .32A 49 shi28b 1769 2003 .52 .36 .16B .33A .52 .41 .48 .68 .74 .74 50 shi29b 1801 2003 .49 .46 .52 .51 .18B .40 .65 .64 51 shi31a 1795 2003 .39 .31A .61 .70 .55 .49 .63 .68 .63 52 shi31b 1824 2003 .56 .63 .62 .51 .31A .46 .62 .64 Av segment correlation .44 .36 .41 .49 .55 .59 .62 .61 .50 .47 .60 .65 .65 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Onnebetsu 14:58 Wed 26 Oct 2011 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 shi04a 1719 2003 285 12 0 .624 .98 2.55 .398 .840 .175 2.78 .475 -.010 1 2 shi04b 1693 2003 311 13 1 .578 .85 2.99 .423 .819 .196 2.55 .366 -.050 1 3 shi05a 1694 2003 310 13 0 .562 .91 3.72 .459 .866 .193 2.67 .374 -.044 1 4 shi30a 1720 2003 284 12 3 .421 .80 1.71 .276 .826 .165 2.63 .306 -.023 1 5 shi30b 1713 2003 291 12 3 .500 .88 2.95 .418 .894 .152 2.55 .344 -.009 2 6 shi01a 1833 2003 171 7 0 .544 1.69 3.45 .606 .744 .200 2.65 .405 -.011 1 7 shi02a 1812 2003 192 8 2 .425 1.16 2.14 .421 .794 .196 2.61 .332 -.064 1 8 shi02b 1851 2003 153 6 0 .613 1.00 1.50 .211 .533 .166 2.60 .456 .018 1 9 shi03a 1788 2003 216 9 0 .607 1.12 2.38 .412 .805 .187 2.86 .509 -.017 1 10 shi03b 1777 2003 227 9 0 .622 1.13 3.20 .526 .879 .176 2.73 .395 -.014 3 11 shi05b 1741 2003 263 11 1 .490 1.12 2.45 .433 .726 .199 2.79 .398 -.026 1 12 shi06a 1818 2003 186 8 0 .650 1.37 2.50 .366 .621 .183 2.48 .323 .008 1 13 shi06b 1800 2003 204 8 0 .517 1.23 2.19 .387 .772 .172 2.50 .314 .025 1 14 shi07a 1794 2003 210 9 2 .416 .88 2.76 .671 .935 .217 2.79 .478 -.007 1 15 shi09a 1797 2003 207 9 0 .585 1.41 3.28 .596 .855 .173 2.52 .346 .004 1 16 shi09b 1786 2003 218 9 0 .595 1.38 2.76 .551 .846 .168 2.62 .431 .015 1 17 shi10a 1849 2003 155 7 0 .562 1.37 2.92 .573 .837 .194 2.52 .366 -.059 1 18 shi10b 1841 2003 163 7 2 .497 1.77 4.09 .746 .779 .235 2.52 .328 .033 1 19 shi12a 1810 2003 194 8 0 .618 1.16 2.67 .458 .792 .197 2.84 .451 -.014 1 20 shi13a 1749 2003 255 11 0 .657 1.30 3.20 .643 .901 .169 2.62 .399 -.029 1 21 shi13b 1755 2003 249 10 0 .636 1.19 2.54 .574 .903 .163 2.72 .454 -.025 1 22 shi14a 1753 2003 251 10 0 .626 .90 3.23 .552 .904 .173 2.51 .353 -.011 1 23 shi14b 1753 2003 251 10 0 .614 1.20 3.74 .549 .846 .171 2.65 .392 .001 1 24 shi15a 1793 2003 211 9 0 .685 1.06 2.73 .467 .892 .159 2.63 .401 -.025 1 25 shi15b 1800 1997 198 7 0 .550 .88 2.77 .408 .884 .165 2.60 .396 -.036 1 26 shi16a 1783 2003 221 9 0 .638 1.21 2.84 .414 .739 .195 2.62 .410 .007 1 27 shi17a 1746 2003 258 11 0 .537 1.07 2.29 .391 .844 .158 2.74 .397 -.004 1 28 shi17b 1789 2003 215 9 0 .632 1.53 3.06 .329 .610 .145 2.70 .424 -.003 1 29 shi18a 1737 2003 267 11 0 .612 .81 1.93 .380 .872 .178 2.48 .284 -.005 1 30 shi18b 1748 2003 256 11 0 .527 1.24 3.22 .497 .805 .179 2.70 .363 -.009 2 31 shi19a 1749 2003 255 11 2 .540 .82 1.40 .211 .608 .182 2.67 .371 .005 2 32 shi19b 1844 2003 160 7 2 .492 1.50 3.44 .422 .399 .235 2.55 .354 -.006 1 33 shi20a 1769 2003 235 10 1 .537 .76 2.52 .349 .774 .220 2.82 .429 .026 2 34 shi20b 1773 2003 231 10 0 .635 1.10 2.60 .387 .711 .204 2.59 .409 -.001 1 35 shi21a 1788 2003 216 9 1 .514 .99 1.90 .346 .829 .174 2.50 .330 -.013 1 36 shi21b 1814 2003 190 8 0 .644 1.53 4.14 .517 .778 .164 2.74 .347 .052 1 37 shi22a 1769 2003 235 10 0 .582 .80 2.56 .472 .907 .214 2.64 .402 -.051 1 38 shi22b 1788 2003 216 9 0 .590 1.18 2.52 .415 .824 .166 2.53 .353 .010 1 39 shi23a 1765 2003 239 10 0 .606 .68 2.37 .380 .874 .200 2.82 .411 -.043 2 40 shi23b 1765 2003 239 10 1 .491 1.23 2.28 .365 .695 .179 2.71 .316 -.042 1 41 shi24a 1774 2000 227 10 0 .615 .75 2.45 .491 .920 .205 2.50 .339 .000 2 42 shi24b 1814 2003 190 8 0 .589 .86 1.81 .308 .765 .192 2.77 .426 -.044 1 43 shi25a 1770 2003 234 10 0 .594 .76 1.55 .239 .695 .187 2.69 .329 -.005 1 44 shi25b 1751 2003 253 10 0 .636 .58 2.68 .305 .740 .215 2.69 .352 .031 2 45 shi26a 1803 2003 201 8 1 .514 1.17 2.75 .486 .702 .255 2.85 .394 .011 3 46 shi26b 1775 2003 229 9 2 .483 .98 3.25 .405 .680 .218 2.94 .507 -.002 1 47 shi27a 1780 2003 224 9 0 .627 1.02 2.08 .347 .761 .195 2.64 .406 .046 1 48 shi28a 1763 2003 241 10 2 .466 .65 2.34 .523 .922 .247 2.41 .280 -.020 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mount Onnebetsu 14:58 Wed 26 Oct 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 shi28b 1769 2003 235 10 2 .483 .85 2.76 .477 .816 .262 2.76 .452 -.011 1 50 shi29b 1801 2003 203 8 1 .495 1.22 2.35 .330 .534 .207 2.67 .431 .005 1 51 shi31a 1795 2003 209 9 1 .537 1.03 2.30 .328 .663 .203 2.70 .367 -.016 1 52 shi31b 1824 2003 180 8 1 .521 1.31 2.91 .479 .794 .179 2.79 .535 -.034 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 11714 488 31 .564 1.06 4.14 .434 .791 .190 2.94 .387 -.010