Chronology file name : MEXI022.CRN Measurement file name : MEXI022.RWL Date checked : 23MAR05 Checked by : H. ADAMS AND J. LUKAS Beginning year : 1376 Ending year : 1993 Principal investigators: D.W. Stahle M.Cleaveland B.Burns Site name : Cerro Baraja Site location : Mexico Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 2624 Longitude : -10605 Elevation : 3170M Series intercorrelation: 0.728 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.353 Avg standard deviation : 0.539 Avg autocorrelation : 0.651 Number dated series : 86 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 5 Pct problem segments : 0.68 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: mexi022.rwl 09:10 Wed 23 Mar 2005 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BARO1A 1813 1993 .31A .50 .73 2 BAR01B 1815 1993 .50 .58 .63 3 BAR02A 1652 1993 .84 .78 .80 .85 .83 .86 .81 .76 .81 5 BAR02C 1653 1815 .69 .73 .84 .86 .85 .84 6 BAR03A 1656 1992 .74 .73 .83 .80 .79 .74 .56 .58 .66 7 BAR03B 1654 1993 .80 .72 .76 .75 .77 .84 .75 .69 .70 8 BAR04A 1389 1920 .86 .86 .94 .96 .91 .89 .94 .94 .89 .80 .74 .80 .68 .54 .53 .63 .83 .78 .77 .85 9 BAR04B 1392 1993 .89 .92 .92 .95 .94 .92 .94 .93 .81 .76 .81 .77 .74 .78 .59 .59 .77 .75 .64 .69 10 BAR04C 1440 1992 .89 .93 .93 .93 .93 .89 .82 .79 .84 .83 .78 .77 .69 .74 .83 .75 .68 .74 11 BAR04D 1376 1732 .82 .83 .90 .93 .90 .90 .92 .90 .88 .74 .56 .63 .77 .77 12 BAR04E 1742 1992 .81 .80 .79 .68 .69 .79 13 BAR05A 1859 1993 .62 19 BAR09A 1847 1993 .71 .70 22 BAR11A 1754 1993 .83 .88 .79 .57 .66 23 BAR11B 1753 1993 .83 .83 .78 .49 .55 24 BAR13A 1770 1993 .86 .87 .77 .76 .87 25 BAR13B 1776 1993 .86 .82 .80 .76 26 BAR16A 1867 1993 .51 27 BAR16B 1873 1993 .68 28 BAR17A 1748 1993 .57 .58 .89 .70 .61 .83 29 BAR17B 1730 1993 .70 .74 .84 .76 .68 .74 30 BAR18A 1855 1993 .65 31 BAR18B 1855 1993 .64 32 BAR19A 1849 1993 .62 .62 33 BAR19B 1862 1993 .57 34 BAR20A 1851 1993 .80 36 BAR21A 1748 1993 .79 .79 .80 .80 .75 .75 37 BAR21B 1750 1840 .80 .83 .80 38 BAR21C 1860 1993 .80 39 591011 1763 1973 .78 .80 .84 .71 .71 40 591012 1798 1973 .85 .85 .74 .80 41 591021 1688 1973 .83 .84 .82 .80 .81 .74 .72 .78 42 591031 1729 1973 .67 .76 .77 .58 .53 .74 43 591032 1748 1973 .74 .75 .77 .59 .45 .63 44 591041 1714 1973 .69 .66 .61 .44 .54 .75 .78 45 591042 1774 1973 .59 .59 .60 .67 .69 46 591061 1693 1973 .61 .61 .57 .69 .85 .71 .60 .79 47 591062 1674 1972 .70 .70 .66 .69 .80 .82 .63 .56 .74 48 591071 1750 1972 .86 .82 .64 .47 .49 49 591072 1793 1971 .60 .65 .57 .75 50 591861 1795 1973 .64 .65 .68 .74 51 591862 1804 1973 .64 .71 .76 52 727001 1595 1872 .78 .78 .75 .81 .77 .68 .33 .37 .76 .61 .57 53 727002 1590 1730 .69 .76 .85 .84 .74 .73 54 727003 1597 1973 .81 .81 .85 .84 .78 .66 .58 .75 .86 .74 .64 .73 55 727012 1711 1973 .72 .77 .86 .84 .66 .59 .71 56 727011 1658 1973 .33A .81 .86 .82 .86 .89 .79 .56 .49 57 727021 1663 1970 .79 .77 .78 .81 .77 .84 .87 .83 .87 58 727022 1684 1973 .80 .74 .80 .88 .88 .80 .83 .90 59 727023 1743 1972 .84 .79 .76 .67 .77 .82 60 727031 1563 1973 .75 .75 .83 .81 .82 .83 .78 .72 .78 .87 .84 .76 .68 61 727032 1604 1950 .73 .71 .77 .71 .74 .57 .51 .75 .80 .78 .58 62 727033 1609 1890 .58 .60 .69 .67 .67 .76 .76 .78 .79 .72 .72 63 727041 1757 1972 .62 .71 .74 .78 .83 64 727042 1757 1972 .84 .81 .81 .81 .85 65 727051 1822 1973 .64 .65 .69 66 727052 1835 1972 .64 .73 67 727062 1650 1973 .71 .58 .66 .83 .82 .79 .73 .74 .83 68 727061 1630 1973 .77 .79 .70 .76 .82 .79 .72 .63 .66 .79 69 727071 1604 1934 .73 .83 .87 .75 .63 .70 .78 .80 .69 .62 .74 70 727072 1813 1973 .73 .69 .71 71 727081 1775 1973 .65 .62 .60 .64 72 727082 1765 1968 .59 .55 .49 .56 .65 73 727092 1848 1972 .62 .59 74 727091 1797 1972 .57 .62 .53 .37B 75 727101 1559 1898 .72 .79 .81 .55 .40 .46 .61 .75 .67 .60 .70 .60 .33A 76 727102 1604 1899 .80 .71 .63 .45 .53 .75 .72 .57 .58 .72 .55 77 729011 1754 1973 .84 .84 .79 .83 .81 78 729012 1738 1973 .89 .87 .86 .71 .66 .76 79 729021 1715 1972 .77 .79 .87 .84 .80 .83 .81 80 729022 1604 1973 .85 .83 .82 .70 .59 .56 .73 .90 .85 .78 .76 81 729031 1832 1973 .61 .76 82 729032 1840 1973 .75 .76 83 729081 1779 1973 .52 .74 .78 .79 84 729082 1801 1972 .79 .78 .83 85 729091 1873 1973 .83 86 729092 1854 1973 .83 Av segment correlation .86 .87 .91 .94 .92 .91 .93 .86 .80 .77 .75 .74 .71 .72 .72 .75 .77 .71 .67 .71 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: mexi022.rwl 09:10 Wed 23 Mar 2005 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1875 1900 1925 1950 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BARO1A 1813 1993 .81 .81 .91 .90 2 BAR01B 1815 1993 .67 .68 .78 .76 3 BAR02A 1652 1993 .77 .80 .90 .59 4 BAR02B 1897 1993 .78 .79 .69 .68 6 BAR03A 1656 1992 .76 .78 .76 .54 7 BAR03B 1654 1993 .82 .77 .69 .76 8 BAR04A 1389 1920 .84 9 BAR04B 1392 1993 .80 .84 .83 .85 10 BAR04C 1440 1992 .76 .79 .78 .77 12 BAR04E 1742 1992 .82 .77 .84 .88 13 BAR05A 1859 1993 .72 .78 .82 .83 14 BAR05B 1892 1993 .60 .60 .70 .74 15 BAR06A 1900 1993 .55 .71 .80 16 BAR06B 1900 1993 .44 .77 .82 17 BAR07A 1906 1993 .76 .78 .82 18 BAR07B 1896 1993 .71 .81 .77 .75 19 BAR09A 1847 1993 .72 .67 .80 .85 20 BAR09B 1892 1993 .70 .75 .82 .81 21 BAR10A 1884 1993 .63 .67 .82 .90 22 BAR11A 1754 1993 .81 .81 .87 .90 23 BAR11B 1753 1993 .77 .86 .92 .88 24 BAR13A 1770 1993 .89 .87 .72 .68 25 BAR13B 1776 1993 .69 .72 .75 .80 26 BAR16A 1867 1993 .56 .39 .54 .57 27 BAR16B 1873 1993 .68 .58 .70 .73 28 BAR17A 1748 1993 .87 .83 .89 .91 29 BAR17B 1730 1993 .78 .84 .93 .86 30 BAR18A 1855 1993 .62 .59 .84 .86 31 BAR18B 1855 1993 .79 .76 .75 .82 32 BAR19A 1849 1993 .54 .51 .44 .53 33 BAR19B 1862 1993 .60 .58 .50 .61 34 BAR20A 1851 1993 .72 .69 .85 .89 35 BAR20B 1905 1993 .78 .80 .81 36 BAR21A 1748 1993 .80 .85 .74 .76 38 BAR21C 1860 1993 .84 .86 .79 .80 39 591011 1763 1973 .67 .68 .71 40 591012 1798 1973 .74 .73 .80 41 591021 1688 1973 .74 .81 .62 42 591031 1729 1973 .78 .69 .67 43 591032 1748 1973 .80 .73 .54 44 591041 1714 1973 .90 .73 .59 45 591042 1774 1973 .78 .66 .58 46 591061 1693 1973 .79 .63 .36 47 591062 1674 1972 .74 .72 .55 48 591071 1750 1972 .57 .66 .47 49 591072 1793 1971 .74 .74 .41 50 591861 1795 1973 .78 .60 .46 51 591862 1804 1973 .79 .78 .72 54 727003 1597 1973 .71 .63 .56 55 727012 1711 1973 .77 .52 .15B 56 727011 1658 1973 .60 .65 .84 57 727021 1663 1970 .77 .73 .69 58 727022 1684 1973 .84 .83 .79 59 727023 1743 1972 .71 .71 .76 60 727031 1563 1973 .42 .44 .53 61 727032 1604 1950 .62 .74 .74 63 727041 1757 1972 .80 .80 .81 64 727042 1757 1972 .82 .75 .76 65 727051 1822 1973 .80 .81 .85 66 727052 1835 1972 .86 .81 .80 67 727062 1650 1973 .82 .81 .80 68 727061 1630 1973 .80 .75 .69 69 727071 1604 1934 .84 .80 70 727072 1813 1973 .73 .72 .81 71 727081 1775 1973 .73 .79 .70 72 727082 1765 1968 .61 .66 .73 73 727092 1848 1972 .71 .64 .68 74 727091 1797 1972 .42 .69 .79 77 729011 1754 1973 .82 .80 .83 78 729012 1738 1973 .71 .63 .76 79 729021 1715 1972 .85 .87 .88 80 729022 1604 1973 .79 .68 .63 81 729031 1832 1973 .81 .76 .82 82 729032 1840 1973 .77 .79 .88 83 729081 1779 1973 .59 .49 .73 84 729082 1801 1972 .82 .77 .78 85 729091 1873 1973 .82 .65 .71 86 729092 1854 1973 .70 .63 .80 Av segment correlation .74 .72 .72 .78 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: mexi022.rwl 09:10 Wed 23 Mar 2005 Page 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BARO1A 1813 1993 181 7 1 .726 1.23 4.36 .738 .833 .277 2.71 .423 .031 1 2 BAR01B 1815 1993 179 7 0 .656 1.51 3.92 .708 .800 .246 2.61 .414 .009 1 3 BAR02A 1652 1993 342 13 0 .782 .86 2.84 .551 .751 .384 2.82 .412 .035 1 4 BAR02B 1897 1993 97 4 0 .727 .52 1.39 .272 .268 .468 2.84 .551 -.003 1 5 BAR02C 1653 1815 163 6 0 .792 1.08 2.89 .611 .798 .317 2.55 .503 .012 1 6 BAR03A 1656 1992 337 13 0 .689 .66 2.71 .390 .657 .386 2.67 .438 .009 1 7 BAR03B 1654 1993 340 13 0 .759 .65 2.40 .392 .676 .431 2.74 .529 .018 2 8 BAR04A 1389 1920 532 21 0 .795 .49 2.59 .276 .364 .519 2.80 .419 .006 3 9 BAR04B 1392 1993 602 24 0 .803 .46 1.80 .255 .428 .502 2.69 .400 .011 3 10 BAR04C 1440 1992 553 22 0 .813 .45 2.00 .243 .442 .477 2.69 .352 -.008 3 11 BAR04D 1376 1732 357 14 0 .814 .54 2.28 .300 .434 .467 2.80 .411 .033 1 12 BAR04E 1742 1992 251 10 0 .784 .46 1.19 .218 .348 .465 2.70 .430 .027 1 13 BAR05A 1859 1993 135 5 0 .734 1.46 3.01 .649 .786 .272 2.62 .472 -.042 1 14 BAR05B 1892 1993 102 4 0 .650 1.92 4.66 .922 .777 .252 2.92 .540 -.001 1 15 BAR06A 1900 1993 94 3 0 .691 1.69 3.25 .548 .577 .240 2.62 .388 -.053 1 16 BAR06B 1900 1993 94 3 0 .615 1.23 2.40 .464 .521 .297 2.59 .426 -.017 1 17 BAR07A 1906 1993 88 3 0 .773 1.86 5.75 1.022 .476 .465 2.86 .482 .093 2 18 BAR07B 1896 1993 98 4 0 .728 1.81 5.08 1.069 .588 .443 2.81 .562 .057 2 19 BAR09A 1847 1993 147 6 0 .764 1.09 2.81 .590 .512 .410 2.66 .351 -.024 1 20 BAR09B 1892 1993 102 4 0 .752 1.70 4.54 .817 .179 .470 2.57 .457 -.002 1 21 BAR10A 1884 1993 110 4 0 .745 1.32 5.30 .717 .519 .383 2.92 .454 .006 1 22 BAR11A 1754 1993 240 9 0 .784 .78 2.12 .362 .723 .304 2.62 .440 -.025 2 23 BAR11B 1753 1993 241 9 0 .758 .78 2.09 .341 .651 .303 2.59 .372 .041 1 24 BAR13A 1770 1993 224 9 0 .802 1.12 3.42 .666 .654 .426 2.68 .406 -.024 1 25 BAR13B 1776 1993 218 8 0 .762 1.14 3.68 .674 .667 .383 2.55 .352 -.004 1 26 BAR16A 1867 1993 127 5 0 .521 1.56 3.33 .715 .841 .219 2.61 .487 .006 1 27 BAR16B 1873 1993 121 5 0 .688 1.07 2.56 .466 .756 .256 2.63 .430 -.016 1 28 BAR17A 1748 1993 246 10 0 .775 1.09 2.59 .437 .489 .345 2.70 .434 .007 1 29 BAR17B 1730 1993 264 10 0 .790 1.00 2.54 .421 .525 .329 2.68 .425 -.006 1 30 BAR18A 1855 1993 139 5 0 .726 1.32 2.80 .552 .449 .347 2.42 .315 .037 1 31 BAR18B 1855 1993 139 5 0 .739 1.32 4.02 .634 .578 .347 2.54 .327 .020 1 32 BAR19A 1849 1993 145 6 0 .571 1.11 3.96 .628 .320 .459 2.89 .501 -.008 1 33 BAR19B 1862 1993 132 5 0 .607 1.31 3.78 .606 .231 .405 3.00 .555 .053 1 34 BAR20A 1851 1993 143 5 0 .806 1.12 2.70 .530 .377 .418 2.55 .303 -.009 1 35 BAR20B 1905 1993 89 3 0 .774 1.86 4.61 .797 .021 .476 2.65 .580 -.031 3 36 BAR21A 1748 1993 246 10 0 .781 .84 2.70 .603 .698 .524 2.77 .499 -.020 1 37 BAR21B 1750 1840 91 3 0 .796 .96 2.40 .423 .364 .414 2.73 .566 -.092 1 38 BAR21C 1860 1993 134 5 0 .818 .52 1.45 .257 .039 .523 2.85 .502 .052 1 39 591011 1763 1973 211 8 0 .720 .88 3.85 .516 .698 .299 2.69 .423 -.039 1 40 591012 1798 1973 176 7 0 .789 .99 2.44 .422 .694 .261 2.68 .465 -.019 2 41 591021 1688 1973 286 11 0 .738 .55 1.50 .266 .443 .450 2.76 .472 .010 1 42 591031 1729 1973 245 9 0 .682 1.19 3.55 .551 .646 .296 2.75 .407 -.014 1 43 591032 1748 1973 226 9 0 .653 1.31 3.69 .608 .593 .295 2.64 .379 -.033 1 44 591041 1714 1973 260 10 0 .662 1.10 3.82 .754 .796 .343 2.67 .416 -.024 1 45 591042 1774 1973 200 8 0 .650 .96 2.46 .467 .741 .291 2.62 .388 -.042 1 46 591061 1693 1973 281 11 0 .592 .67 2.45 .286 .564 .316 2.54 .310 -.004 3 47 591062 1674 1972 299 12 0 .664 .87 4.60 .815 .898 .316 2.58 .367 -.004 1 48 591071 1750 1972 223 8 0 .602 1.00 1.92 .331 .358 .300 2.71 .488 .004 1 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: mexi022.rwl 09:10 Wed 23 Mar 2005 Page 11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 49 591072 1793 1971 179 7 0 .584 1.00 2.23 .488 .733 .319 2.67 .490 -.018 1 50 591861 1795 1973 179 7 0 .637 1.02 2.73 .504 .349 .461 2.99 .535 .023 1 51 591862 1804 1973 170 6 0 .719 1.15 2.82 .522 .480 .382 2.82 .546 -.009 2 52 727001 1595 1872 278 11 0 .674 .83 3.77 .793 .911 .348 2.66 .381 -.010 1 53 727002 1590 1730 141 6 0 .728 1.19 3.10 .703 .796 .313 2.57 .404 -.021 1 54 727003 1597 1973 377 15 0 .726 .85 3.05 .652 .782 .350 2.64 .389 -.012 1 55 727012 1711 1973 263 10 1 .624 1.27 3.79 .809 .815 .358 2.84 .464 -.004 1 56 727011 1658 1973 316 12 1 .680 .89 2.94 .581 .790 .379 2.66 .381 -.003 1 57 727021 1663 1970 308 12 0 .764 .86 2.78 .495 .695 .381 2.66 .394 .021 1 58 727022 1684 1973 290 11 0 .823 .94 2.45 .425 .560 .373 2.74 .522 .009 1 59 727023 1743 1972 230 9 0 .751 .92 2.91 .427 .665 .337 2.65 .504 .017 1 60 727031 1563 1973 411 16 0 .709 1.03 3.79 .678 .901 .247 2.49 .273 -.041 1 61 727032 1604 1950 347 14 0 .706 1.05 3.35 .579 .871 .240 2.58 .328 .011 1 62 727033 1609 1890 282 11 0 .704 1.22 3.45 .659 .844 .214 2.74 .437 .024 1 63 727041 1757 1972 216 8 0 .753 .80 2.37 .456 .770 .362 2.70 .405 -.025 2 64 727042 1757 1972 216 8 0 .811 .97 2.70 .504 .682 .382 2.53 .288 -.009 1 65 727051 1822 1973 152 6 0 .776 1.61 5.02 1.147 .879 .303 2.56 .407 -.027 1 66 727052 1835 1972 138 5 0 .754 1.45 4.20 .842 .833 .293 2.66 .439 .059 1 67 727062 1650 1973 324 12 0 .755 .75 2.75 .412 .842 .250 2.53 .358 -.005 3 68 727061 1630 1973 344 13 0 .757 .85 3.23 .557 .898 .259 2.52 .292 -.018 1 69 727071 1604 1934 331 13 0 .740 .95 3.74 .528 .855 .236 2.72 .460 .013 1 70 727072 1813 1973 161 6 0 .756 .62 1.24 .223 .469 .301 2.57 .329 -.011 1 71 727081 1775 1973 199 7 0 .665 1.28 3.12 .517 .802 .203 2.53 .407 -.043 1 72 727082 1765 1968 204 8 0 .613 1.25 3.70 .690 .914 .212 2.71 .443 -.040 1 73 727092 1848 1972 125 5 0 .645 .87 16.29 1.441 .365 .335 2.71 .418 -.053 1 74 727091 1797 1972 176 7 1 .598 .92 1.84 .329 .521 .301 2.61 .445 -.008 1 75 727101 1559 1898 340 13 1 .591 .87 3.10 .528 .785 .320 2.68 .384 -.003 1 76 727102 1604 1899 296 11 0 .631 .75 3.15 .497 .806 .341 2.67 .415 .001 1 77 729011 1754 1973 220 8 0 .819 1.22 3.84 .715 .791 .298 2.58 .342 -.029 1 78 729012 1738 1973 236 9 0 .764 1.16 3.32 .581 .656 .303 2.50 .305 -.041 1 79 729021 1715 1972 258 10 0 .832 .68 1.80 .365 .679 .375 2.56 .378 -.004 2 80 729022 1604 1973 370 14 0 .750 .93 5.29 .797 .852 .411 2.74 .323 -.002 1 81 729031 1832 1973 142 5 0 .749 1.93 7.32 1.272 .779 .339 2.99 .518 .063 1 82 729032 1840 1973 134 5 0 .796 1.72 5.20 1.182 .850 .338 2.76 .433 .008 1 83 729081 1779 1973 195 7 0 .635 1.41 2.84 .532 .657 .263 2.68 .410 .015 1 84 729082 1801 1972 172 6 0 .787 1.06 2.33 .460 .656 .286 2.70 .345 .057 1 85 729091 1873 1973 101 4 0 .753 1.63 3.48 .580 .597 .289 2.57 .524 -.017 1 86 729092 1854 1973 120 4 0 .765 1.14 3.25 .525 .609 .308 2.78 .484 .076 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 19191 736 5 .728 .97 16.29 .539 .651 .353 3.00 .413 -.001