Biarum Gergj, Mongolia - mong017 Additional Site Information Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Brendan Buckley, Nicole Davi Neil Pederson, and Baatarbileg Nachin Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG017.CRN Measurement file name : MONG017.RWL Date checked : 31OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1350 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: G. Jacoby R. D'Arrigo B. Buckley N. Davi N. Pederson B. Nachin Site name : Biarum Gergj Site location : Mongolia Species information : LASI SIBERIAN LARCH Latitude : 4958 Longitude : 9100 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.686 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.307 Avg standard deviation : 0.281 Avg autocorrelation : 0.704 Number dated series : 22 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 4 Pct problem segments : 1.06 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Biarum Gergj 15:32 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BrG01s 1479 2005 .53 .76 .79 .68 .77 .86 .74 .61 .74 .85 .87 .87 .81 .81 .77 2 BrG01w 1559 2005 .69 .69 .75 .77 .67 .67 .74 .75 .79 .73 .67 .68 3 BrG3a 1350 2005 .90 .90 .90 .84 .72 .77 .79 .76 .75 .64 .69 .75 .72 .70 .69 .80 .79 .64 .52 .64 4 BrG04a 1611 2005 .53 .52 .62 .71 .62 .71 .69 .57 .65 .71 5 BrG06B 1410 2005 .70 .72 .62 .75 .70 .66 .69 .73 .79 .75 .66 .71 .79 .62 .58 .63 .49B .66 6 BrG08b 1360 2005 .90 .89 .85 .78 .72 .80 .79 .80 .73 .65 .63 .68 .66 .55 .60 .78 .75 .57 .60 .72 7 BrG08e 1539 2005 .53 .75 .75 .64 .56 .73 .77 .60 .68 .70 .60 .60 .67 8 BrG11n 1759 2005 .73 .66 .77 .74 9 BrG11w 1748 2005 .68 .69 .79 .70 .67 10 BrG12s 1650 2005 .75 .60 .56 .66 .56 .63 .79 .78 11 BrG12w 1651 2005 .58 .71 .71 .53 .46 .73 .77 .77 12 BrG13nw 1540 2005 .73 .79 .83 .82 .71 .67 .65 .50 .61 .67 .65 .71 .59 13 BrG13e 1539 2005 .73 .71 .78 .81 .76 .66 .62 .65 .83 .79 .76 .77 .63 14 BrG14s 1751 2005 .51 .74 .71 .81 15 BrG15n 1488 2005 .71 .66 .45 .46 .82 .76 .67 .72 .84 .89 .87 .82 .64 .53 .51 16 BrG16a 1620 2005 .68 .69 .77 .84 .77 .61 .54 .66 .79 .76 17 BrG16e 1526 2005 .68 .77 .84 .85 .82 .85 .87 .82 .69 .56 .60 .61 .62 18 BrG17e 1616 2005 .75 .78 .69 .77 .76 .68 .72 .78 .77 .72 19 BrG18w 1635 2005 .80 .80 .68 .60 .73 .80 .75 .57 .65 20 BrG20n 1535 2005 .82 .78 .70 .74 .76 .70 .79 .73 .48B .51 .71 .71 .75 21 BrG20w 1678 2005 .82 .68 .61 .71 .67 .53 .59 22 BrG21e 1749 2005 .64 .64 .69 .78 .69 Av segment correlation .90 .89 .82 .78 .69 .71 .74 .69 .71 .75 .73 .72 .70 .73 .70 .69 .68 .68 .67 .69 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Biarum Gergj 15:32 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BrG01s 1479 2005 .77 .81 .76 .67 .67 .62 2 BrG01w 1559 2005 .74 .77 .73 .73 .62 .58 3 BrG3a 1350 2005 .70 .67 .65 .65 .70 .63 4 BrG04a 1611 2005 .77 .81 .73 .53 .55 .59 5 BrG06B 1410 2005 .78 .71 .78 .72 .54 .57 6 BrG08b 1360 2005 .68 .68 .71 .68 .71 .67 7 BrG08e 1539 2005 .75 .37 .13B .30A .71 .74 8 BrG11n 1759 2005 .69 .77 .75 .65 .82 .88 9 BrG11w 1748 2005 .72 .70 .63 .40 .66 .72 10 BrG12s 1650 2005 .61 .62 .68 .53 .74 .76 11 BrG12w 1651 2005 .77 .69 .53 .46 .59 .56 12 BrG13nw 1540 2005 .54 .61 .48 .48 .73 .71 13 BrG13e 1539 2005 .55 .59 .62 .54 .64 .62 14 BrG14s 1751 2005 .78 .71 .71 .66 .71 .71 15 BrG15n 1488 2005 .61 .77 .70 .61 .77 .75 16 BrG16a 1620 2005 .70 .75 .69 .71 .80 .79 17 BrG16e 1526 2005 .76 .76 .66 .65 .73 .74 18 BrG17e 1616 2005 .75 .83 .74 .65 .61 .59 19 BrG18w 1635 2005 .76 .66 .55 .61 .69 .67 20 BrG20n 1535 2005 .84 .70 .60 .59 .63 .63 21 BrG20w 1678 2005 .72 .68 .62 .62 .76 .77 22 BrG21e 1749 2005 .71 .71 .67 .54 .71 .72 Av segment correlation .71 .70 .64 .59 .69 .68 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Biarum Gergj 15:32 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 11 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BrG01s 1479 2005 527 21 0 .731 .61 2.66 .389 .848 .263 2.58 .364 -.004 3 2 BrG01w 1559 2005 447 18 0 .704 .47 1.39 .192 .754 .233 2.54 .351 .015 1 3 BrG3a 1350 2005 656 26 0 .722 .46 1.51 .219 .733 .302 2.63 .412 .009 3 4 BrG04a 1611 2005 395 16 0 .642 .75 4.09 .608 .824 .309 2.58 .353 -.030 2 5 BrG06B 1410 2005 596 24 1 .675 .51 2.17 .272 .726 .334 2.74 .417 .003 3 6 BrG08b 1360 2005 646 26 0 .711 .41 1.13 .188 .657 .322 2.60 .357 .003 3 7 BrG08e 1539 2005 467 19 2 .595 .46 1.27 .235 .721 .331 2.55 .342 .009 1 8 BrG11n 1759 2005 247 10 0 .747 .62 4.75 .385 .487 .297 2.64 .392 -.010 2 9 BrG11w 1748 2005 258 11 0 .677 .75 2.37 .471 .844 .283 2.55 .360 .005 2 10 BrG12s 1650 2005 356 14 0 .667 .67 1.95 .288 .686 .266 2.59 .377 .032 1 11 BrG12w 1651 2005 355 14 0 .609 .77 1.63 .301 .648 .277 2.56 .375 .012 2 12 BrG13nw 1540 2005 466 19 0 .642 .59 1.84 .306 .804 .286 2.45 .323 -.011 2 13 BrG13e 1539 2005 467 19 0 .682 .51 2.64 .363 .837 .322 2.43 .272 -.027 2 14 BrG14s 1751 2005 255 10 0 .675 .46 .98 .170 .396 .336 2.57 .460 -.031 2 15 BrG15n 1488 2005 518 21 0 .690 .55 1.67 .349 .834 .314 2.48 .337 .003 2 16 BrG16a 1620 2005 386 16 0 .720 .74 2.05 .303 .628 .306 2.67 .417 -.007 1 17 BrG16e 1526 2005 480 19 0 .727 .57 1.58 .265 .639 .332 2.69 .373 .012 1 18 BrG17e 1616 2005 390 16 0 .712 .51 2.35 .266 .699 .294 2.60 .344 .004 1 19 BrG18w 1635 2005 371 15 0 .683 .44 1.49 .196 .557 .349 2.72 .442 .009 2 20 BrG20n 1535 2005 471 19 1 .690 .36 1.02 .183 .658 .353 2.62 .399 -.012 2 21 BrG20w 1678 2005 328 13 0 .678 .37 .92 .170 .636 .330 2.54 .364 -.022 2 22 BrG21e 1749 2005 257 11 0 .694 .40 .80 .138 .506 .277 2.57 .364 -.019 2 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 9339 377 4 .686 .53 4.75 .281 .704 .307 2.74 .371 -.001