South Park Ridge, Mongolia - mong030 Additional Site Information Gordon Jacoby, Rosanne D'Arrigo, Brendan Buckley, Nicole Davi Neil Pederson, and Baatarbileg Nachin Purpose of Collection: Climatology - precipitation analysis Reference: Cook, E.R., K.J. Anchukaitis, B.M. Buckley, R.D. D'Arrigo, G.C. Jacoby, and W.E. Wright. 2010. Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium. Science, Vol. 328, Issue 5977, pp.486-489, 23 April 2010. DOI: 10.1126/science.1185188 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : MONG030.CRN Measurement file name : MONG030.RWL Date checked : 31OCT11 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1432 Ending year : 1998 Principal investigators: G. Jacoby R. D'Arrigo B. Buckley N. Davi N. Pederson B. Nachin Site name : South Park Ridge Site location : Mongolia Species information : LASI SIBERIAN LARCH Latitude : 4923 Longitude : 9453 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.739 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.347 Avg standard deviation : 0.309 Avg autocorrelation : 0.708 Number dated series : 45 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 6 Pct problem segments : 1.10 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: South Park Ridge 15:43 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 SPR1B 1476 1939 .55 .63 .64 .73 .79 .61 .62 .68 .74 .74 .62 .64 .63 .73 .81 .71 .69 .63 2 SPR1C 1476 1626 .63 .58 .51 .66 .72 .71 3 SPR1E 1486 1939 .54 .51 .52 .70 .70 .59 .61 .63 .61 .63 .69 .61 .66 .75 .71 .76 .77 .64 4 SPR2E 1433 1505 .48 .67 .66 5 SPR2W 1437 1504 .61 .64 .63 6 SPR2N 1580 1855 .69 .51 .42 .65 .72 .67 .72 .78 .64 .70 .72 7 SPR2W 1562 1844 .55 .76 .69 .71 .73 .78 .68 .70 .77 .68 .50 8 SPR5N 1514 1998 .74 .78 .80 .75 .58 .58 .56 .66 .82 .66 .70 .78 .74 .70 .65 .74 .72 9 SPR5S' 1530 1998 .76 .77 .75 .73 .67 .61 .76 .91 .88 .90 .80 .73 .78 .82 .80 .76 10 SPR6N 1732 1998 .76 .80 .84 .84 .81 .73 .72 .76 11 SPR7E 1767 1998 .65 .60 .70 .71 .63 .80 .74 12 SPR8E 1766 1998 .78 .81 .78 .77 .76 .79 .82 13 SPR8W 1774 1998 .78 .78 .82 .83 .81 .80 .78 14 SPR10S 1602 1998 .60 .64 .61 .72 .79 .81 .81 .79 .75 .57 .66 .80 .70 15 SPR10S' 1715 1998 .83 .86 .83 .79 .81 .79 .80 .80 .70 16 SPR13W 1506 1998 .74 .61 .66 .81 .67 .68 .63 .71 .87 .88 .75 .69 .84 .85 .80 .80 .79 17 SPR13N 1672 1998 .75 .73 .78 .83 .83 .75 .76 .77 .81 .80 .72 18 SPR17N 1767 1998 .71 .74 .83 .84 .68 .72 .80 19 SPR18S 1661 1998 .71 .79 .82 .74 .76 .72 .64 .79 .71 .69 .80 20 SPR19W 1624 1922 .80 .82 .67 .72 .86 .86 .86 .80 .78 .81 .85 .84 21 SPR21N 1624 1998 .68 .70 .70 .80 .83 .79 .75 .80 .86 .83 .85 .87 .86 22 SPR21S 1627 1998 .66 .75 .78 .80 .73 .70 .67 .77 .82 .79 .82 .83 23 SPR22E 1661 1998 .90 .89 .80 .85 .87 .87 .85 .76 .72 .82 .88 24 SPR23N 1646 1998 .66 .68 .76 .79 .81 .57 .40 .68 .75 .59 .64 .61 25 SPR24E 1766 1998 .52 .58 .68 .75 .71 .81 .84 26 SPR25N 1619 1998 .57 .56 .60 .85 .84 .82 .79 .71 .74 .75 .80 .86 .73 27 SPR25S 1735 1998 .83 .81 .82 .87 .84 .75 .81 .80 28 SPR26S 1745 1998 .89 .89 .90 .87 .86 .82 .75 .70 29 SPR26N 1771 1998 .82 .81 .75 .73 .75 .83 .75 30 SPR28S 1608 1694 .73 .75 .86 31 SPR28N 1432 1998 .47 .37B .52 .54 .37 -.14B .02B .53 .73 .84 .86 .73 .75 .80 .74 .83 .86 .75 .73 .65 32 SPR28N' 1608 1810 .70 .74 .81 .85 .86 .84 .83 .86 33 SPR30S 1765 1998 .58 .63 .68 .66 .67 .71 .78 34 SPR30W 1781 1998 .65 .70 .76 .77 .86 .78 35 SPR32E 1648 1998 .80 .82 .89 .84 .82 .72 .72 .80 .79 .77 .85 .83 36 SPR32 1671 1998 .86 .86 .86 .88 .81 .63 -.01B-.16B .19B .60 .87 37 SPR33S 1637 1998 .62 .75 .76 .33 .34 .75 .87 .91 .90 .86 .88 .82 38 SPR33E 1643 1998 .68 .74 .79 .89 .78 .70 .80 .91 .91 .86 .91 .84 39 SPR33N 1650 1998 .83 .78 .68 .84 .85 .88 .89 .85 .83 .80 .57 40 SPR34E 1607 1998 .66 .60 .67 .82 .91 .90 .82 .80 .91 .89 .89 .90 .84 41 SPR34W 1721 1998 .78 .86 .82 .46 .50 .86 .86 .86 .89 42 SPR36W 1465 1659 .59 .60 .77 .79 .78 .76 .77 .77 43 SPR36E2 1465 1998 .45 .51 .80 .80 .77 .75 .68 .74 .82 .90 .88 .87 .87 .81 .84 .89 .79 .72 .82 44 SPR36E 1478 1998 .73 .74 .77 .77 .70 .73 .79 .83 .85 .85 .88 .88 .75 .74 .84 .86 .81 .70 45 SPR39S 1810 1998 .88 .87 .89 .83 .82 Av segment correlation .52 .54 .59 .67 .66 .64 .68 .66 .68 .73 .78 .79 .79 .77 .73 .75 .77 .76 .79 .77 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: South Park Ridge 15:43 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1925 1950 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 8 SPR5N 1514 1998 .69 .75 9 SPR5S' 1530 1998 .71 .77 10 SPR6N 1732 1998 .53 .62 11 SPR7E 1767 1998 .64 .77 12 SPR8E 1766 1998 .73 .60 13 SPR8W 1774 1998 .75 .71 14 SPR10S 1602 1998 .67 .73 15 SPR10S' 1715 1998 .70 .79 16 SPR13W 1506 1998 .81 .76 17 SPR13N 1672 1998 .66 .64 18 SPR17N 1767 1998 .67 .63 19 SPR18S 1661 1998 .74 .68 21 SPR21N 1624 1998 .84 .79 22 SPR21S 1627 1998 .74 .66 23 SPR22E 1661 1998 .87 .86 24 SPR23N 1646 1998 .63 .75 25 SPR24E 1766 1998 .79 .80 26 SPR25N 1619 1998 .58 .59 27 SPR25S 1735 1998 .61 .60 28 SPR26S 1745 1998 .64 .73 29 SPR26N 1771 1998 .68 .72 31 SPR28N 1432 1998 .70 .71 33 SPR30S 1765 1998 .78 .79 34 SPR30W 1781 1998 .76 .83 35 SPR32E 1648 1998 .83 .88 36 SPR32 1671 1998 .84 .78 37 SPR33S 1637 1998 .81 .85 38 SPR33E 1643 1998 .68 .77 39 SPR33N 1650 1998 .64 .88 40 SPR34E 1607 1998 .72 .74 41 SPR34W 1721 1998 .81 .78 43 SPR36E2 1465 1998 .82 .83 44 SPR36E 1478 1998 .77 .83 45 SPR39S 1810 1998 .77 .77 Av segment correlation .72 .75 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: South Park Ridge 15:43 Mon 31 Oct 2011 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 SPR1B 1476 1939 464 18 0 .669 .38 1.55 .210 .824 .246 2.57 .405 -.041 1 2 SPR1C 1476 1626 151 6 0 .605 .72 2.02 .350 .808 .259 2.72 .428 .012 1 3 SPR1E 1486 1939 454 18 0 .637 .36 1.75 .218 .866 .246 2.61 .281 -.016 1 4 SPR2E 1433 1505 73 3 0 .584 .66 1.23 .227 .706 .221 2.74 .400 -.052 1 5 SPR2W 1437 1504 68 3 0 .622 .55 1.31 .248 .785 .248 2.46 .384 .082 1 6 SPR2N 1580 1855 276 11 0 .677 .44 1.46 .342 .816 .307 2.50 .314 -.049 2 7 SPR2W 1562 1844 283 11 0 .649 .40 .92 .160 .528 .332 2.49 .319 -.029 2 8 SPR5N 1514 1998 485 19 0 .703 .35 1.47 .256 .833 .407 2.45 .293 -.029 2 9 SPR5S' 1530 1998 469 18 0 .772 .31 .98 .165 .740 .342 2.48 .335 -.029 3 10 SPR6N 1732 1998 267 10 0 .736 .41 1.23 .200 .663 .302 2.59 .285 .001 1 11 SPR7E 1767 1998 232 9 0 .713 .89 2.56 .468 .728 .277 2.44 .343 -.051 1 12 SPR8E 1766 1998 233 9 0 .749 1.08 3.39 .674 .794 .293 2.54 .370 .025 5 13 SPR8W 1774 1998 225 9 0 .778 .78 2.11 .474 .729 .370 2.59 .413 -.039 5 14 SPR10S 1602 1998 397 15 0 .699 .46 1.35 .193 .627 .292 2.70 .426 -.013 1 15 SPR10S' 1715 1998 284 11 0 .781 .46 1.02 .162 .522 .289 2.48 .319 -.028 2 16 SPR13W 1506 1998 493 19 0 .760 .45 1.67 .254 .753 .327 2.57 .331 -.013 1 17 SPR13N 1672 1998 327 13 0 .762 .40 1.06 .178 .673 .326 2.61 .409 -.038 9 18 SPR17N 1767 1998 232 9 0 .732 .59 1.58 .229 .681 .244 2.52 .405 -.024 2 19 SPR18S 1661 1998 338 13 0 .740 .44 1.53 .271 .696 .351 2.46 .377 -.041 3 20 SPR19W 1624 1922 299 12 0 .818 .35 .93 .194 .581 .485 2.66 .435 -.026 1 21 SPR21N 1624 1998 375 15 0 .800 .58 2.49 .423 .768 .328 2.71 .411 -.018 3 22 SPR21S 1627 1998 372 14 0 .722 .54 1.90 .332 .763 .339 2.63 .358 -.026 2 23 SPR22E 1661 1998 338 13 0 .847 .56 2.27 .429 .707 .460 2.61 .398 -.015 1 24 SPR23N 1646 1998 353 14 0 .659 .49 3.75 .582 .856 .474 2.69 .434 -.044 4 25 SPR24E 1766 1998 233 9 0 .701 1.35 3.77 .711 .776 .316 2.57 .380 -.017 2 26 SPR25N 1619 1998 380 15 0 .718 .37 .85 .141 .520 .329 2.54 .322 .003 2 27 SPR25S 1735 1998 264 10 0 .773 .58 1.00 .161 .465 .235 2.55 .427 -.023 2 28 SPR26S 1745 1998 254 10 0 .805 .52 1.14 .205 .533 .327 2.51 .337 .017 1 29 SPR26N 1771 1998 228 9 0 .749 .48 1.39 .242 .671 .314 2.59 .362 -.008 4 30 SPR28S 1608 1694 87 3 0 .816 .42 1.41 .240 .487 .460 2.79 .585 -.005 1 31 SPR28N 1432 1998 567 22 3 .645 .19 1.12 .369 .926 .394 2.66 .359 -.011 1 32 SPR28N' 1608 1810 203 8 0 .786 .30 .75 .169 .568 .538 2.52 .401 .004 1 33 SPR30S 1765 1998 234 9 0 .689 .82 2.18 .406 .674 .302 2.59 .354 -.063 2 34 SPR30W 1781 1998 218 8 0 .752 .76 2.08 .391 .623 .344 2.49 .334 -.037 2 35 SPR32E 1648 1998 351 14 0 .806 .61 2.16 .435 .673 .443 2.58 .338 -.010 1 36 SPR32 1671 1998 328 13 3 .655 .37 2.16 .707 .880 .426 2.57 .373 -.022 2 37 SPR33S 1637 1998 362 14 0 .757 .65 2.45 .536 .797 .330 2.58 .394 -.003 1 38 SPR33E 1643 1998 356 14 0 .809 .77 2.70 .452 .735 .312 2.65 .356 .006 1 39 SPR33N 1650 1998 349 13 0 .793 .72 2.23 .417 .743 .319 2.56 .394 -.017 3 40 SPR34E 1607 1998 392 15 0 .811 .44 1.33 .193 .624 .342 2.44 .313 .006 1 41 SPR34W 1721 1998 278 11 0 .734 .47 1.02 .215 .645 .287 2.41 .312 .041 1 42 SPR36W 1465 1659 195 8 0 .706 .27 .78 .150 .585 .465 2.52 .321 -.059 1 43 SPR36E2 1465 1998 534 21 0 .791 .39 1.34 .218 .626 .393 2.64 .353 -.023 1 44 SPR36E 1478 1998 521 20 0 .791 .38 1.41 .216 .652 .400 2.67 .380 -.031 7 45 SPR39S 1810 1998 189 7 0 .823 .51 1.45 .258 .618 .393 2.45 .339 -.066 3 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 14011 545 6 .739 .50 3.77 .309 .708 .347 2.79 .363 -.019