[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run CNR Program COF 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 24441 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Canyon Road File of DATED series: cnr.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1489 to 1997 509 years Continuous time span is 1489 to 1997 509 years Portion with two or more series is 1511 to 1997 487 years >> cnr031 1650 absent in 1 of 7 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.138 >> cnr102 1943 absent in 1 of 8 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.385 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 15 *C* *O* Master series 1489 1997 509 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 3775 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 3753 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .669 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .401 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 2 *A* *** Mean length of series 251.7 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) cnr031 5 absent rings: 1650 1654 1670 1685 1735 cnr101 1 absent rings: 1848 cnr102 2 absent rings: 1848 1943 cnr151 2 absent rings: 1579 1654 cnr222 2 absent rings: 1742 1848 cnr251 2 absent rings: 1759 1767 cnr281 6 absent rings: 1568 1735 1742 1781 1801 1824 cnr283 5 absent rings: 1630 1689 1735 1736 1742 cnr321 3 absent rings: 1874 1880 1992 cnr322 2 absent rings: 1874 1880 30 absent rings .795% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . .<==========================> . . . . . . cnr031 1 1511 1784 274 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . cnr071 2 1780 1997 218 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============================>. . cnr101 3 1677 1997 321 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============================>. . cnr102 4 1689 1997 309 . . . . . . . . . . <==================> . . . . . . . cnr151 5 1545 1733 189 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . cnr162 6 1868 1997 130 . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============================> . . cnr222 7 1651 1976 326 . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. . . . . . cnr231 8 1569 1790 222 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . cnr241 9 1834 1997 164 . . . . . . . . . . <============================> . . . . . cnr251 10 1547 1839 293 . . . . . . . . . <===================================>. . . . . cnr281 11 1489 1845 357 . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . . . . cnr282 12 1631 1843 213 . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================> . . . . . cnr283 13 1596 1814 219 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. . cnr321 14 1728 1997 270 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. . cnr322 15 1728 1997 270 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1500 -1.727 1 1550 -.519 4 1600 -.983 6 1650 -.138 7 1<< 1700 .287 10 1501 .501 1 1551 -.652 4 1601 -1.111 6 1651 .452 8 1701 -.752 10 1502 -.074 1 1552 -2.809 4 1602 .069 6 1652 -.087 8 1702 .179 10 1503 .595 1 1553 -1.427 4 1603 -.924 6 1653 -.884 8 1703 -.736 10 1504 .822 1 1554 .304 4 1604 .811 6 1654 -1.707 8 2 1704 .139 10 1505 2.499 1 1555 .107 4 1605 .588 6 1655 .910 8 1705 1.055 10 1506 -1.422 1 1556 -1.111 4 1606 -.562 6 1656 .870 8 1706 -.763 10 1507 .733 1 1557 -.222 4 1607 .386 6 1657 .781 8 1707 .895 10 1508 -.619 1 1558 -.772 4 1608 .223 6 1658 .369 8 1708 -1.034 10 1509 -.444 1 1559 .590 4 1609 .083 6 1659 .229 8 1709 -.420 10 1510 1.110 1 1560 .763 4 1610 -.681 6 1660 -.626 8 1710 .129 10 1511 1.099 2 1561 1.237 4 1611 1.752 6 1661 1.546 8 1711 -.447 10 1512 .786 2 1562 .185 4 1612 -1.220 6 1662 .048 8 1712 -2.191 10 1513 -.271 2 1563 .912 4 1613 -.420 6 1663 .464 8 1713 .345 10 1514 1.380 2 1564 .572 4 1614 -.640 6 1664 -1.006 8 1714 1.468 10 1515 -.510 2 1565 -.095 4 1615 1.078 6 1665 -1.237 8 1715 .788 10 1516 .342 2 1566 .394 4 1616 .023 6 1666 .418 8 1716 1.118 10 1517 -1.641 2 1567 .047 4 1617 .916 6 1667 .047 8 1717 -.549 10 1518 -1.568 2 1568 -.496 4 1 1618 .197 6 1668 -1.618 8 1718 -2.845 10 1519 -.136 2 1569 1.781 5 1619 .713 6 1669 .298 8 1719 .973 10 1520 -.607 2 1570 -.587 5 1620 -1.095 6 1670 -1.286 8 1 1720 .676 10 1521 1.188 2 1571 -.230 5 1621 1.216 6 1671 -.098 8 1721 -.046 10 1522 -1.260 2 1572 1.357 5 1622 .156 6 1672 .815 8 1722 .516 10 1523 1.413 2 1573 -.697 5 1623 -.861 6 1673 1.206 8 1723 -.271 10 1524 1.931 2 1574 -.187 5 1624 -.510 6 1674 1.041 8 1724 -.275 10 1525 .833 2 1575 -.904 5 1625 .579 6 1675 .505 8 1725 -.534 10 1526 -.188 2 1576 .204 5 1626 .610 6 1676 1.419 8 1726 .863 10 1527 1.111 2 1577 .538 5 1627 1.248 6 1677 .175 9 1727 1.175 10 1528 -.421 2 1578 -.195 5 1628 -.129 6 1678 1.119 9 1728 -.098 12 1529 -.763 2 1579 -1.672 5 1 1629 .939 6 1679 -1.154 9 1729 1.385 12 1530 .102 2 1580 -1.178 5 1630 -.996 6 1 1680 1.100 9 1730 -.001 12 1531 -1.998 2 1581 -1.160 5 1631 -1.607 7 1681 -.838 9 1731 .198 12 1532 -.900 2 1582 -.433 5 1632 -.435 7 1682 -.816 9 1732 .440 12 1533 -.501 2 1583 .698 5 1633 .448 7 1683 .717 9 1733 .267 12 1534 -2.203 2 1584 .397 5 1634 -.614 7 1684 -.181 9 1734 -.108 11 1535 -.927 2 1585 1.374 5 1635 .396 7 1685 -2.757 9 1 1735 -1.938 11 3 1536 -.504 2 1586 -.073 5 1636 -.002 7 1686 -1.877 9 1736 -1.660 11 1 1537 .480 2 1587 -.005 5 1637 -1.291 7 1687 -.803 9 1737 .355 11 1538 -.635 2 1588 1.246 5 1638 -2.024 7 1688 .189 9 1738 .867 11 1489 -1.186 1 1539 1.279 2 1589 1.035 5 1639 .736 7 1689 -.775 10 1 1739 .087 11 1490 .315 1 1540 1.328 2 1590 -.786 5 1640 .283 7 1690 .540 10 1740 -.134 11 1491 1.938 1 1541 1.240 2 1591 -1.433 5 1641 .251 7 1691 .371 10 1741 -.523 11 1492 .026 1 1542 -1.218 2 1592 .296 5 1642 1.021 7 1692 1.229 10 1742 -2.748 11 3 1493 .887 1 1543 1.193 2 1593 .284 5 1643 1.068 7 1693 .585 10 1743 -.253 11 1494 1.268 1 1544 .384 2 1594 .415 5 1644 1.679 7 1694 1.517 10 1744 -.601 11 1495 -.848 1 1545 .396 3 1595 .762 5 1645 -1.063 7 1695 .519 10 1745 -.797 11 1496 -2.375 1 1546 1.321 3 1596 1.653 6 1646 .984 7 1696 .248 10 1746 .267 11 1497 -1.118 1 1547 1.612 4 1597 -.245 6 1647 -.135 7 1697 .323 10 1747 .881 11 1498 .621 1 1548 .608 4 1598 -1.239 6 1648 -.868 7 1698 -.854 10 1748 .607 11 1499 -.896 1 1549 .787 4 1599 .717 6 1649 -.643 7 1699 .703 10 1749 .879 11 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1750 .914 11 1800 -.948 10 1850 .105 7 1900 -.211 8 1950 -.968 8 1751 -.407 11 1801 -1.550 10 1 1851 -1.211 7 1901 -.531 8 1951 -.039 8 1752 1.357 11 1802 -.008 10 1852 -.484 7 1902 -.336 8 1952 .626 8 1753 .832 11 1803 .932 10 1853 .541 7 1903 1.434 8 1953 1.083 8 1754 .438 11 1804 .103 10 1854 .095 7 1904 1.170 8 1954 .255 8 1755 .834 11 1805 1.115 10 1855 -.862 7 1905 .701 8 1955 1.505 8 1756 -.712 11 1806 .592 10 1856 .101 7 1906 1.218 8 1956 -.221 8 1757 -.535 11 1807 -.053 10 1857 1.080 7 1907 .674 8 1957 .861 8 1758 -.386 11 1808 .602 10 1858 1.683 7 1908 -.581 8 1958 .676 8 1759 -2.590 11 1 1809 -2.278 10 1859 1.152 7 1909 1.152 8 1959 -1.000 8 1760 .353 11 1810 .148 10 1860 1.363 7 1910 .116 8 1960 -.389 8 1761 1.205 11 1811 .681 10 1861 .703 7 1911 -1.477 8 1961 .387 8 1762 .241 11 1812 -.549 10 1862 .049 7 1912 .629 8 1962 .636 8 1763 -.536 11 1813 .350 10 1863 -1.980 7 1913 .228 8 1963 -.780 8 1764 .679 11 1814 .050 10 1864 .346 7 1914 -.819 8 1964 -.946 8 1765 -.670 11 1815 .912 9 1865 -1.025 7 1915 .555 8 1965 1.268 8 1766 .360 11 1816 1.201 9 1866 -.476 7 1916 -.353 8 1966 -3.350 8 1767 -2.046 11 1 1817 -.618 9 1867 .277 7 1917 -1.915 8 1967 -.080 8 1768 .050 11 1818 -.742 9 1868 .683 8 1918 .353 8 1968 -.308 8 1769 .448 11 1819 .428 9 1869 1.178 8 1919 -.211 8 1969 -1.277 8 1770 -1.499 11 1820 -.718 9 1870 .673 8 1920 .535 8 1970 .287 8 1771 .402 11 1821 1.123 9 1871 -1.336 8 1921 .907 8 1971 1.174 8 1772 -.343 11 1822 .046 9 1872 .046 8 1922 -1.137 8 1972 .748 8 1773 .698 11 1823 .321 9 1873 -.132 8 1923 .238 8 1973 .385 8 1774 1.292 11 1824 -4.781 9 1 1874 -1.938 8 2 1924 -.718 8 1974 1.201 8 1775 .531 11 1825 1.305 9 1875 -1.700 8 1925 -.970 8 1975 .664 8 1776 .729 11 1826 -.056 9 1876 -.959 8 1926 .864 8 1976 .868 8 1777 .645 11 1827 .132 9 1877 .181 8 1927 .880 8 1977 -.512 7 1778 .111 11 1828 1.027 9 1878 1.173 8 1928 -.244 8 1978 -1.406 7 1779 -1.277 11 1829 -1.256 9 1879 1.094 8 1929 .647 8 1979 .369 7 1780 1.190 12 1830 .007 9 1880 -2.049 8 2 1930 1.348 8 1980 -.394 7 1781 -.688 12 1 1831 -1.081 9 1881 .007 8 1931 1.353 8 1981 -1.341 7 1782 -.927 12 1832 .330 9 1882 1.071 8 1932 .826 8 1982 -1.851 7 1783 .628 12 1833 .609 9 1883 1.356 8 1933 1.469 8 1983 .874 7 1784 .547 12 1834 1.307 10 1884 1.326 8 1934 -2.114 8 1984 .204 7 1785 .317 11 1835 -.666 10 1885 .916 8 1935 .204 8 1985 -.178 7 1786 .661 11 1836 -.161 10 1886 .261 8 1936 -1.274 8 1986 1.931 7 1787 .219 11 1837 -.330 10 1887 -.250 8 1937 -.247 8 1987 .608 7 1788 -.413 11 1838 .228 10 1888 .336 8 1938 .234 8 1988 1.693 7 1789 -1.378 11 1839 .995 10 1889 -.345 8 1939 -1.343 8 1989 -1.721 7 1790 .159 11 1840 1.003 9 1890 -.255 8 1940 -1.567 8 1990 .976 7 1791 -1.477 10 1841 -.720 9 1891 .692 8 1941 -.336 8 1991 -.098 7 1792 .599 10 1842 -1.277 9 1892 .266 8 1942 .077 8 1992 -2.140 7 1 1793 .543 10 1843 .805 9 1893 -.809 8 1943 -.385 8 1<< 1993 .387 7 1794 1.350 10 1844 1.416 8 1894 -1.168 8 1944 -.138 8 1994 -1.344 7 1795 .604 10 1845 .050 8 1895 -1.788 8 1945 -.140 8 1995 .121 7 1796 -.308 10 1846 -.381 7 1896 -.807 8 1946 -.890 8 1996 .771 7 1797 -.085 10 1847 -1.366 7 1897 -.870 8 1947 1.304 8 1997 .581 7 1798 -.843 10 1848 -3.642 7 3 1898 .432 8 1948 .339 8 1799 -.218 10 1849 .777 7 1899 -.884 8 1949 .147 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1500g 1550---b 1600-d 1650----a 1700------A 1750--------D 1800-d 1501-------B 1551--c 1601-d 1651------B 1701--c 1751---b 1801f 1502----@ 1552k 1602-----@ 1652----@ 1702-----A 1752----------E 1802----@ 1503-------B 1553-f 1603--d 1653--d 1703--c 1753--------C 1803--------D 1504--------C 1554------A 1604--------C 1654g 1704-----A 1754------B 1804-----@ 1505----------J 1555-----@ 1605-------B 1655--------D 1705---------D 1755--------C 1805---------D 1506-f 1556-d 1606---b 1656--------C 1706--c 1756--c 1806-------B 1507--------C 1557----a 1607------B 1657--------C 1707--------D 1757---b 1807----@ 1508--b 1558--c 1608-----A 1658------A 1708-d 1758---b 1808-------B 1509---b 1559-------B 1609-----@ 1659-----A 1709---b 1759j 1809i 1510---------D 1560--------C 1610--c 1660--c 1710-----A 1760------A 1810-----A 1511---------D 1561----------E 1611----------G 1661----------F 1711---b 1761---------E 1811-------C 1512--------C 1562-----A 1612-e 1662-----@ 1712i 1762-----A 1812---b 1513---a 1563--------D 1613---b 1663------B 1713------A 1763---b 1813------A 1514----------F 1564-------B 1614--c 1664-d 1714----------F 1764-------C 1814-----@ 1515---b 1565----@ 1615---------D 1665-e 1715--------C 1765--c 1815--------D 1516------A 1566------B 1616----@ 1666------B 1716---------D 1766------A 1816---------E 1517g 1567-----@ 1617--------D 1667-----@ 1717---b 1767h 1817--b 1518f 1568---b 1618-----A 1668f 1718k 1768-----@ 1818--c 1519----a 1569----------G 1619--------C 1669------A 1719---------D 1769------B 1819------B 1520--b 1570--b 1620-d 1670-e 1720-------C 1770f 1820--c 1521---------E 1571----a 1621---------E 1671----@ 1721----@ 1771------B 1821---------D 1522-e 1572----------E 1622-----A 1672--------C 1722-------B 1772---a 1822-----@ 1523----------F 1573--c 1623--c 1673---------E 1723---a 1773--------C 1823------A 1524----------H 1574----a 1624---b 1674---------D 1724---a 1774----------E 1824s 1525--------C 1575--d 1625-------B 1675-------B 1725---b 1775-------B 1825----------E 1526----a 1576-----A 1626-------B 1676----------F 1726--------C 1776--------C 1826----@ 1527---------D 1577-------B 1627----------E 1677-----A 1727---------E 1777-------C 1827-----A 1528---b 1578----a 1628----a 1678---------D 1728----@ 1778-----@ 1828---------D 1529--c 1579g 1629--------D 1679-e 1729----------F 1779-e 1829-e 1530-----@ 1580-e 1630-d 1680---------D 1730----@ 1780---------E 1830----@ 1531h 1581-e 1631f 1681--c 1731-----A 1781--c 1831-d 1532--d 1582---b 1632---b 1682--c 1732------B 1782--d 1832------A 1533---b 1583--------C 1633------B 1683--------C 1733------A 1783-------C 1833-------B 1534i 1584------B 1634--b 1684----a 1734----@ 1784-------B 1834----------E 1535--d 1585----------E 1635------B 1685k 1735h 1785------A 1835--c 1536---b 1586----@ 1636----@ 1686h 1736g 1786-------C 1836----a 1537-------B 1587----@ 1637-e 1687--c 1737------A 1787-----A 1837---a 1538--c 1588----------E 1638h 1688-----A 1738--------C 1788---b 1838-----A 1489-e 1539----------E 1589---------D 1639--------C 1689--c 1739-----@ 1789-f 1839---------D 1490------A 1540----------E 1590--c 1640------A 1690-------B 1740----a 1790-----A 1840---------D 1491----------H 1541----------E 1591-f 1641------A 1691------A 1741---b 1791-f 1841--c 1492-----@ 1542-e 1592------A 1642---------D 1692---------E 1742k 1792-------B 1842-e 1493--------D 1543---------E 1593------A 1643---------D 1693-------B 1743----a 1793-------B 1843--------C 1494----------E 1544------B 1594------B 1644----------G 1694----------F 1744--b 1794----------E 1844----------F 1495--c 1545------B 1595--------C 1645-d 1695-------B 1745--c 1795-------B 1845-----@ 1496j 1546----------E 1596----------G 1646---------D 1696-----A 1746------A 1796---a 1846---b 1497-d 1547----------F 1597----a 1647----a 1697------A 1747--------D 1797----@ 1847-e 1498-------B 1548-------B 1598-e 1648--c 1698--c 1748-------B 1798--c 1848o 1499--d 1549--------C 1599--------C 1649--c 1699--------C 1749--------D 1799----a 1849--------C PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1850-----@ 1900----a 1950-d 1851-e 1901---b 1951----@ 1852---b 1902---a 1952-------C 1853-------B 1903----------F 1953---------D 1854-----@ 1904---------E 1954------A 1855--c 1905--------C 1955----------F 1856-----@ 1906---------E 1956----a 1857---------D 1907-------C 1957--------C 1858----------G 1908--b 1958-------C 1859---------E 1909---------E 1959-d 1860----------E 1910-----@ 1960---b 1861--------C 1911-f 1961------B 1862-----@ 1912-------C 1962-------C 1863h 1913-----A 1963--c 1864------A 1914--c 1964-d 1865-d 1915-------B 1965----------E 1866---b 1916---a 1966m 1867------A 1917h 1967----@ 1868-------C 1918------A 1968---a 1869---------E 1919----a 1969-e 1870-------C 1920-------B 1970------A 1871-e 1921--------D 1971---------E 1872-----@ 1922-e 1972--------C 1873----a 1923-----A 1973------B 1874h 1924--c 1974---------E 1875g 1925-d 1975-------C 1876-d 1926--------C 1976--------C 1877-----A 1927--------D 1977---b 1878---------E 1928----a 1978-f 1879---------D 1929-------C 1979------A 1880h 1930----------E 1980---b 1881----@ 1931----------E 1981-e 1882---------D 1932--------C 1982g 1883----------E 1933----------F 1983--------C 1884----------E 1934h 1984-----A 1885--------D 1935-----A 1985----a 1886------A 1936-e 1986----------H 1887----a 1937----a 1987-------B 1888------A 1938-----A 1988----------G 1889---a 1939-e 1989g 1890----a 1940f 1990---------D 1891--------C 1941---a 1991----@ 1892------A 1942-----@ 1992i 1893--c 1943---b 1993------B 1894-e 1944----a 1994-e 1895g 1945----a 1995-----@ 1896--c 1946--d 1996--------C 1897--c 1947----------E 1997-------B 1898------B 1948------A 1899--d 1949-----A PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 cnr031 1511 1784 .75 .76 .80 .77 .70 .66 .70 .71 .58 .65 .62 2 cnr071 1780 1997 .24B .39 .63 .74 .54 .52 .69 .75 3 cnr101 1677 1997 .71 .73 .77 .71 .77 .80 .79 .75 .70 .52 .47 .65 4 cnr102 1689 1997 .57 .72 .77 .76 .83 .82 .74 .77 .68 .58 .56 .62 5 cnr151 1545 1733 .68 .68 .66 .61 .64 .69 .64 .41 6 cnr162 1868 1997 .61 .59 .66 .56 .54 7 cnr222 1651 1976 .81 .82 .74 .75 .73 .79 .81 .77 .75 .75 .82 .75 .72 8 cnr231 1569 1790 .54 .56 .55 .43 .50 .60 .45 .42 .45 9 cnr241 1834 1997 .67 .71 .59 .56 .75 .78 10 cnr251 1547 1839 .53 .43 .38 .70 .76 .77 .76 .54 .38 .34B .49 .58 11 cnr281 1489 1845 .65 .57 .50 .65 .73 .76 .70 .72 .66 .57 .42 .45 .70 12 cnr282 1631 1843 .71 .73 .81 .76 .76 .74 .70 .75 13 cnr283 1596 1814 .56 .62 .53 .63 .73 .64 .80 .77 .77 14 cnr321 1728 1997 .62 .66 .76 .75 .68 .75 .77 .80 .85 .87 15 cnr322 1728 1997 .72 .59 .72 .72 .66 .59 .58 .68 .79 .87 Av segment correlation .70 .64 .59 .60 .65 .64 .69 .71 .62 .66 .62 .65 .70 .70 .71 .65 .64 .68 .73 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== cnr031 1511 to 1784 274 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .714) is: Lower 1742> -.014 1716< -.009 1627< -.007 1632> -.004 1735< -.004 1650< -.004 Higher 1685 .008 1718 .007 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1650 -.138 7 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1654 -1.707 8 2 1670 -1.286 8 1 1685 -2.757 9 1 1735 -1.938 11 3 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1735 -6.8 SD; 1736 -5.0 SD; 1742 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr071 1780 to 1997 218 years Series 2 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1780 1829 -9 .17 .28* .04 .08 .03 -.14 -.04 -.34 -.11 .06 .24| .20 .06 .08 -.17 .02 -.11 .17 -.19 .18 -.25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .554) is: Lower 1912< -.014 1809> -.010 1786< -.010 1814> -.008 1795< -.008 1812> -.007 Higher 1966 .036 1880 .012 1780 to 1829 segment: Lower 1786< -.042 1795< -.035 1812> -.027 1814> -.026 1782> -.023 1780< -.022 Higher 1824 .182 1794 .028 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1809 +3.4 SD; 1812 +3.0 SD; 1814 +4.3 SD; 1848 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr101 1677 to 1997 321 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .707) is: Lower 1966> -.018 1774< -.008 1904< -.007 1936> -.006 1801> -.005 1942< -.005 Higher 1824 .021 1880 .006 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1848 -3.642 7 3 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1718 -6.5 SD; 1936 +3.2 SD; 1966 +4.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr102 1689 to 1997 309 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .680) is: Lower 1943< -.023 1966> -.007 1936> -.007 1965< -.006 1770> -.004 1691< -.004 Higher 1824 .030 1742 .006 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1848 -3.642 7 3 1943 -.385 8 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1697 +3.1 SD; 1936 +3.3 SD; 1943 -7.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr151 1545 to 1733 189 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .604) is: Lower 1726< -.025 1718> -.015 1625< -.012 1652< -.010 1565< -.010 1730> -.009 Higher 1552 .010 1654 .009 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1579 -1.672 5 1 Present in series 1 cnr031 time span 1511 to 1784 Present in series 8 cnr231 time span 1569 to 1790 Present in series 10 cnr251 time span 1547 to 1839 Present in series 11 cnr281 time span 1489 to 1845 1654 -1.707 8 2 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1579 -6.6 SD; 1718 +3.8 SD; 1726 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr162 1868 to 1997 130 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .579) is: Lower 1966> -.029 1992> -.018 1940> -.011 1946> -.010 1869< -.009 1957< -.009 Higher 1934 .024 1880 .012 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1966 +3.8 SD; 1992 +3.5 SD; 1995 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr222 1651 to 1976 326 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .769) is: Lower 1801< -.014 1975< -.005 1780< -.005 1966> -.004 1887< -.004 1865< -.004 Higher 1824 .018 1934 .005 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1742 -2.748 11 3 1848 -3.642 7 3 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1801 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr231 1569 to 1790 222 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .482) is: Lower 1731< -.016 1654> -.012 1574> -.008 1748< -.008 1619< -.007 1647< -.006 Higher 1742 .014 1712 .009 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1574 +3.7 SD; 1654 +3.8 SD; 1665 -6.2 SD; 1718 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr241 1834 to 1997 164 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .684) is: Lower 1905< -.014 1981> -.007 1845< -.007 1859< -.007 1906< -.007 1956< -.006 Higher 1966 .034 1989 .012 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1966 -4.6 SD; 1981 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr251 1547 to 1839 293 years Series 10 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1750 1799 10 -.03 -.08 -.07 -.13 -.21 .07 -.07 .09 .11 .12 .34| .02 .18 -.01 -.19 -.39 -.21 .12 -.04 .29 .36* [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .588) is: Lower 1737< -.013 1824> -.012 1598> -.012 1591> -.008 1593< -.007 1767< -.006 Higher 1759 .012 1685 .010 1750 to 1799 segment: Lower 1765> -.020 1751> -.019 1790< -.016 1787< -.013 1786< -.013 1761< -.013 Higher 1759 .078 1767 .050 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1759 -2.590 11 1 1767 -2.046 11 1 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1591 +3.4 SD; 1598 +4.2 SD; 1737 -4.9 SD; 1767 -8.3 SD; 1824 +4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr281 1489 to 1845 357 years Series 11 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1489 to 1510 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .628) is: Lower 1781< -.021 1791> -.009 1555< -.008 1801< -.006 1595< -.006 1670> -.005 Higher 1824 .011 1718 .008 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1568 -.496 4 1 Present in series 1 cnr031 time span 1511 to 1784 Present in series 5 cnr151 time span 1545 to 1733 Present in series 10 cnr251 time span 1547 to 1839 1735 -1.938 11 3 1742 -2.748 11 3 1781 -.688 12 1 1801 -1.550 10 1 1824 -4.781 9 1 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1781-10.1 SD; 1791 +3.9 SD; 1801 -6.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr282 1631 to 1843 213 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .746) is: Lower 1801> -.011 1791> -.010 1802< -.008 1804< -.008 1820> -.007 1738< -.006 Higher 1824 .030 1685 .008 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1791 +3.2 SD; 1801 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr283 1596 to 1814 219 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .675) is: Lower 1665> -.014 1791< -.012 1597> -.010 1650< -.007 1623> -.007 1637> -.006 Higher 1759 .011 1809 .011 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1630 -.996 6 1 1689 -.775 10 1 1735 -1.938 11 3 1736 -1.660 11 1 1742 -2.748 11 3 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1665 +4.2 SD; 1689 -5.0 SD; 1791 -6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr321 1728 to 1997 270 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .774) is: Lower 1844< -.007 1754< -.006 1841< -.006 1755< -.006 1817> -.005 1776< -.004 Higher 1824 .020 1966 .011 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1874 -1.938 8 2 1880 -2.049 8 2 1992 -2.140 7 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1966 -5.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== cnr322 1728 to 1997 270 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .735) is: Lower 1781> -.010 1759> -.009 1835> -.008 1817> -.006 1925> -.006 1755< -.006 Higher 1824 .022 1966 .018 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1874 -1.938 8 2 1880 -2.049 8 2 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1759 +3.0 SD; 1781 +3.5 SD; 1835 +3.0 SD; 1925 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Canyon Road 08:55 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 cnr031 1511 1784 274 11 0 .714 .73 3.36 .531 .765 .423 2.55 .343 .054 1 2 cnr071 1780 1997 218 8 1 .554 .58 1.55 .307 .732 .304 2.75 .413 -.047 1 3 cnr101 1677 1997 321 12 0 .707 .56 1.89 .297 .624 .369 2.69 .387 -.032 1 4 cnr102 1689 1997 309 12 0 .680 .59 2.13 .335 .629 .395 2.60 .325 -.019 1 5 cnr151 1545 1733 189 8 0 .604 .56 1.45 .281 .477 .474 2.58 .381 .012 1 6 cnr162 1868 1997 130 5 0 .579 1.08 3.54 .643 .870 .227 2.81 .553 -.043 1 7 cnr222 1651 1976 326 13 0 .769 .59 2.13 .331 .593 .437 2.62 .408 -.031 1 8 cnr231 1569 1790 222 9 0 .482 .68 2.51 .398 .574 .410 2.77 .532 -.023 2 9 cnr241 1834 1997 164 6 0 .684 1.24 3.53 .590 .562 .337 2.71 .333 -.029 1 10 cnr251 1547 1839 293 12 1 .588 .56 1.35 .250 .661 .330 2.44 .282 -.002 1 11 cnr281 1489 1845 357 13 0 .628 .38 .93 .194 .438 .480 2.47 .299 .013 1 12 cnr282 1631 1843 213 8 0 .746 .33 .82 .136 .340 .399 2.55 .421 -.021 1 13 cnr283 1596 1814 219 9 0 .675 .57 1.49 .324 .406 .580 2.62 .426 -.006 1 14 cnr321 1728 1997 270 10 0 .774 .64 2.40 .397 .753 .357 2.64 .328 -.041 2 15 cnr322 1728 1997 270 10 0 .735 .67 2.58 .444 .729 .396 2.61 .387 -.037 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 3775 146 2 .669 .62 3.54 .347 .607 .401 2.81 .377 -.015 - = [ COFECHA CNR COF ] = -