[] DENDROCHRONOLOGY PROGRAM LIBRARY Run COR2 Program COF 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 3.00P 24141 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: cor2 File of DATED series: c:\trims\cor\cor2.rwl File of UNDATED series: c:\trims\cpp\cpp042.raw CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics Part 8: Undated series - adjustments for highest correlations RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 12345678 9 Absent rings included in master series N Time span of Master dating series is 1613 to 1998 386 years Continuous time span is 1613 to 1998 386 years Portion with two or more series is 1627 to 1998 372 years >> WARNING: Year 1962 absent in 1 of 24 series; Master Series value -.319 >> WARNING: Year 1970 absent in 1 of 24 series; Master Series value .474 >> WARNING: Year 1984 absent in 1 of 24 series; Master Series value -.251 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 28 *C* *O* Master series 1613 1998 386 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5890 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5876 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .803 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .532 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) cor021 3 absent rings: 1851 1861 1963 cor022 3 absent rings: 1851 1861 1863 cor032 3 absent rings: 1934 1936 1963 cor042 1 absent rings: 1963 cor051 3 absent rings: 1934 1936 1963 cor052 6 absent rings: 1936 1950 1962 1963 1964 1966 cor061 8 absent rings: 1789 1808 1822 1856 1863 1936 1963 1974 cor062 5 absent rings: 1822 1851 1936 1963 1974 cor072 5 absent rings: 1738 1789 1822 1880 1963 cor091 3 absent rings: 1880 1883 1963 cor092 4 absent rings: 1936 1963 1966 1974 cor121 1 absent rings: 1822 cor122 3 absent rings: 1822 1934 1963 cor131 7 absent rings: 1789 1791 1808 1809 1811 1822 1885 cor132 5 absent rings: 1861 1880 1885 1972 1984 cor141 12 absent rings: 1738 1789 1822 1842 1851 1861 1863 1880 1885 1963 1970 1974 cor142 7 absent rings: 1789 1822 1851 1861 1863 1963 1974 cor151 6 absent rings: 1822 1856 1861 1863 1880 1963 cor152 5 absent rings: 1789 1822 1856 1863 1963 cor161 1 absent rings: 1963 cor162 1 absent rings: 1822 cor181 8 absent rings: 1822 1856 1927 1934 1936 1963 1966 1972 cor111 4 absent rings: 1811 1822 1880 1885 104 absent rings 1.766% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 Beg End Ident Seq year year Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. cor011 1 1879 1998 120 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. cor012 2 1882 1998 117 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. cor021 3 1796 1998 203 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. cor022 4 1830 1998 169 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. cor032 5 1866 1998 133 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. cor042 6 1827 1990 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. cor051 7 1806 1998 193 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. cor052 8 1814 1998 185 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. cor061 9 1761 1998 238 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. cor062 10 1721 1998 278 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. cor071 11 1819 1998 180 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. cor072 12 1713 1998 286 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=========> . . . . . . cor081 13 1613 1712 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . . . . . cor082 14 1627 1773 147 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. cor091 15 1786 1998 213 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. cor092 16 1804 1998 195 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. cor121 17 1798 1998 201 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. cor122 18 1799 1998 200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==================> . cor131 19 1764 1959 196 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. cor132 20 1856 1998 143 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================================>. cor141 21 1663 1998 336 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================================>. cor142 22 1662 1998 337 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. cor151 23 1712 1998 287 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. cor152 24 1717 1998 282 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. cor161 25 1784 1998 215 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. cor162 26 1798 1998 201 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<================================>. cor181 27 1662 1998 337 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================> . . cor111 28 1690 1923 234 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 PART 3: Master Dating Series: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1650 -1.384 2 1651 1.210 2 1652 .848 2 1653 -.050 2 1654 -2.474 2 1655 .330 2 1656 1.564 2 1657 -.018 2 1658 -.513 2 1659 -.092 2 1660 -.632 2 1661 1.823 2 1662 .643 4 1613 .299 1 1663 -.193 5 1614 -.189 1 1664 .509 5 1615 -1.794 1 1665 1.252 5 1616 .397 1 1666 -1.341 5 1617 1.259 1 1667 -.465 5 1618 1.574 1 1668 -1.576 5 1619 .691 1 1669 -1.652 5 1620 1.455 1 1670 -.082 5 1621 -.691 1 1671 .747 5 1622 -1.586 1 1672 .444 5 1623 -.741 1 1673 .555 5 1624 -.042 1 1674 1.178 5 1625 1.287 1 1675 .050 5 1626 -1.168 1 1676 1.106 5 1627 -1.254 2 1677 .478 5 1628 -.633 2 1678 1.543 5 1629 .196 2 1679 -1.195 5 1630 -.291 2 1680 .481 5 1631 -1.257 2 1681 -.837 5 1632 -2.957 2 1682 -1.481 5 1633 .651 2 1683 .678 5 1634 .218 2 1684 -1.393 5 1635 .717 2 1685 -1.595 5 1636 1.180 2 1686 -1.084 5 1637 1.110 2 1687 .015 5 1638 .232 2 1688 -.141 5 1639 1.247 2 1689 .909 5 1640 .761 2 1690 .018 6 1641 -1.134 2 1691 1.040 6 1642 .784 2 1692 1.655 6 1643 1.019 2 1693 1.327 6 1644 .529 2 1694 -.129 6 1645 -2.872 2 1695 .345 6 1646 .817 2 1696 -1.746 6 1647 .445 2 1697 .054 6 1648 -1.262 2 1698 -.405 6 1649 1.059 2 1699 -1.829 6 PART 3: Master Dating Series: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 -.345 6 1750 -.068 9 1800 1.325 16 1850 .528 22 1900 1.026 26 1950 -.824 25 1 1701 -.092 6 1751 .628 9 1801 -.217 16 1851 -2.006 22 5 1901 .747 26 1951 -.156 25 1702 .728 6 1752 -.233 9 1802 .683 16 1852 -.493 22 1902 -.902 26 1952 -1.206 25 1703 1.273 6 1753 .377 9 1803 -.111 16 1853 -.037 22 1903 -1.244 26 1953 -.274 25 1704 -.678 6 1754 .468 9 1804 1.489 17 1854 .366 22 1904 -1.392 26 1954 -.853 25 1705 -.975 6 1755 1.154 9 1805 .052 17 1855 .457 22 1905 .948 26 1955 1.365 25 1706 .692 6 1756 -2.059 9 1806 -.258 18 1856 -.457 23 4 1906 -.832 26 1956 -.541 25 1707 -.191 6 1757 -1.280 9 1807 .975 18 1857 .511 23 1907 .872 26 1957 -.209 25 1708 -.324 6 1758 -.025 9 1808 -.609 18 2 1858 1.723 23 1908 -.984 26 1958 .949 25 1709 1.178 6 1759 .204 9 1809 -.797 18 1 1859 1.127 23 1909 -.609 26 1959 .292 25 1710 1.197 6 1760 -.002 9 1810 -.411 18 1860 -.560 23 1910 -.225 26 1960 .106 24 1711 .153 6 1761 1.356 10 1811 -1.298 18 2 1861 -1.369 23 6 1911 -.991 26 1961 .825 24 1712 1.432 7 1762 .274 10 1812 .223 18 1862 -.327 23 1912 .527 26 1962 -.319 24 1<< 1713 1.085 7 1763 -1.661 10 1813 .972 18 1863 -1.648 23 6 1913 -.327 26 1963 -3.793 24 17 1714 .151 7 1764 .730 11 1814 .903 19 1864 -.377 23 1914 .405 26 1964 -.427 24 1 1715 -1.254 7 1765 -.229 11 1815 -.482 19 1865 -.261 23 1915 1.258 26 1965 .694 24 1716 -1.374 7 1766 .923 11 1816 .542 19 1866 -1.140 24 1916 -.130 26 1966 -1.030 24 3 1717 -.891 8 1767 .555 11 1817 1.318 19 1867 .412 24 1917 -.047 26 1967 -.303 24 1718 -.812 8 1768 .658 11 1818 -1.119 19 1868 .826 24 1918 .437 26 1968 -.009 24 1719 -.641 8 1769 .088 11 1819 -.396 20 1869 1.224 24 1919 1.092 26 1969 1.957 24 1720 .064 8 1770 -2.529 11 1820 -.238 20 1870 .240 24 1920 .849 26 1970 .474 24 1<< 1721 .843 9 1771 .730 11 1821 -.937 20 1871 .513 24 1921 1.594 26 1971 .825 24 1722 .447 9 1772 -2.481 11 1822 -3.169 20 13 1872 1.446 24 1922 .003 26 1972 -1.369 24 2 1723 .587 9 1773 -.299 11 1823 1.074 20 1873 .514 24 1923 -1.045 26 1973 .718 24 1724 .589 9 1774 .799 10 1824 -.831 20 1874 -.861 24 1924 .449 25 1974 -1.090 24 5 1725 -1.555 9 1775 .918 10 1825 1.026 20 1875 .118 24 1925 -.793 25 1975 -.957 24 1726 1.054 9 1776 .862 10 1826 1.180 20 1876 -.100 24 1926 .573 25 1976 .413 24 1727 .295 9 1777 -.225 10 1827 .053 21 1877 .117 24 1927 -1.755 25 1 1977 -.303 24 1728 .040 9 1778 .133 10 1828 .673 21 1878 .604 24 1928 .767 25 1978 -.263 24 1729 -.452 9 1779 .573 10 1829 .551 21 1879 .311 25 1929 .592 25 1979 .719 24 1730 -1.486 9 1780 .408 10 1830 .293 22 1880 -3.241 25 6 1930 .395 25 1980 .765 24 1731 1.009 9 1781 -.678 10 1831 -1.240 22 1881 .185 25 1931 .984 25 1981 -.637 24 1732 .834 9 1782 -.770 10 1832 .100 22 1882 .415 26 1932 .529 25 1982 -.128 24 1733 -.774 9 1783 1.149 10 1833 .754 22 1883 -1.324 26 1 1933 -1.428 25 1983 .737 24 1734 1.346 9 1784 .445 11 1834 -.969 22 1884 .407 26 1934 -1.545 25 4 1984 -.251 24 1<< 1735 -.448 9 1785 .681 11 1835 -.033 22 1885 -1.721 26 4 1935 -1.251 25 1985 .447 24 1736 .816 9 1786 .945 12 1836 .004 22 1886 .485 26 1936 -1.963 25 7 1986 .656 24 1737 -.876 9 1787 -.600 12 1837 -.283 22 1887 1.746 26 1937 -.515 25 1987 .709 24 1738 -1.440 9 2 1788 .292 12 1838 .653 22 1888 -.158 26 1938 -.033 25 1988 .586 24 1739 -.910 9 1789 -4.671 12 6 1839 1.526 22 1889 .199 26 1939 -1.125 25 1989 .017 24 1740 .738 9 1790 -.432 12 1840 1.091 22 1890 .775 26 1940 -.425 25 1990 -.458 24 1741 .147 9 1791 -1.116 12 1 1841 .285 22 1891 .866 26 1941 1.161 25 1991 .507 23 1742 -.749 9 1792 .582 12 1842 -.961 22 1 1892 .413 26 1942 .819 25 1992 .103 23 1743 .396 9 1793 -.193 12 1843 -.883 22 1893 -.580 26 1943 .099 25 1993 .791 23 1744 -.346 9 1794 1.144 12 1844 1.117 22 1894 -.323 26 1944 1.404 25 1994 -.665 23 1745 -1.801 9 1795 -.004 12 1845 .859 22 1895 -.073 26 1945 .645 25 1995 .373 23 1746 1.008 9 1796 .253 13 1846 -.810 22 1896 -.354 26 1946 .064 25 1996 -1.599 23 1747 1.338 9 1797 .868 13 1847 .193 22 1897 1.142 26 1947 1.233 25 1997 -.032 23 1748 .097 9 1798 -.715 15 1848 -1.329 22 1898 .684 26 1948 .553 25 1998 -.799 23 1749 1.167 9 1799 -.579 16 1849 .974 22 1899 -1.112 26 1949 1.479 25 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PART 4: Master Bar Plot: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1650-f 1700---a 1750----@ 1800----------E 1850-------B 1900---------D 1950--c 1651----------E 1701----@ 1751-------C 1801----a 1851h 1901--------C 1951----a 1652--------C 1702--------C 1752---a 1802-------C 1852---b 1902--d 1952-e 1653----@ 1703----------E 1753------B 1803----@ 1853----@ 1903-e 1953---a 1654j 1704--c 1754------B 1804----------F 1854------A 1904-f 1954--c 1655------A 1705-d 1755---------E 1805-----@ 1855------B 1905---------D 1955----------E 1656----------F 1706--------C 1756h 1806---a 1856---b 1906--c 1956---b 1657----@ 1707----a 1757-e 1807---------D 1857-------B 1907--------C 1957----a 1658---b 1708---a 1758----@ 1808--b 1858----------G 1908-d 1958---------D 1659----@ 1709---------E 1759-----A 1809--c 1859---------E 1909--b 1959------A ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1660--c 1710---------E 1760----@ 1810---b 1860--b 1910---a 1960-----@ 1661----------G 1711-----A 1761----------E 1811-e 1861-e 1911-d 1961--------C 1662-------C 1712----------F 1762------A 1812-----A 1862---a 1912-------B 1962---a 1613------A 1663----a 1713---------D 1763g 1813---------D 1863g 1913---a 1963o 1614----a 1664-------B 1714-----A 1764--------C 1814--------D 1864---b 1914------B 1964---b 1615g 1665----------E 1715-e 1765---a 1815---b 1865---a 1915----------E 1965--------C 1616------B 1666-e 1716-e 1766---------D 1816-------B 1866-e 1916----a 1966-d 1617----------E 1667---b 1717--d 1767-------B 1817----------E 1867------B 1917----@ 1967---a 1618----------F 1668f 1718--c 1768-------C 1818-d 1868--------C 1918------B 1968----@ 1619--------C 1669g 1719--c 1769-----@ 1819---b 1869----------E 1919---------D 1969----------H ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1620----------F 1670----@ 1720-----@ 1770j 1820---a 1870-----A 1920--------C 1970------B 1621--c 1671--------C 1721--------C 1771--------C 1821--d 1871-------B 1921----------F 1971--------C 1622f 1672------B 1722------B 1772j 1822m 1872----------F 1922----@ 1972-e 1623--c 1673-------B 1723-------B 1773---a 1823---------D 1873-------B 1923-d 1973--------C 1624----@ 1674---------E 1724-------B 1774--------C 1824--c 1874--c 1924------B 1974-d 1625----------E 1675-----@ 1725f 1775--------D 1825---------D 1875-----@ 1925--c 1975-d 1626-e 1676---------D 1726---------D 1776--------C 1826---------E 1876----@ 1926-------B 1976------B 1627-e 1677------B 1727------A 1777---a 1827-----@ 1877-----@ 1927g 1977---a 1628--c 1678----------F 1728-----@ 1778-----A 1828-------C 1878-------B 1928--------C 1978---a 1629-----A 1679-e 1729---b 1779-------B 1829-------B 1879------A 1929-------B 1979--------C ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1630---a 1680------B 1730f 1780------B 1830------A 1880m 1930------B 1980--------C 1631-e 1681--c 1731---------D 1781--c 1831-e 1881-----A 1931---------D 1981--c 1632l 1682f 1732--------C 1782--c 1832-----@ 1882------B 1932-------B 1982----a 1633-------C 1683-------C 1733--c 1783---------E 1833--------C 1883-e 1933f 1983--------C 1634-----A 1684-f 1734----------E 1784------B 1834-d 1884------B 1934f 1984---a 1635--------C 1685f 1735---b 1785-------C 1835----@ 1885g 1935-e 1985------B 1636---------E 1686-d 1736--------C 1786---------D 1836----@ 1886------B 1936h 1986-------C 1637---------D 1687-----@ 1737--d 1787--b 1837---a 1887----------G 1937---b 1987--------C 1638-----A 1688----a 1738f 1788------A 1838-------C 1888----a 1938----@ 1988-------B 1639----------E 1689--------D 1739--d 1789s 1839----------F 1889-----A 1939-e 1989-----@ ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1640--------C 1690-----@ 1740--------C 1790---b 1840---------D 1890--------C 1940---b 1990---b 1641-e 1691---------D 1741-----A 1791-d 1841------A 1891--------C 1941---------E 1991-------B 1642--------C 1692----------G 1742--c 1792-------B 1842-d 1892------B 1942--------C 1992-----@ 1643---------D 1693----------E 1743------B 1793----a 1843--d 1893--b 1943-----@ 1993--------C 1644-------B 1694----a 1744---a 1794---------E 1844---------D 1894---a 1944----------F 1994--c 1645k 1695------A 1745g 1795----@ 1845--------C 1895----@ 1945-------C 1995------A 1646--------C 1696g 1746---------D 1796-----A 1846--c 1896---a 1946-----@ 1996f 1647------B 1697-----@ 1747----------E 1797--------C 1847-----A 1897---------E 1947----------E 1997----@ 1648-e 1698---b 1748-----@ 1798--c 1848-e 1898-------C 1948-------B 1998--c 1649---------D 1699g 1749---------E 1799--b 1849---------D 1899-d 1949----------F PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 cor011 1879 1998 .72 .80 .86 .64 2 cor012 1882 1998 .68 .79 .93 .74 3 cor021 1796 1998 .71 .74 .75 .77 .80 .86 .93 .80 4 cor022 1830 1998 .54 .69 .71 .83 .91 .75 5 cor032 1866 1998 .79 .79 .89 .83 .66 6 cor042 1827 1990 .67 .68 .68 .82 .76 .66 7 cor051 1806 1998 .92 .94 .93 .91 .91 .90 .73 8 cor052 1814 1998 .94 .93 .88 .85 .89 .80 .62 9 cor061 1761 1998 .90 .89 .84 .84 .82 .81 .87 .88 .76 10 cor062 1721 1998 .83 .85 .90 .89 .82 .83 .76 .73 .89 .87 .75 11 cor071 1819 1998 .79 .77 .84 .79 .80 .91 .81 12 cor072 1713 1998 .83 .84 .86 .82 .78 .80 .85 .83 .82 .92 .85 13 cor081 1613 1712 .75 .91 .82 14 cor082 1627 1773 .76 .89 .86 .85 .89 15 cor091 1786 1998 .80 .79 .93 .90 .84 .86 .91 .80 16 cor092 1804 1998 .80 .86 .81 .75 .86 .86 .81 17 cor121 1798 1998 .89 .92 .93 .91 .89 .86 .81 .61 18 cor122 1799 1998 .91 .93 .92 .89 .88 .90 .89 .67 19 cor131 1764 1959 .66 .70 .74 .72 .81 .79 .76 .75 20 cor132 1856 1998 .76 .74 .63 .63 .57 21 cor141 1663 1998 .87 .89 .78 .84 .89 .89 .89 .88 .90 .82 .78 .80 .74 22 cor142 1662 1998 .89 .89 .87 .87 .83 .88 .93 .90 .91 .88 .87 .87 .75 23 cor151 1712 1998 .86 .90 .85 .81 .83 .91 .90 .85 .86 .93 .81 24 cor152 1717 1998 .88 .90 .88 .89 .90 .88 .83 .85 .92 .92 .69 25 cor161 1784 1998 .87 .80 .77 .85 .86 .89 .90 .81 26 cor162 1798 1998 .78 .82 .83 .87 .88 .93 .92 .82 27 cor181 1662 1998 .83 .83 .75 .68 .75 .83 .82 .81 .88 .88 .86 .83 .65 28 cor111 1690 1923 .72 .72 .81 .83 .81 .60 .60 .80 .59 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== cor011 1879 to 1998 120 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .713) is: Lower 1989 -.025 1981 -.014 1883 -.014 1909 -.011 Higher 1880 .021 1963 .019 1887 .008 1936 .007 [E] Outliers 6 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1883 +3.5 SD; 1904 +3.1 SD; 1909 -4.5 SD; 1981 +3.6 SD; 1989 -5.7 SD; 1991 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor012 1882 to 1998 117 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .746) is: Lower 1982 -.023 1981 -.012 1897 -.011 1977 -.010 Higher 1963 .037 1969 .009 1885 .008 1887 .007 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1913 +3.0 SD; 1981 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor021 1796 to 1998 203 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .785) is: Lower 1992 -.007 1989 -.006 1868 -.006 1998 -.006 Higher 1963 .010 1822 .007 1880 .007 1969 .004 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1851 -2.006 22 5 1861 -1.369 23 6 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1998 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor022 1830 to 1998 169 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .703) is: Lower 1831 -.018 1835 -.010 1896 -.010 1992 -.009 Higher 1963 .032 1880 .014 1969 .007 1996 .005 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1851 -2.006 22 5 1861 -1.369 23 6 1863 -1.648 23 6 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1831 +5.0 SD; 1896 +4.0 SD; 1981 +3.2 SD; 1998 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor032 1866 to 1998 133 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .760) is: Lower 1963 -.027 1883 -.014 1986 -.011 1988 -.009 Higher 1880 .021 1969 .007 1927 .006 1887 .006 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1934 -1.545 25 4 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1883 +3.8 SD; 1885 -5.0 SD; 1963 +4.5 SD; 1996 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor042 1827 to 1990 164 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .687) is: Lower 1908 -.013 1961 -.011 1959 -.009 1859 -.009 Higher 1963 .015 1851 .011 1927 .006 1885 .006 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1856 +3.2 SD; 1880 +3.8 SD; 1885 -4.6 SD; 1908 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor051 1806 to 1998 193 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .863) is: Lower 1996 -.017 1985 -.008 1956 -.006 1995 -.005 Higher 1963 .009 1880 .007 1822 .006 1927 .003 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1934 -1.545 25 4 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1996 +4.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor052 1814 to 1998 185 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .824) is: Lower 1963 -.024 1996 -.016 1989 -.006 1910 -.004 Higher 1822 .009 1851 .005 1969 .004 1887 .003 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1936 -1.963 25 7 1950 -.824 25 1 1962 -.319 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1963 -3.793 24 17 1964 -.427 24 1 1966 -1.030 24 3 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1963 +4.5 SD; 1989 +3.2 SD; 1996 +4.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor061 1761 to 1998 238 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .845) is: Lower 1963 -.007 1808 -.005 1998 -.004 1992 -.004 Higher 1789 .014 1880 .008 1770 .004 1772 .003 [D] 8 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1789 -4.671 12 6 1808 -.609 18 2 1822 -3.169 20 13 1856 -.457 23 4 1863 -1.648 23 6 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 1974 -1.090 24 5 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1963 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor062 1721 to 1998 278 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .823) is: Lower 1885 -.012 1963 -.008 1806 -.007 1992 -.003 Higher 1789 .013 1822 .004 1880 .004 1772 .003 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 1851 -2.006 22 5 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 1974 -1.090 24 5 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1885 +5.0 SD; 1963 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor071 1819 to 1998 180 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .801) is: Lower 1981 -.009 1919 -.008 1985 -.008 1995 -.006 Higher 1963 .020 1880 .013 1822 .005 1996 .004 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1908 +3.3 SD; 1981 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor072 1713 to 1998 286 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .824) is: Lower 1989 -.008 1744 -.005 1981 -.004 1851 -.003 Higher 1963 .009 1880 .007 1756 .003 1772 .003 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1738 -1.440 9 2 1789 -4.671 12 6 1822 -3.169 20 13 1880 -3.241 25 6 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1744 +3.0 SD; 1963 -5.0 SD; 1988 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor081 1613 to 1712 100 years Series 13 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1613 to 1626 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .759) is: Lower 1631 -.026 1628 -.025 1704 -.018 1632 -.012 Higher 1645 .023 1654 .010 1696 .007 1661 .007 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1628 +4.5 SD; 1631 -5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor082 1627 to 1773 147 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .828) is: Lower 1631 -.020 1628 -.016 1632 -.006 1648 -.005 Higher 1645 .010 1772 .007 1654 .005 1756 .004 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1628 -4.5 SD; 1631 +5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor091 1786 to 1998 213 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .843) is: Lower 1818 -.010 1813 -.006 1963 -.005 1791 -.004 Higher 1789 .017 1880 .008 1851 .003 1969 .002 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1880 -3.241 25 6 1883 -1.324 26 1 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1818 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor092 1804 to 1998 195 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .814) is: Lower 1893 -.007 1886 -.006 1818 -.006 1843 -.005 Higher 1822 .006 1851 .005 1880 .004 1927 .004 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 1966 -1.030 24 3 1974 -1.090 24 5 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1818 +3.1 SD; 1893 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor121 1798 to 1998 201 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .812) is: Lower 1996 -.016 1972 -.012 1950 -.007 1980 -.006 Higher 1963 .013 1822 .008 1880 .006 1851 .005 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1972 +3.8 SD; 1989 +3.0 SD; 1996 +4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor122 1799 to 1998 200 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .834) is: Lower 1998 -.022 1996 -.008 1982 -.005 1963 -.003 Higher 1822 .007 1851 .004 1969 .003 1887 .003 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 1934 -1.545 25 4 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1996 +3.0 SD; 1998 -6.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor131 1764 to 1959 196 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .739) is: Lower 1774 -.009 1915 -.007 1773 -.006 1842 -.006 Higher 1880 .009 1772 .007 1770 .006 1822 .005 [D] 7 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1789 -4.671 12 6 1791 -1.116 12 1 1808 -.609 18 2 1809 -.797 18 1 1811 -1.298 18 2 1822 -3.169 20 13 1885 -1.721 26 4 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1770 -4.5 SD; 1773 +3.5 SD; 1789 +5.0 SD; 1842 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor132 1856 to 1998 143 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1927 -.019 1908 -.010 1914 -.009 1956 -.008 Higher 1880 .020 1885 .009 1936 .009 1955 .006 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1861 -1.369 23 6 1880 -3.241 25 6 1885 -1.721 26 4 1972 -1.369 24 2 1984 -.251 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1908 +3.1 SD; 1927 +4.4 SD; 1963 +3.7 SD; 1975 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor141 1663 to 1998 336 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .840) is: Lower 1963 -.007 1743 -.005 1970 -.004 1911 -.003 Higher 1789 .010 1880 .004 1770 .003 1772 .003 [D] 12 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1738 -1.440 9 2 1789 -4.671 12 6 1822 -3.169 20 13 1842 -.961 22 1 1851 -2.006 22 5 1861 -1.369 23 6 1863 -1.648 23 6 1880 -3.241 25 6 1885 -1.721 26 4 1963 -3.793 24 17 1970 .474 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1974 -1.090 24 5 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1963 +4.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor142 1662 to 1998 337 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .862) is: Lower 1759 -.005 1911 -.004 1708 -.003 1993 -.003 Higher 1789 .010 1880 .004 1772 .003 1822 .003 [D] 7 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1789 -4.671 12 6 1822 -3.169 20 13 1851 -2.006 22 5 1861 -1.369 23 6 1863 -1.648 23 6 1963 -3.793 24 17 1974 -1.090 24 5 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1911 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor151 1712 to 1998 287 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .846) is: Lower 1990 -.015 1823 -.004 1718 -.004 1911 -.003 Higher 1963 .009 1880 .006 1772 .003 1927 .002 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 1856 -.457 23 4 1861 -1.369 23 6 1863 -1.648 23 6 1880 -3.241 25 6 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1990 +6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor152 1717 to 1998 282 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .837) is: Lower 1987 -.021 1996 -.011 1885 -.008 1998 -.004 Higher 1789 .009 1880 .007 1963 .006 1822 .005 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1789 -4.671 12 6 1822 -3.169 20 13 1856 -.457 23 4 1863 -1.648 23 6 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1885 +4.3 SD; 1987 -7.0 SD; 1996 -6.4 SD; 1998 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor161 1784 to 1998 215 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .837) is: Lower 1842 -.006 1899 -.006 1996 -.006 1950 -.006 Higher 1789 .015 1963 .012 1880 .007 1822 .006 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1963 -3.793 24 17 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1842 +3.0 SD; 1996 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor162 1798 to 1998 201 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .844) is: Lower 1981 -.013 1899 -.006 1827 -.004 1799 -.004 Higher 1963 .014 1880 .011 1822 .005 1851 .004 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1899 +3.0 SD; 1981 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor181 1662 to 1998 337 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .784) is: Lower 1766 -.008 1993 -.007 1990 -.006 1763 -.005 Higher 1789 .012 1880 .008 1963 .007 1772 .005 [D] 8 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -3.169 20 13 1856 -.457 23 4 1927 -1.755 25 1 1934 -1.545 25 4 1936 -1.963 25 7 1963 -3.793 24 17 1966 -1.030 24 3 1972 -1.369 24 2 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1763 +3.5 SD; 1766 -4.5 SD; 1791 +3.2 SD; 1909 +3.3 SD; 1990 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== cor111 1690 to 1923 234 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .709) is: Lower 1849 -.011 1905 -.010 1724 -.005 1844 -.005 Higher 1789 .032 1880 .009 1822 .008 1770 .006 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1811 -1.298 18 2 1822 -3.169 20 13 1880 -3.241 25 6 1885 -1.721 26 4 =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 cor011 1879 1998 120 4 0 .713 1.76 6.93 1.356 .706 .444 2.22 .475 -.002 1 2 cor012 1882 1998 117 4 0 .746 1.79 5.25 .997 .701 .337 2.02 .367 .013 1 3 cor021 1796 1998 203 8 0 .785 .79 3.38 .666 .819 .550 2.07 .385 -.025 1 4 cor022 1830 1998 169 6 0 .703 .99 4.17 .978 .872 .529 1.99 .334 -.012 1 5 cor032 1866 1998 133 5 0 .760 1.46 5.92 1.594 .871 .598 2.05 .342 -.007 1 6 cor042 1827 1990 164 6 0 .687 1.30 3.59 .867 .849 .329 1.95 .350 .003 1 7 cor051 1806 1998 193 7 0 .863 1.13 5.19 1.086 .741 .606 2.03 .390 -.023 1 8 cor052 1814 1998 185 7 0 .824 1.19 5.07 1.005 .686 .592 2.23 .431 -.026 1 9 cor061 1761 1998 238 9 0 .845 .54 2.02 .352 .555 .633 2.06 .318 -.029 1 10 cor062 1721 1998 278 11 0 .823 .72 2.90 .513 .664 .565 1.99 .320 -.005 2 11 cor071 1819 1998 180 7 0 .801 .83 2.23 .420 .661 .373 2.00 .318 .005 1 12 cor072 1713 1998 286 11 0 .824 .60 2.09 .379 .681 .502 1.90 .259 -.012 1 13 cor081 1613 1712 100 3 0 .759 2.10 4.40 .983 .409 .464 2.11 .477 -.006 1 14 cor082 1627 1773 147 5 0 .828 1.41 4.22 .964 .644 .488 1.98 .404 -.009 1 15 cor091 1786 1998 213 8 0 .843 .91 3.71 .666 .652 .513 1.88 .305 -.015 1 16 cor092 1804 1998 195 7 0 .814 .97 4.74 .817 .702 .487 2.19 .443 -.074 1 17 cor121 1798 1998 201 8 0 .812 1.33 3.90 .747 .476 .517 2.07 .384 -.012 1 18 cor122 1799 1998 200 8 0 .834 1.40 4.20 .918 .551 .564 2.00 .342 -.002 1 19 cor131 1764 1959 196 8 0 .739 .41 .96 .207 .408 .561 1.85 .315 -.037 1 20 cor132 1856 1998 143 5 0 .653 .46 1.33 .287 .517 .642 2.15 .443 -.008 1 21 cor141 1663 1998 336 13 0 .840 .70 2.75 .578 .721 .624 1.97 .309 -.006 1 22 cor142 1662 1998 337 13 0 .862 .75 3.41 .531 .699 .505 1.81 .286 -.011 1 23 cor151 1712 1998 287 11 0 .846 .78 3.18 .579 .568 .609 2.10 .302 .010 1 24 cor152 1717 1998 282 11 0 .837 .86 3.13 .578 .635 .526 1.93 .292 -.013 1 25 cor161 1784 1998 215 8 0 .837 .82 2.78 .424 .508 .445 2.01 .335 -.026 1 26 cor162 1798 1998 201 8 0 .844 .91 2.81 .438 .425 .431 1.99 .320 -.004 1 27 cor181 1662 1998 337 13 0 .784 .57 4.90 .712 .780 .620 1.94 .340 -.008 1 28 cor111 1690 1923 234 9 0 .709 .62 2.65 .397 .545 .538 2.07 .264 .005 3 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5890 223 0 .803 .92 6.93 .664 .647 .532 2.23 .339 -.012 PART 8: ADJUSTMENTS FOR UNDATED SERIES: cor2 14:01 Fri 02 FEB 2001 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time span 1613 1998 386 years, best matches for 50-year segments lagged 25 years Listed in order from highest correlation Counted Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Corr Series Segment Add # 1 Add # 2 Add # 3 Add # 4 Add # 5 Add # 6 Add # 7 Add # 8 Add # 9 Add #10 Add #11 -------- --------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- cpp042 1724 1773 0 .55 -75 .44 222 .42 121 .38 92 .36 15 .32 -90 .31 -14 .29 -73 .29 204 .29 66 .28 cpp042 1749 1798 0 .76 -102 .46 -73 .39 33 .38 -71 .34 -52 .34 62 .32 136 .31 -19 .31 -17 .29 104 .29 cpp042 1774 1823 0 .81 115 .45 -114 .35 33 .35 84 .35 -52 .32 -83 .32 112 .32 138 .30 64 .30 -33 .30 cpp042 1799 1848 0 .74 141 .39 -165 .39 -167 .35 -152 .34 115 .34 -168 .31 -177 .31 -10 .31 62 .30 -26 .29 cpp042 1824 1873 0 .70 29 .47 72 .44 -74 .38 -165 .37 -118 .36 -126 .35 112 .35 89 .32 -106 .32 -193 .32 cpp042 1849 1898 0 .63 -62 .40 -163 .38 -118 .36 34 .34 -8 .32 -40 .32 -52 .30 -32 .29 74 .28 89 .28 cpp042 1874 1923 0 .58 -43 .36 30 .31 -75 .30 -224 .30 -136 .28 -62 .28 -248 .28 -85 .27 -207 .26 -166 .25 cpp042 1899 1948 0 .60 -147 .43 -114 .41 -164 .41 -56 .40 27 .40 -237 .36 -75 .33 -166 .32 30 .31 -282 .31 cpp042 1924 1973 0 .57 -309 .39 -194 .35 -282 .33 -23 .33 -267 .31 -70 .30 18 .30 -112 .29 -30 .29 -252 .29 cpp042 1949 1998 -309 .43 -14 .40 -155 .39 -221 .37 0 .37 -269 .33 -246 .32 -323 .30 -142 .29 -27 .28 -17 .28 10 segments - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Number of segments Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av Add No R_av +0 10 .63 -52 3 .32 -75 3 .36 Chronological order Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No Add No -75 3 -52 3 +0 10 ================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== 1 undated series - = [ COFECHA COR2 COF ] = -