[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run MIL Program COF 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 24441 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: mill canyon File of DATED series: mil.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Text in file: mi2012 1 Mill Canyon PIPO Text in file: mi2012 2 New Mexico PINUS PONDEROSA 0000M 0000-00000 1640 1998 Text in file: mi2012 3 Brown and Woodhouse Time span of Master dating series is 1595 to 1998 404 years Continuous time span is 1595 to 1998 404 years Portion with two or more series is 1635 to 1998 364 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 24 *C* *O* Master series 1595 1998 404 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5533 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5493 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .783 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .437 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* *** Mean length of series 230.5 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) mi2012 1 absent rings: 1967 mi2081 3 absent rings: 1963 1964 1967 mil261 1 absent rings: 1699 mi2071 2 absent rings: 1874 1893 mil201 2 absent rings: 1725 1996 mi2011 4 absent rings: 1822 1860 1967 1981 mil011 5 absent rings: 1842 1950 1963 1964 1967 mil082 4 absent rings: 1842 1860 1861 1981 mil061 1 absent rings: 1822 mil021 2 absent rings: 1964 1967 mil022 2 absent rings: 1964 1967 mil081 6 absent rings: 1842 1851 1964 1967 1971 1981 mil381 3 absent rings: 1822 1842 1956 mil141 1 absent rings: 1842 mil062 3 absent rings: 1822 1842 1899 mil321 1 absent rings: 1989 mi2082 2 absent rings: 1964 1989 43 absent rings .777% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. . mi2012 1 1766 1998 233 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. . mi2081 2 1767 1998 232 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . mil311 3 1822 1997 176 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . mi2062 4 1799 1998 200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . mi2031 5 1808 1998 191 . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================>. . . . mil261 6 1635 1896 262 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====================>. . mi2071 7 1776 1998 223 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============================>. . mil201 8 1683 1997 315 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . mi2011 9 1794 1998 205 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . mi2032 10 1805 1998 194 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . mil011 11 1812 1992 181 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================>. . mil082 12 1736 1991 256 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. . . . mil061 13 1662 1890 229 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . mil021 14 1788 1997 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . mil022 15 1796 1997 202 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============================>. . mil081 16 1697 1997 301 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================>. . mil072 17 1735 1997 263 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. . mil071 18 1717 1997 281 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. . mil381 19 1725 1997 273 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<========> . . . . mil141 20 1764 1850 87 . . . . . . . . . . . <========================>. . . . . mil271 21 1595 1840 246 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=============================> . . mil062 22 1669 1960 292 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======================>. . mil321 23 1754 1997 244 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. . mi2082 24 1762 1998 237 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1600 1.099 1 1650 .103 2 1700 -.535 6 1750 -1.868 10 1800 .139 20 1601 .503 1 1651 .735 2 1701 .230 6 1751 -.418 10 1801 -.311 20 1602 1.330 1 1652 .099 2 1702 .175 6 1752 -1.193 10 1802 .325 20 1603 1.633 1 1653 -.091 2 1703 1.202 6 1753 .962 10 1803 .987 20 1604 .036 1 1654 -1.848 2 1704 -.014 6 1754 .594 11 1804 .401 20 1605 -.339 1 1655 1.212 2 1705 -.288 6 1755 .531 11 1805 -2.022 21 1606 -1.127 1 1656 .782 2 1706 .725 6 1756 -.672 11 1806 -.632 21 1607 -.725 1 1657 .873 2 1707 -1.583 6 1757 -.918 11 1807 -.120 21 1608 -1.199 1 1658 -1.133 2 1708 .652 6 1758 .005 11 1808 .818 22 1609 -.188 1 1659 -.338 2 1709 -.131 6 1759 -.925 11 1809 .764 22 1610 1.766 1 1660 -.332 2 1710 1.068 6 1760 -.487 11 1810 .242 22 1611 .630 1 1661 1.350 2 1711 -.146 6 1761 .948 11 1811 -1.743 22 1612 .105 1 1662 1.361 3 1712 .435 6 1762 1.221 12 1812 .288 23 1613 -1.552 1 1663 -2.660 3 1713 1.416 6 1763 -.848 12 1813 1.147 23 1614 -.656 1 1664 -1.047 3 1714 -.264 6 1764 1.081 13 1814 1.336 23 1615 -.046 1 1665 .483 3 1715 -1.519 6 1765 -.270 13 1815 -1.043 23 1616 -.869 1 1666 -1.570 3 1716 -1.204 6 1766 .804 14 1816 .228 23 1617 .817 1 1667 .040 3 1717 -.452 7 1767 .095 15 1817 .144 23 1618 1.586 1 1668 -.372 3 1718 .165 7 1768 .397 15 1818 -.265 23 1619 1.239 1 1669 -.175 4 1719 -.157 7 1769 .467 15 1819 -.427 23 1620 .916 1 1670 -.790 4 1720 1.277 7 1770 .031 15 1820 -1.151 23 1621 1.216 1 1671 -.086 4 1721 .874 7 1771 1.447 15 1821 .094 23 1622 .499 1 1672 .355 4 1722 .496 7 1772 -.867 15 1822 -4.632 24 4 1623 -.623 1 1673 1.348 4 1723 1.133 7 1773 -3.327 15 1823 .260 24 1624 -.507 1 1674 .900 4 1724 -.362 7 1774 .018 15 1824 -1.055 24 1625 -1.405 1 1675 1.021 4 1725 -.911 8 1 1775 -1.201 15 1825 .826 24 1626 -1.520 1 1676 -.391 4 1726 .231 8 1776 -.051 16 1826 .544 24 1627 .998 1 1677 -.109 4 1727 -.938 8 1777 .115 16 1827 .826 24 1628 -.759 1 1678 1.065 4 1728 .976 8 1778 .154 16 1828 1.425 24 1629 -.596 1 1679 .177 4 1729 .810 8 1779 1.111 16 1829 .980 24 1630 -1.246 1 1680 1.479 4 1730 -1.444 8 1780 -1.093 16 1830 .480 24 1631 -1.195 1 1681 -.954 4 1731 -.732 8 1781 1.071 16 1831 -1.641 24 1632 -1.780 1 1682 -.687 4 1732 1.096 8 1782 .817 16 1832 .884 24 1633 .879 1 1683 1.306 5 1733 -.777 8 1783 .785 16 1833 .652 24 1634 1.442 1 1684 -2.021 5 1734 1.005 8 1784 -.095 16 1834 .103 24 1635 .314 2 1685 -.248 5 1735 -.535 9 1785 .539 16 1835 .105 24 1636 -.324 2 1686 -1.153 5 1736 .530 10 1786 .540 16 1836 .424 24 1637 .395 2 1687 -.428 5 1737 -.959 10 1787 .098 16 1837 -.611 24 1638 -.580 2 1688 .634 5 1738 -1.603 10 1788 .147 17 1838 .458 24 1639 1.828 2 1689 .883 5 1739 -.499 10 1789 -4.018 17 1839 1.196 24 1640 1.279 2 1690 -.274 5 1740 .896 10 1790 -1.354 17 1840 .841 24 1641 .165 2 1691 .549 5 1741 .542 10 1791 -.845 17 1841 .646 23 1642 .793 2 1692 1.479 5 1742 -.197 10 1792 .487 17 1842 -3.719 23 6 1643 -.079 2 1693 1.112 5 1743 1.312 10 1793 .717 17 1843 -.706 23 1644 -.613 2 1694 -1.385 5 1744 -.239 10 1794 1.252 18 1844 -.449 23 1595 .143 1 1645 -.631 2 1695 -.573 5 1745 .327 10 1795 .190 18 1845 -.053 23 1596 -.586 1 1646 .125 2 1696 -.389 5 1746 1.497 10 1796 .018 19 1846 -.630 23 1597 -1.367 1 1647 -.669 2 1697 .189 6 1747 1.359 10 1797 .160 19 1847 .232 23 1598 -1.927 1 1648 -1.274 2 1698 .268 6 1748 -.704 10 1798 1.179 19 1848 -.543 23 1599 1.670 1 1649 1.229 2 1699 -1.817 6 1 1749 .372 10 1799 -.310 20 1849 1.496 23 PART 3: Master Dating Series: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1850 .288 23 1900 1.299 20 1950 -.422 20 1 1851 -2.336 22 1 1901 .675 20 1951 .595 20 1852 -.311 22 1902 -.100 20 1952 -.755 20 1853 -.450 22 1903 .170 20 1953 -.163 20 1854 1.012 22 1904 -.616 20 1954 -.903 20 1855 .866 22 1905 .630 20 1955 .725 20 1856 -.459 22 1906 .484 20 1956 -1.092 20 1 1857 .746 22 1907 1.006 20 1957 -.487 20 1858 2.130 22 1908 -1.878 20 1958 1.016 20 1859 .218 22 1909 -1.075 20 1959 .547 20 1860 -1.338 22 2 1910 -1.200 20 1960 1.080 20 1861 -1.438 22 1 1911 -.540 20 1961 1.656 19 1862 -.462 22 1912 .634 20 1962 .958 19 1863 .023 22 1913 .084 20 1963 -1.073 19 2 1864 -.007 22 1914 1.305 20 1964 -1.711 19 6 1865 -.344 22 1915 .993 20 1965 .890 19 1866 .274 22 1916 -.110 20 1966 -.399 19 1867 .131 22 1917 -.121 20 1967 -1.746 19 7 1868 .693 22 1918 -.332 20 1968 -.701 19 1869 .538 22 1919 .827 20 1969 .661 19 1870 -.028 22 1920 .710 20 1970 .254 19 1871 1.215 22 1921 1.429 20 1971 -.431 19 1 1872 1.562 22 1922 -.668 20 1972 -.283 19 1873 -.367 22 1923 -1.635 20 1973 .370 19 1874 -1.023 22 1 1924 -.235 20 1974 -.732 19 1875 -.660 22 1925 -1.425 20 1975 1.288 19 1876 -.006 22 1926 .946 20 1976 .358 19 1877 -.918 22 1927 -.642 20 1977 .613 19 1878 .833 22 1928 .106 20 1978 -.965 19 1879 -.756 22 1929 1.136 20 1979 .857 19 1880 -1.227 22 1930 .709 20 1980 .403 19 1881 .649 22 1931 1.503 20 1981 -2.167 19 3 1882 .017 22 1932 1.100 20 1982 1.123 19 1883 -1.031 22 1933 -.776 20 1983 -.004 19 1884 1.201 22 1934 -.981 20 1984 -.848 19 1885 .672 22 1935 .384 20 1985 .834 19 1886 .868 22 1936 -1.012 20 1986 .995 19 1887 1.563 22 1937 -1.098 20 1987 .866 19 1888 -.578 22 1938 -1.144 20 1988 -.223 19 1889 -.171 22 1939 -.322 20 1989 -1.113 19 2 1890 -.069 22 1940 -.379 20 1990 -1.182 19 1891 -.009 21 1941 .717 20 1991 1.073 19 1892 .172 21 1942 1.061 20 1992 .778 18 1893 -.601 21 1 1943 -.444 20 1993 .301 17 1894 .043 21 1944 1.120 20 1994 .325 17 1895 -1.147 21 1945 .184 20 1995 .978 17 1896 -1.160 21 1946 -1.861 20 1996 -2.061 17 1 1897 1.578 20 1947 .427 20 1997 .260 17 1898 .182 20 1948 .387 20 1998 -.354 8 1899 -2.036 20 1 1949 1.474 20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600---------D 1650-----@ 1700---b 1750g 1800-----A 1850------A 1900----------E 1601-------B 1651--------C 1701------A 1751---b 1801---a 1851i 1901-------C 1602----------E 1652-----@ 1702-----A 1752-e 1802------A 1852---a 1902----@ 1603----------G 1653----@ 1703---------E 1753--------D 1803---------D 1853---b 1903-----A 1604-----@ 1654g 1704-----@ 1754-------B 1804------B 1854---------D 1904--b 1605---a 1655---------E 1705----a 1755-------B 1805h 1855--------C 1905-------C 1606-e 1656--------C 1706--------C 1756--c 1806--c 1856---b 1906-------B 1607--c 1657--------C 1707f 1757-d 1807----@ 1857--------C 1907---------D 1608-e 1658-e 1708-------C 1758-----@ 1808--------C 1858----------I 1908h 1609----a 1659---a 1709----a 1759-d 1809--------C 1859------A 1909-d 1610----------G 1660---a 1710---------D 1760---b 1810------A 1860-e 1910-e 1611-------C 1661----------E 1711----a 1761--------D 1811g 1861f 1911---b 1612-----@ 1662----------E 1712------B 1762---------E 1812------A 1862---b 1912-------C 1613f 1663k 1713----------F 1763--c 1813---------E 1863-----@ 1913-----@ 1614--c 1664-d 1714----a 1764---------D 1814----------E 1864-----@ 1914----------E 1615----@ 1665-------B 1715f 1765----a 1815-d 1865---a 1915---------D 1616--c 1666f 1716-e 1766--------C 1816------A 1866------A 1916----@ 1617--------C 1667-----@ 1717---b 1767-----@ 1817-----A 1867-----A 1917----@ 1618----------F 1668---a 1718-----A 1768------B 1818----a 1868-------C 1918---a 1619---------E 1669----a 1719----a 1769-------B 1819---b 1869-------B 1919--------C 1620--------D 1670--c 1720----------E 1770-----@ 1820-e 1870----@ 1920-------C 1621---------E 1671----@ 1721--------C 1771----------F 1821-----@ 1871---------E 1921----------F 1622-------B 1672------A 1722-------B 1772--c 1822s 1872----------F 1922--c 1623--b 1673----------E 1723---------E 1773m 1823------A 1873---a 1923g 1624---b 1674--------D 1724---a 1774-----@ 1824-d 1874-d 1924----a 1625-f 1675---------D 1725-d 1775-e 1825--------C 1875--c 1925f 1626f 1676---b 1726------A 1776----@ 1826-------B 1876-----@ 1926--------D 1627---------D 1677----@ 1727-d 1777-----@ 1827--------C 1877-d 1927--c 1628--c 1678---------D 1728---------D 1778-----A 1828----------F 1878--------C 1928-----@ 1629--b 1679-----A 1729--------C 1779---------D 1829---------D 1879--c 1929---------E 1630-e 1680----------F 1730f 1780-d 1830-------B 1880-e 1930-------C 1631-e 1681-d 1731--c 1781---------D 1831g 1881-------C 1931----------F 1632g 1682--c 1732---------D 1782--------C 1832--------D 1882-----@ 1932---------D 1633--------D 1683----------E 1733--c 1783--------C 1833-------C 1883-d 1933--c 1634----------F 1684h 1734---------D 1784----@ 1834-----@ 1884---------E 1934-d 1635------A 1685----a 1735---b 1785-------B 1835-----@ 1885-------C 1935------B 1636---a 1686-e 1736-------B 1786-------B 1836------B 1886--------C 1936-d 1637------B 1687---b 1737-d 1787-----@ 1837--b 1887----------F 1937-d 1638--b 1688-------C 1738f 1788-----A 1838-------B 1888--b 1938-e 1639----------G 1689--------D 1739---b 1789p 1839---------E 1889----a 1939---a 1640----------E 1690----a 1740--------D 1790-e 1840--------C 1890----@ 1940---b 1641-----A 1691-------B 1741-------B 1791--c 1841-------C 1891-----@ 1941-------C 1642--------C 1692----------F 1742----a 1792-------B 1842o 1892-----A 1942---------D 1643----@ 1693---------D 1743----------E 1793-------C 1843--c 1893--b 1943---b 1644--b 1694-f 1744----a 1794---------E 1844---b 1894-----@ 1944---------D 1595-----A 1645--c 1695--b 1745------A 1795-----A 1845----@ 1895-e 1945-----A 1596--b 1646-----@ 1696---b 1746----------F 1796-----@ 1846--c 1896-e 1946g 1597-e 1647--c 1697-----A 1747----------E 1797-----A 1847------A 1897----------F 1947------B 1598h 1648-e 1698------A 1748--c 1798---------E 1848---b 1898-----A 1948------B 1599----------G 1649---------E 1699g 1749------A 1799---a 1849----------F 1899h 1949----------F PART 4: Master Bar Plot: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1950---b 1951-------B 1952--c 1953----a 1954-d 1955--------C 1956-d 1957---b 1958---------D 1959-------B 1960---------D 1961----------G 1962--------D 1963-d 1964g 1965--------D 1966---b 1967g 1968--c 1969-------C 1970------A 1971---b 1972----a 1973------A 1974--c 1975----------E 1976------A 1977-------B 1978-d 1979--------C 1980------B 1981i 1982---------D 1983-----@ 1984--c 1985--------C 1986---------D 1987--------C 1988----a 1989-d 1990-e 1991---------D 1992--------C 1993------A 1994------A 1995---------D 1996h 1997------A 1998---a PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 mi2012 1766 1998 .80 .86 .91 .82 .76 .83 .89 .87 .75 2 mi2081 1767 1998 .75 .82 .87 .94 .88 .84 .86 .84 .88 3 mil311 1822 1997 .71 .66 .73 .78 .77 .75 .75 4 mi2062 1799 1998 .86 .86 .82 .79 .80 .87 .90 .85 5 mi2031 1808 1998 .88 .86 .89 .91 .90 .83 .82 6 mil261 1635 1896 .53 .62 .77 .83 .84 .77 .69 .60 .60 .66 7 mi2071 1776 1998 .78 .87 .86 .81 .82 .85 .89 .89 8 mil201 1683 1997 .59 .62 .73 .76 .69 .70 .79 .57 .56 .65 .71 .67 9 mi2011 1794 1998 .90 .89 .70 .63 .83 .85 .83 .85 10 mi2032 1805 1998 .82 .89 .86 .82 .85 .83 .84 11 mil011 1812 1992 .86 .82 .80 .76 .80 .76 .62 12 mil082 1736 1991 .86 .87 .86 .82 .68 .67 .63 .68 .77 .72 13 mil061 1662 1890 .61 .74 .72 .78 .80 .84 .87 .91 .86 14 mil021 1788 1997 .76 .79 .82 .75 .71 .77 .85 .80 15 mil022 1796 1997 .90 .90 .86 .81 .79 .74 .70 .76 16 mil081 1697 1997 .65 .69 .80 .84 .83 .84 .80 .76 .80 .84 .82 .86 17 mil072 1735 1997 .76 .83 .86 .83 .83 .79 .80 .76 .78 .81 18 mil071 1717 1997 .76 .74 .74 .81 .79 .73 .80 .79 .76 .83 .87 19 mil381 1725 1997 .79 .83 .76 .77 .85 .80 .71 .70 .80 .77 20 mil141 1764 1850 .75 .79 .91 .91 21 mil271 1595 1840 .41 .49 .58 .59 .64 .67 .67 .60 22 mil062 1669 1960 .76 .81 .86 .83 .78 .83 .78 .77 .77 .71 .75 .74 23 mil321 1754 1997 .83 .90 .90 .90 .82 .79 .80 .75 .75 24 mi2082 1762 1998 .71 .77 .84 .94 .85 .74 .77 .82 .81 Av segment correlation .47 .62 .69 .72 .78 .78 .81 .82 .82 .77 .77 .79 .80 .79 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== mi2012 1766 to 1998 233 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .810) is: Lower 1981< -.020 1789> -.007 1963> -.005 1990> -.003 1989< -.003 1983> -.003 Higher 1822 .015 1858 .003 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1967 -1.746 19 7 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +3.4 SD; 1981 -7.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2081 1767 to 1998 232 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .845) is: Lower 1773< -.019 1806> -.005 1798< -.004 1772> -.003 1943> -.003 1974> -.003 Higher 1842 .010 1789 .004 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1963 -1.073 19 2 1964 -1.711 19 6 1967 -1.746 19 7 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1773 -7.9 SD; 1806 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil311 1822 to 1997 176 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .727) is: Lower 1842> -.023 1866< -.006 1933> -.005 1987< -.005 1996> -.005 1997< -.005 Higher 1822 .009 1851 .007 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1842 +5.6 SD; 1981 -6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2062 1799 to 1998 200 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .842) is: Lower 1981> -.004 1805> -.004 1992> -.004 1837> -.003 1800< -.003 1879> -.003 Higher 1822 .021 1858 .003 =================================================================================================================================== mi2031 1808 to 1998 191 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .866) is: Lower 1974> -.004 1834> -.004 1981> -.003 1943> -.003 1950> -.003 1875< -.003 Higher 1822 .013 1851 .004 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1842 -5.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil261 1635 to 1896 262 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .673) is: Lower 1803< -.021 1636< -.013 1660> -.008 1790> -.007 1663> -.006 1861> -.006 Higher 1789 .023 1822 .015 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1699 -1.817 6 1 [E] Outliers 9 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1636 -5.1 SD; 1660 +3.7 SD; 1663 +3.9 SD; 1710 +3.2 SD; 1790 +4.5 SD; 1803 -6.8 SD; 1842 +3.3 SD; 1861 +3.9 SD; 1862 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2071 1776 to 1998 223 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .794) is: Lower 1874< -.037 1936> -.004 1792< -.003 1875> -.003 1853> -.003 1914< -.002 Higher 1822 .013 1996 .005 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1874 1875 4.1 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1874 -1.023 22 1 1893 -.601 21 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1874 -9.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil201 1683 to 1997 315 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .670) is: Lower 1879< -.017 1711< -.005 1716> -.004 1808< -.004 1887< -.004 1888> -.004 Higher 1842 .014 1789 .008 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1725 -.911 8 1 1996 -2.061 17 1 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1716 +3.3 SD; 1822 +4.2 SD; 1851 +3.2 SD; 1879 -8.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2011 1794 to 1998 205 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .829) is: Lower 1873> -.022 1860< -.005 1872< -.005 1871< -.004 1946> -.004 1866< -.003 Higher 1822 .024 1842 .005 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.632 24 4 1860 -1.338 22 2 1967 -1.746 19 7 1981 -2.167 19 3 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1873 +5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2032 1805 to 1998 194 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .832) is: Lower 1811< -.007 1815> -.007 1835< -.005 1805> -.005 1934> -.004 1886< -.003 Higher 1822 .019 1842 .011 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1811 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil011 1812 to 1992 181 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .789) is: Lower 1992< -.022 1814< -.007 1892< -.006 1984< -.004 1965< -.004 1989> -.003 Higher 1822 .032 1842 .017 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1842 -3.719 23 6 1950 -.422 20 1 1963 -1.073 19 2 1964 -1.711 19 6 1967 -1.746 19 7 =================================================================================================================================== mil082 1736 to 1991 256 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .783) is: Lower 1811> -.012 1989> -.008 1908> -.007 1879> -.007 1873> -.004 1878< -.004 Higher 1842 .014 1789 .014 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1842 -3.719 23 6 1860 -1.338 22 2 1861 -1.438 22 1 1981 -2.167 19 3 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1811 +4.7 SD; 1989 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil061 1662 to 1890 229 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .790) is: Lower 1663> -.014 1704< -.014 1887< -.008 1665> -.006 1668> -.005 1783< -.004 Higher 1822 .016 1789 .014 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.632 24 4 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1663 +4.8 SD; 1704 -5.1 SD; 1842 -5.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil021 1788 to 1997 210 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .773) is: Lower 1820> -.008 1908< -.005 1984> -.005 1791> -.004 1880> -.004 1811< -.004 Higher 1822 .013 1842 .010 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1964 -1.711 19 6 1967 -1.746 19 7 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +3.1 SD; 1811 -5.5 SD; 1815 -5.0 SD; 1820 +3.6 SD; 1908 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil022 1796 to 1997 202 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .814) is: Lower 1927< -.009 1950< -.008 1880> -.006 1848> -.005 1910> -.005 1936> -.005 Higher 1822 .022 1842 .015 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1964 -1.711 19 6 1967 -1.746 19 7 =================================================================================================================================== mil081 1697 to 1997 301 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .816) is: Lower 1811> -.008 1704> -.007 1699> -.006 1727> -.004 1880< -.004 1891> -.003 Higher 1789 .011 1842 .009 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1842 -3.719 23 6 1851 -2.336 22 1 1964 -1.711 19 6 1967 -1.746 19 7 1971 -.431 19 1 1981 -2.167 19 3 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1699 +3.4 SD; 1704 +3.8 SD; 1811 +4.0 SD; 1880 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil072 1735 to 1997 263 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .803) is: Lower 1805> -.010 1925> -.009 1806> -.005 1773> -.004 1995< -.003 1869< -.003 Higher 1822 .018 1789 .013 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1773 +3.1 SD; 1805 +4.2 SD; 1806 +3.6 SD; 1822 -5.1 SD; 1925 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil071 1717 to 1997 281 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .789) is: Lower 1804< -.009 1873< -.008 1763< -.007 1914< -.007 1772> -.005 1941< -.004 Higher 1822 .020 1789 .007 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1763 -5.2 SD; 1842 +3.4 SD; 1873 -5.3 SD; 1996 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil381 1725 to 1997 273 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .784) is: Lower 1989> -.008 1811> -.006 1819< -.005 1763> -.005 1736< -.005 1877> -.004 Higher 1789 .011 1773 .007 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.632 24 4 1842 -3.719 23 6 1956 -1.092 20 1 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1763 +3.4 SD; 1811 +3.3 SD; 1989 +4.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil141 1764 to 1850 87 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .833) is: Lower 1789> -.040 1777< -.009 1790< -.008 1765< -.008 1784< -.005 1818> -.004 Higher 1822 .033 1842 .019 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1842 -3.719 23 6 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil271 1595 to 1840 246 years Series 21 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1595 to 1634 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .571) is: Lower 1663< -.017 1636> -.017 1665< -.009 1701< -.008 1660< -.008 1757> -.008 Higher 1789 .034 1805 .011 [E] Outliers 10 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1636 +5.1 SD; 1650 +3.8 SD; 1658 +3.5 SD; 1663 -8.6 SD; 1669 +3.1 SD; 1714 +3.3 SD; 1757 +3.8 SD; 1773 +4.0 SD; 1819 +3.2 SD; 1822 +4.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil062 1669 to 1960 292 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .805) is: Lower 1769< -.006 1943< -.005 1773> -.004 1838< -.004 1830< -.003 1711> -.003 Higher 1789 .012 1842 .012 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1822 -4.632 24 4 1842 -3.719 23 6 1899 -2.036 20 1 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1773 +3.0 SD; 1811 -4.8 SD; 1943 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== mil321 1754 to 1997 244 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .830) is: Lower 1948< -.005 1978> -.004 1757< -.004 1989< -.004 1888> -.004 1956> -.003 Higher 1822 .016 1789 .012 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1989 -1.113 19 2 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1989 -4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== mi2082 1762 to 1998 237 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .781) is: Lower 1764< -.012 1996> -.010 1879> -.006 1822> -.005 1943> -.004 1782< -.004 Higher 1842 .014 1851 .005 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1964 -1.711 19 6 1989 -1.113 19 2 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1773 -6.4 SD; 1822 +3.3 SD; 1996 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: mill canyon 09:06 Thu 29 Nov 2001 Page 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 mi2012 1766 1998 233 9 0 .810 .90 3.45 .617 .729 .429 2.56 .338 -.015 1 2 mi2081 1767 1998 232 9 0 .845 1.06 2.88 .611 .715 .414 2.58 .299 .001 1 3 mil311 1822 1997 176 7 0 .727 1.21 5.59 .922 .792 .383 2.64 .399 -.029 1 4 mi2062 1799 1998 200 8 0 .842 1.41 4.39 .794 .555 .470 2.56 .332 -.031 2 5 mi2031 1808 1998 191 7 0 .866 1.47 3.23 .572 .447 .361 2.49 .315 .021 1 6 mil261 1635 1896 262 10 0 .673 1.10 3.66 .556 .324 .507 2.71 .373 -.016 1 7 mi2071 1776 1998 223 8 0 .794 1.41 6.10 1.210 .849 .478 2.55 .349 -.022 1 8 mil201 1683 1997 315 12 0 .670 .54 1.78 .305 .607 .418 2.58 .375 -.018 1 9 mi2011 1794 1998 205 8 0 .829 1.06 3.54 .625 .680 .442 2.65 .320 -.022 1 10 mi2032 1805 1998 194 7 0 .832 1.24 3.22 .591 .578 .343 2.63 .434 -.021 2 11 mil011 1812 1992 181 7 0 .789 1.56 4.40 1.081 .744 .500 2.46 .318 -.009 2 12 mil082 1736 1991 256 10 0 .783 .61 2.85 .516 .712 .495 2.60 .423 -.006 1 13 mil061 1662 1890 229 9 0 .790 1.16 2.99 .647 .638 .391 2.58 .329 -.021 1 14 mil021 1788 1997 210 8 0 .773 1.27 5.05 1.034 .800 .442 2.64 .404 -.027 2 15 mil022 1796 1997 202 8 0 .814 1.26 5.56 1.062 .815 .406 2.60 .422 -.017 2 16 mil081 1697 1997 301 12 0 .816 .58 1.92 .345 .493 .531 2.61 .419 -.023 2 17 mil072 1735 1997 263 10 0 .803 .84 3.61 .546 .719 .395 2.71 .305 -.023 1 18 mil071 1717 1997 281 11 0 .789 .67 1.61 .319 .461 .400 2.49 .348 -.030 1 19 mil381 1725 1997 273 10 0 .784 .68 2.50 .452 .594 .529 2.69 .417 .017 1 20 mil141 1764 1850 87 4 0 .833 1.68 4.63 .984 .674 .454 2.53 .442 -.035 1 21 mil271 1595 1840 246 8 0 .571 1.24 4.06 .766 .788 .349 2.56 .369 -.005 2 22 mil062 1669 1960 292 12 0 .805 .93 4.20 .719 .748 .436 2.60 .403 -.025 1 23 mil321 1754 1997 244 9 0 .830 1.32 7.74 1.168 .790 .442 2.83 .412 -.007 1 24 mi2082 1762 1998 237 9 0 .781 1.10 3.49 .642 .707 .415 2.69 .338 -.007 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5533 212 0 .783 1.04 7.74 .679 .659 .437 2.83 .370 -.015 - = [ COFECHA MIL COF ] = -