Kalash Valley Bumburet PIGE, Pakistan - PAKI021 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 NOTES: Missing data values are designated by -888 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : PAKI021.CRN Measurement file name : PAKI021.RWL Date checked : 26JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1403 Ending year : 2006 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Site name : Kalash Valley Bumburet Site location : Pakistan Species information : PIGE CHILGOZA PINE Latitude : 3541 Longitude : 07138 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.664 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.219 Avg standard deviation : 0.319 Avg autocorrelation : 0.754 Number dated series : 19 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 13 Pct problem segments : 5.44 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Kalash Valley Bumburet PIGE 09:27 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BUKP011 1697 2006 .47 .49 .65 .68 .74 .72 .63 .61 .89 2 BUKP012 1697 1931 .60 .59 .55 .48 .81 .86 .54 .53 .80 3 BUKP021 1543 2004 .43 .41 .63 .74 .70 .72 .73 .68 .76 .82 .79 .74 .67 .68 .86 4 BUKP022 1567 2006 .64 .66 .70 .72 .77 .66 .74 .79 .81 .92 .88 .68 .43 .54 5 BUKP031 1558 2006 .38 .63 .70 .71 .76 .58 .50 .62 .80 .93 .90 .76 .75 .90 6 BUKP032 1583 2006 .61 .62 .63 .77 .55 .50 .65 .74 .88 .89 .84 .78 .82 7 BUKP041 1783 2006 .28A .40 .61 .63 .86 8 BUKP042 1783 1930 .27A .35 .72 .59 .55 9 BUKP051 1827 2006 .67 .78 .78 10 BUKP061 1661 2006 .61 .69 .59 .59 .66 .82 .72 .32A .48 .74 11 BUKP062 1805 2006 .75 .64 .74 .56 12 BUKP071 1468 1800 .41 .39 .42 .51 .45 .65 .73 .79 .80 .67 .58 .61 .73 .68 13 BUKP072 1468 1710 .55 .54 .55 .75 .54 .68 .76 .75 .81 .69 14 BUKP081 1624 2006 .42 .41 .54 .30B .21B .39 .43 .63 .73 .70 .66 .87 15 BUKP092 1403 2006 .52 .40 .47 .56 .56 .42 .36 .58 .46 -.07B-.02B .27B .44 .49 .74 .89 .85 .75 .73 .67 16 BUKP094 1403 1650 .52 .43 .35 .29B .34 .37 .23B .51 .59 .58 17 BUKP101 1713 2003 .31A .31B .35 .77 .86 .73 .73 .45 18 BUKP111 1805 2006 .70 .65 .73 .76 19 BUKP121 1526 1697 .38 .43 .66 .55 .52 .78 Av segment correlation .52 .42 .45 .45 .47 .48 .43 .62 .63 .57 .65 .56 .51 .58 .66 .73 .74 .66 .66 .74 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Kalash Valley Bumburet PIGE 09:27 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1900 1925 1950 1975 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BUKP011 1697 2006 .89 .73 .72 .74 2 BUKP012 1697 1931 .80 3 BUKP021 1543 2004 .81 .70 .90 .92 4 BUKP022 1567 2006 .73 .71 .77 .83 5 BUKP031 1558 2006 .86 .72 .81 .83 6 BUKP032 1583 2006 .86 .75 .86 .86 7 BUKP041 1783 2006 .79 .55 .72 .74 8 BUKP042 1783 1930 .62 9 BUKP051 1827 2006 .79 .80 .81 .83 10 BUKP061 1661 2006 .71 .62 .80 .81 11 BUKP062 1805 2006 .57 .62 .68 .74 14 BUKP081 1624 2006 .89 .81 .76 .69 15 BUKP092 1403 2006 .72 .79 .79 .79 17 BUKP101 1713 2003 .29A .48 .81 .78 18 BUKP111 1805 2006 .75 .67 .74 .76 Av segment correlation .74 .69 .78 .79 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Kalash Valley Bumburet PIGE 09:27 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BUKP011 1697 2006 310 13 0 .714 .92 2.21 .295 .717 .198 2.47 .288 -.027 1 2 BUKP012 1697 1931 235 10 0 .687 .84 2.15 .310 .784 .183 2.55 .292 -.072 1 3 BUKP021 1543 2004 462 19 0 .742 .72 1.82 .242 .579 .233 2.45 .295 -.014 1 4 BUKP022 1567 2006 440 18 0 .728 .58 1.26 .208 .645 .246 2.54 .343 -.015 3 5 BUKP031 1558 2006 449 18 0 .756 .67 1.32 .198 .633 .213 2.46 .268 -.022 1 6 BUKP032 1583 2006 424 17 0 .763 .62 1.43 .176 .516 .223 2.53 .318 -.040 1 7 BUKP041 1783 2006 224 9 1 .625 .73 5.93 .697 .889 .213 2.59 .328 -.016 1 8 BUKP042 1783 1930 148 6 1 .500 1.06 2.42 .360 .744 .193 2.42 .343 -.046 1 9 BUKP051 1827 2006 180 7 0 .773 .95 3.01 .587 .912 .241 2.44 .353 -.020 1 10 BUKP061 1661 2006 346 14 1 .670 .50 1.15 .183 .821 .189 2.60 .353 -.043 1 11 BUKP062 1805 2006 202 8 0 .712 .43 1.03 .203 .863 .204 2.42 .303 -.049 1 12 BUKP071 1468 1800 333 14 0 .592 .36 1.30 .234 .852 .309 2.65 .329 -.028 2 13 BUKP072 1468 1710 243 10 0 .662 .76 1.38 .206 .594 .203 2.64 .397 -.031 1 14 BUKP081 1624 2006 383 16 2 .619 .88 3.11 .559 .912 .218 2.52 .299 -.020 1 15 BUKP092 1403 2006 604 24 3 .572 .44 2.51 .465 .930 .191 2.73 .299 -.011 1 16 BUKP094 1403 1650 248 10 2 .413 .57 3.00 .469 .897 .177 2.74 .354 .021 1 17 BUKP101 1713 2003 291 12 3 .646 .41 2.63 .261 .802 .266 2.60 .285 -.045 2 18 BUKP111 1805 2006 202 8 0 .723 1.20 2.34 .408 .814 .194 2.54 .343 -.036 1 19 BUKP121 1526 1697 172 6 0 .571 .54 1.05 .179 .545 .252 2.64 .393 .043 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5896 239 13 .664 .66 5.93 .319 .754 .219 2.74 .319 -.024