[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run HEND Program COF 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.02P 25194 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Henderson File of DATED series: ut514.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Text in file: HCP 1 Upper Henderson Canyon PSME Text in file: HCP 2 Utah Douglas-fir 3000M 3743-11156 __ 1259 1998 Text in file: HCP 3 David E. Grow Time span of Master dating series is 1259 to 1998 740 years Continuous time span is 1259 to 1998 740 years Portion with two or more series is 1312 to 1998 687 years >> HCP02A 1629 absent in 1 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .387 >> HCP02B 1994 absent in 1 of 33 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.354 >> HCP03A 1630 absent in 1 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .177 >> HCP05A 1881 absent in 1 of 33 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.324 >> HCP06A 1832 absent in 1 of 32 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .437 >> HCP16A 1390 absent in 1 of 8 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.162 >> HCP17A 1696 absent in 1 of 23 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .580 >> HCP17B 1721 absent in 1 of 27 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.732 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 34 *C* *O* Master series 1259 1998 740 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 15173 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 15120 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .768 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .260 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 1 *A* *** Mean length of series 446.3 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) HCP02A 3 absent rings: 1442 1629 1735 HCP02B 1 absent rings: 1994 HCP03A 4 absent rings: 1630 1729 1735 1934 HCP03B 1 absent rings: 1729 HCP05A 1 absent rings: 1881 HCP05B 1 absent rings: 1735 HCP06A 2 absent rings: 1735 1832 HCP07B 1 absent rings: 1632 HCP08B 2 absent rings: 1506 1782 HCP08E 2 absent rings: 1735 1996 HCP09B 1 absent rings: 1841 HCP10B 1 absent rings: 1894 HCP11A 1 absent rings: 1506 HCP15B 1 absent rings: 1542 HCP16A 1 absent rings: 1390 HCP17A 1 absent rings: 1696 HCP17B 1 absent rings: 1721 HCP18A 1 absent rings: 1626 HCP23A 1 absent rings: 1729 27 absent rings .178% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beg End 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 Ident Seq year year Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============================>. HCP01A 1 1705 1998 294 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. HCP01B 2 1810 1998 189 . . . . . . . . . <=======================================================>. HCP02A 3 1433 1998 566 . . . . . . . . . <======================================================>. HCP02B 4 1448 1998 551 . . . . . . . . . <========================================================>. HCP03A 5 1426 1998 573 . . . . . . . . <============================================================>. HCP03B 6 1384 1998 615 . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================================>. HCP05A 7 1605 1998 394 . . . . . . . . <===========================================================>. HCP05B 8 1390 1998 609 . . . . . . . . <==========================================================>. HCP06A 9 1406 1998 593 . . . . . . . . . <======================================================>. HCP07A 10 1446 1998 553 . . . . . . . . . <==========================================> . . . HCP07B 11 1443 1870 428 . . . . . . . . . <=====================================================>. HCP08B 12 1456 1998 543 . . . . . . .<===================================================================>. HCP08E 13 1312 1998 687 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======================>. HCP09A 14 1750 1998 249 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. HCP09B 15 1789 1998 210 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. HCP10A 16 1833 1998 166 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. HCP10B 17 1859 1998 140 . . . . . <=========================================================================>. HCP11A 18 1259 1997 739 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. HCP12A 19 1720 1998 279 . . . . . . . . . . <===================================================>. HCP12B 20 1472 1998 527 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. HCP12C 21 1767 1998 232 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========================>. HCP13A 22 1720 1997 278 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. HCP13B 23 1762 1998 237 . . . . . . . . . <========================================================>. HCP14A 24 1428 1998 571 . . . . . . . . . <========================================================>. HCP14B 25 1422 1998 577 . . . . . . . <=================================================================>. HCP15A 26 1333 1998 666 . . . . . . . <==================================================================>. HCP15B 27 1326 1998 673 . . . . . . . . <============================================================>. HCP16A 28 1388 1998 611 . . . . . . . . <============================================================>. HCP16B 29 1388 1998 611 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============================>. HCP17A 30 1692 1997 306 . . . . . . . . . . <===================================================>. HCP17B 31 1479 1998 520 . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=====================================>. HCP18A 32 1611 1997 387 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============================>. HCP22B 33 1695 1998 304 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============================>. HCP23A 34 1703 1997 295 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1300 .592 1 1350 -1.555 4 1301 -.455 1 1351 .409 4 1302 -.600 1 1352 1.434 4 1303 .248 1 1353 1.001 4 1304 2.535 1 1354 .266 4 1305 -.649 1 1355 -.459 4 1306 -.143 1 1356 .586 4 1307 1.775 1 1357 .238 4 1308 .890 1 1358 -.036 4 1259 1.415 1 1309 .904 1 1359 -.205 4 1260 .043 1 1310 .375 1 1360 -.655 4 1261 -.267 1 1311 .919 1 1361 -1.854 4 1262 -1.484 1 1312 .932 2 1362 -1.114 4 1263 1.182 1 1313 .995 2 1363 -1.101 4 1264 1.471 1 1314 -.855 2 1364 -.076 4 1265 -1.224 1 1315 -.100 2 1365 .625 4 1266 .035 1 1316 -3.836 2 1366 .606 4 1267 .971 1 1317 -.096 2 1367 1.178 4 1268 -.970 1 1318 .913 2 1368 .988 4 1269 -.256 1 1319 .438 2 1369 -1.191 4 1270 -.318 1 1320 .115 2 1370 -.114 4 1271 -.692 1 1321 .382 2 1371 .156 4 1272 -.452 1 1322 .056 2 1372 1.514 4 1273 1.915 1 1323 .067 2 1373 1.186 4 1274 -2.525 1 1324 -.840 2 1374 1.562 4 1275 2.039 1 1325 -.032 2 1375 -1.175 4 1276 -1.026 1 1326 -.567 3 1376 -1.338 4 1277 -.531 1 1327 -1.045 3 1377 -.623 4 1278 .455 1 1328 .183 3 1378 -.178 4 1279 .276 1 1329 -1.427 3 1379 -.983 4 1280 1.495 1 1330 1.331 3 1380 1.745 4 1281 .294 1 1331 1.163 3 1381 -.745 4 1282 1.193 1 1332 .557 3 1382 -1.130 4 1283 -.572 1 1333 .128 4 1383 .117 4 1284 1.168 1 1334 .505 4 1384 -.526 5 1285 -.648 1 1335 -.998 4 1385 .534 5 1286 -1.082 1 1336 -.729 4 1386 .231 5 1287 -.277 1 1337 .486 4 1387 .196 5 1288 2.015 1 1338 .804 4 1388 -.321 7 1289 -.196 1 1339 1.288 4 1389 .089 7 1290 -.883 1 1340 -.235 4 1390 -.162 8 1<< 1291 -.378 1 1341 .938 4 1391 -.204 8 1292 .571 1 1342 -.273 4 1392 .446 8 1293 -1.155 1 1343 -1.290 4 1393 .579 8 1294 -1.704 1 1344 -.542 4 1394 2.178 8 1295 -.785 1 1345 -.450 4 1395 .791 8 1296 1.717 1 1346 .445 4 1396 .611 8 1297 -1.954 1 1347 .811 4 1397 -.866 8 1298 -.612 1 1348 .129 4 1398 .535 8 1299 -.147 1 1349 -1.510 4 1399 -1.576 8 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1400 -.868 8 1450 -1.247 16 1500 -2.210 19 1550 .744 19 1600 -3.839 19 1650 -.623 21 1401 -.283 8 1451 .808 16 1501 -.967 19 1551 -.560 19 1601 -.460 19 1651 1.429 21 1402 .154 8 1452 .120 16 1502 .737 19 1552 -.498 19 1602 .943 19 1652 -.945 21 1403 -.082 8 1453 .728 16 1503 -.058 19 1553 1.339 19 1603 .710 19 1653 .268 21 1404 -.162 8 1454 .416 16 1504 .183 19 1554 1.051 19 1604 .791 19 1654 -2.087 21 1405 -1.478 8 1455 -.521 16 1505 -.239 19 1555 .986 19 1605 .964 20 1655 -.117 21 1406 1.173 9 1456 -.137 17 1506 -4.216 19 2 1556 1.106 19 1606 -1.053 20 1656 -1.098 21 1407 -.162 9 1457 -.650 17 1507 1.598 19 1557 -.029 19 1607 -.101 20 1657 .282 21 1408 -1.073 9 1458 .726 17 1508 .756 19 1558 -1.635 19 1608 .570 20 1658 .247 21 1409 .229 9 1459 .635 17 1509 .842 19 1559 -.478 19 1609 .477 20 1659 -.200 21 1410 -.098 9 1460 -.043 17 1510 -.500 19 1560 .420 19 1610 -.616 20 1660 .146 21 1411 .256 9 1461 .424 17 1511 .081 19 1561 1.090 19 1611 .119 21 1661 .751 21 1412 .299 9 1462 1.465 17 1512 -.087 19 1562 .655 19 1612 .332 21 1662 -.110 21 1413 -1.909 9 1463 1.268 17 1513 -.093 19 1563 -1.246 19 1613 -2.161 21 1663 -.563 21 1414 -.413 9 1464 -1.664 17 1514 1.300 19 1564 1.087 19 1614 .528 21 1664 1.255 21 1415 .305 9 1465 -1.109 17 1515 .556 19 1565 .229 19 1615 .436 21 1665 1.328 21 1416 -.222 9 1466 .457 17 1516 1.293 19 1566 -1.120 19 1616 -.192 21 1666 .729 21 1417 .761 9 1467 .701 17 1517 .539 19 1567 -.735 19 1617 .309 21 1667 .523 21 1418 1.665 9 1468 -.092 17 1518 .830 19 1568 -.417 19 1618 .720 21 1668 .140 21 1419 -.361 9 1469 .267 17 1519 .431 19 1569 .649 19 1619 .937 21 1669 -1.361 21 1420 .706 9 1470 .772 17 1520 .256 19 1570 .114 19 1620 1.025 21 1670 -2.503 21 1421 -.909 9 1471 -1.006 17 1521 -1.132 19 1571 -.199 19 1621 1.096 21 1671 -.333 21 1422 .079 10 1472 -1.469 18 1522 -1.630 19 1572 -.575 19 1622 .247 21 1672 .082 21 1423 -.043 10 1473 .213 18 1523 -.584 19 1573 .284 19 1623 -.085 21 1673 1.188 21 1424 .710 10 1474 -.017 18 1524 .032 19 1574 .267 19 1624 -1.933 21 1674 .722 21 1425 .677 10 1475 -2.021 18 1525 -.562 19 1575 .522 19 1625 -.113 21 1675 -.003 21 1426 -.258 11 1476 -.474 18 1526 .895 19 1576 .828 19 1626 -2.773 21 1 1676 -.852 21 1427 -.078 11 1477 .294 18 1527 .774 19 1577 .252 19 1627 .886 21 1677 -.430 21 1428 .447 12 1478 .733 18 1528 -.892 19 1578 .464 19 1628 .177 21 1678 -.169 21 1429 -.687 12 1479 -.476 19 1529 -1.219 19 1579 -1.456 19 1629 .387 21 1<< 1679 -.041 21 1430 .997 12 1480 -.382 19 1530 .101 19 1580 -1.565 19 1630 .177 21 1<< 1680 .763 21 1431 1.144 12 1481 .600 19 1531 -.359 19 1581 .182 19 1631 -.512 21 1681 .831 21 1432 .604 12 1482 .788 19 1532 -1.788 19 1582 .945 19 1632 -2.815 21 1 1682 .991 21 1433 -.021 13 1483 -.141 19 1533 .824 19 1583 .337 19 1633 1.141 21 1683 .782 21 1434 -1.108 13 1484 1.548 19 1534 .493 19 1584 -2.116 19 1634 .154 21 1684 -.966 21 1435 -1.035 13 1485 .134 19 1535 1.494 19 1585 -1.651 19 1635 -.089 21 1685 -1.401 21 1436 .461 13 1486 .465 19 1536 1.524 19 1586 .404 19 1636 .372 21 1686 -4.276 21 1437 -.240 13 1487 .568 19 1537 .889 19 1587 1.046 19 1637 -1.193 21 1687 .226 21 1438 -.560 13 1488 -.192 19 1538 -.649 19 1588 .914 19 1638 -.839 21 1688 1.158 21 1439 .256 13 1489 .277 19 1539 .463 19 1589 1.020 19 1639 .788 21 1689 .595 21 1440 .580 13 1490 -.121 19 1540 .850 19 1590 -1.188 19 1640 1.448 21 1690 .214 21 1441 1.071 13 1491 .761 19 1541 .102 19 1591 -.374 19 1641 -.257 21 1691 .641 21 1442 -.883 13 1 1492 -.418 19 1542 -4.014 19 1 1592 -1.073 19 1642 .066 21 1692 .844 22 1443 .110 14 1493 .142 19 1543 -.601 19 1593 .128 19 1643 .946 21 1693 .383 22 1444 -2.632 14 1494 .470 19 1544 -1.433 19 1594 1.534 19 1644 .442 21 1694 -.266 22 1445 .598 14 1495 -.311 19 1545 -.412 19 1595 .731 19 1645 -.173 21 1695 -.461 23 1446 .640 15 1496 -1.226 19 1546 .179 19 1596 .393 19 1646 .760 21 1696 .580 23 1<< 1447 .979 15 1497 -.856 19 1547 -.139 19 1597 -.203 19 1647 1.020 21 1697 .643 23 1448 .192 16 1498 .698 19 1548 .237 19 1598 -.080 19 1648 -1.728 21 1698 .519 23 1449 -1.527 16 1499 1.348 19 1549 .524 19 1599 1.021 19 1649 1.068 21 1699 -.479 23 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 -.663 23 1750 -1.114 28 1800 -.566 31 1850 .647 33 1900 .740 33 1950 .706 33 1701 1.384 23 1751 -.170 28 1801 -.762 31 1851 .575 33 1901 -.220 33 1951 .546 33 1702 .963 23 1752 -.439 28 1802 .359 31 1852 .325 33 1902 -2.916 33 1952 .772 33 1703 -.695 24 1753 -.659 28 1803 .351 31 1853 .905 33 1903 -.238 33 1953 -1.905 33 1704 .112 24 1754 .006 28 1804 .086 31 1854 .790 33 1904 -1.284 33 1954 .517 33 1705 .824 25 1755 -1.747 28 1805 -1.149 31 1855 .647 33 1905 -.689 33 1955 -.689 33 1706 .034 25 1756 -.449 28 1806 .628 31 1856 -.402 33 1906 -.496 33 1956 -1.165 33 1707 -3.123 25 1757 -.557 28 1807 .912 31 1857 -1.623 33 1907 .401 33 1957 1.051 33 1708 -1.381 25 1758 .240 28 1808 -.719 31 1858 .410 33 1908 .286 33 1958 1.054 33 1709 -.632 25 1759 .912 28 1809 .071 31 1859 .404 34 1909 .527 33 1959 -1.179 33 1710 .989 25 1760 .299 28 1810 .604 32 1860 -1.273 34 1910 .328 33 1960 -.150 33 1711 .259 25 1761 -.935 28 1811 .654 32 1861 -1.903 34 1911 .614 33 1961 -.419 33 1712 .035 25 1762 -.081 29 1812 .490 32 1862 1.126 34 1912 .728 33 1962 -.295 33 1713 -.470 25 1763 -1.190 29 1813 -2.941 32 1863 -.629 34 1913 .675 33 1963 -1.319 33 1714 .422 25 1764 .289 29 1814 -.523 32 1864 -1.596 34 1914 1.879 33 1964 -.187 33 1715 -.882 25 1765 1.206 29 1815 .307 32 1865 -.257 34 1915 1.493 33 1965 .196 33 1716 -.646 25 1766 .968 29 1816 .984 32 1866 1.100 34 1916 -.290 33 1966 -.196 33 1717 -.265 25 1767 1.615 30 1817 1.151 32 1867 1.324 34 1917 .790 33 1967 .607 33 1718 .619 25 1768 .487 30 1818 -1.219 32 1868 1.001 34 1918 -.877 33 1968 1.315 33 1719 .879 25 1769 .649 30 1819 1.080 32 1869 1.621 34 1919 -.185 33 1969 1.280 33 1720 1.073 27 1770 1.131 30 1820 -1.077 32 1870 .444 34 1920 -.371 33 1970 .487 33 1721 1.732 27 1<< 1771 1.131 30 1821 .764 32 1871 -.933 33 1921 .337 33 1971 -.899 33 1722 -.599 27 1772 -.246 30 1822 -1.601 32 1872 .034 33 1922 .537 33 1972 -.147 33 1723 -.091 27 1773 -1.170 30 1823 -.368 32 1873 .101 33 1923 -.297 33 1973 1.301 33 1724 .523 27 1774 -.531 30 1824 -.632 32 1874 .637 33 1924 -1.580 33 1974 -1.906 33 1725 .319 27 1775 -.256 30 1825 .359 32 1875 .328 33 1925 -1.659 33 1975 .698 33 1726 .698 27 1776 -.270 30 1826 -.117 32 1876 -.533 33 1926 .241 33 1976 .374 33 1727 .600 27 1777 -.173 30 1827 -.070 32 1877 .090 33 1927 .088 33 1977 -2.020 33 1728 .651 27 1778 -.495 30 1828 .680 32 1878 .325 33 1928 .228 33 1978 -1.523 33 1729 -3.972 27 3 1779 .331 30 1829 -1.256 32 1879 -1.980 33 1929 -.220 33 1979 -.553 33 1730 -.505 27 1780 -2.231 30 1830 -.582 32 1880 -.433 33 1930 1.532 33 1980 -.412 33 1731 .719 27 1781 .137 30 1831 .607 32 1881 -.324 33 1<< 1931 -.216 33 1981 .791 33 1732 .106 27 1782 -2.185 30 1 1832 .437 32 1<< 1882 -2.062 33 1932 .520 33 1982 .386 33 1733 -.053 27 1783 1.108 30 1833 .251 33 1883 -1.463 33 1933 .297 33 1983 1.040 33 1734 .647 27 1784 -.232 30 1834 .730 33 1884 .963 33 1934 -3.041 33 1 1984 .225 33 1735 -3.285 27 5 1785 -.521 30 1835 1.173 33 1885 .677 33 1935 -.936 33 1985 1.000 33 1736 -.341 27 1786 -1.019 30 1836 -.288 33 1886 .221 33 1936 -1.070 33 1986 .452 33 1737 -.302 27 1787 .832 30 1837 .793 33 1887 -.296 33 1937 1.047 33 1987 .823 33 1738 .992 27 1788 .315 30 1838 .424 33 1888 .270 33 1938 .926 33 1988 1.156 33 1739 .561 27 1789 -1.793 31 1839 .889 33 1889 .736 33 1939 -.114 33 1989 -.172 33 1740 -.337 27 1790 .968 31 1840 1.025 33 1890 .793 33 1940 .300 33 1990 -1.274 33 1741 1.124 27 1791 .485 31 1841 -.494 33 1 1891 1.275 33 1941 .747 33 1991 -.484 33 1742 -.864 27 1792 1.256 31 1842 -1.295 33 1892 1.435 33 1942 .817 33 1992 .556 33 1743 .409 27 1793 .252 31 1843 .558 33 1893 -.619 33 1943 -1.167 33 1993 1.175 33 1744 .575 27 1794 -.406 31 1844 .470 33 1894 -1.179 33 1 1944 .202 33 1994 -.354 33 1<< 1745 -.159 27 1795 .638 31 1845 -2.886 33 1895 .154 33 1945 -.472 33 1995 .025 33 1746 1.067 27 1796 1.443 31 1846 -.031 33 1896 -1.393 33 1946 -.726 33 1996 -1.897 33 1 1747 1.913 27 1797 .964 31 1847 -2.558 33 1897 .789 33 1947 .556 33 1997 -.369 33 1748 -.312 27 1798 -.094 31 1848 .654 33 1898 1.591 33 1948 .719 33 1998 .885 28 1749 .197 27 1799 -.568 31 1849 .972 33 1899 -.670 33 1949 1.286 33 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1300-------B 1350f 1400-c 1450-e 1500i 1550--------C 1301---b 1351------B 1401---a 1451--------C 1501-d 1551--b 1302--b 1352----------F 1402-----A 1452-----@ 1502--------C 1552--b 1303-----A 1353---------D 1403----@ 1453--------C 1503----@ 1553----------E 1304----------J 1354------A 1404----a 1454------B 1504-----A 1554---------D 1305--c 1355---b 1405-f 1455--b 1505---a 1555---------D 1306----a 1356-------B 1406---------E 1456----a 1506q 1556---------D 1307----------G 1357-----A 1407----a 1457--c 1507----------F 1557----@ 1308---------D 1358----@ 1408-d 1458--------C 1508--------C 1558g 1259----------F 1309---------D 1359----a 1409-----A 1459-------C 1509--------C 1559--b 1260-----@ 1310------B 1360--c 1410----@ 1460----@ 1510--b 1560------B 1261---a 1311---------D 1361g 1411------A 1461------B 1511-----@ 1561---------D 1262-f 1312---------D 1362-d 1412------A 1462----------F 1512----@ 1562-------C 1263---------E 1313---------D 1363-d 1413h 1463----------E 1513----@ 1563-e 1264----------F 1314-c 1364----@ 1414---b 1464g 1514----------E 1564---------D 1265-e 1315----@ 1365-------C 1415------A 1465-d 1515-------B 1565-----A 1266-----@ 1316o 1366-------B 1416---a 1466------B 1516----------E 1566-d 1267---------D 1317----@ 1367---------E 1417--------C 1467--------C 1517-------B 1567--c 1268-d 1318---------D 1368---------D 1418----------G 1468----@ 1518--------C 1568---b 1269---a 1319------B 1369-e 1419---a 1469------A 1519------B 1569-------C 1270---a 1320-----@ 1370----@ 1420--------C 1470--------C 1520------A 1570-----@ 1271--c 1321------B 1371-----A 1421-d 1471-d 1521-e 1571----a 1272---b 1322-----@ 1372----------F 1422-----@ 1472-f 1522g 1572--b 1273----------H 1323-----@ 1373---------E 1423----@ 1473-----A 1523--b 1573------A 1274j 1324--c 1374----------F 1424--------C 1474----@ 1524-----@ 1574------A 1275----------H 1325----@ 1375-e 1425--------C 1475h 1525--b 1575-------B 1276-d 1326--b 1376-e 1426---a 1476--b 1526---------D 1576--------C 1277--b 1327-d 1377--b 1427----@ 1477------A 1527--------C 1577-----A 1278------B 1328-----A 1378----a 1428------B 1478--------C 1528-d 1578-------B 1279------A 1329-f 1379-d 1429--c 1479--b 1529-e 1579-f 1280----------F 1330----------E 1380----------G 1430---------D 1480---b 1530-----@ 1580f 1281------A 1331---------E 1381--c 1431---------E 1481-------B 1531---a 1581-----A 1282----------E 1332-------B 1382-e 1432-------B 1482--------C 1532g 1582---------D 1283--b 1333-----A 1383-----@ 1433----@ 1483----a 1533--------C 1583------A 1284---------E 1334-------B 1384--b 1434-d 1484----------F 1534-------B 1584h 1285--c 1335-d 1385-------B 1435-d 1485-----A 1535----------F 1585g 1286-d 1336--c 1386-----A 1436-------B 1486-------B 1536----------F 1586------B 1287---a 1337-------B 1387-----A 1437---a 1487-------B 1537---------D 1587---------D 1288----------H 1338--------C 1388---a 1438--b 1488----a 1538--c 1588---------D 1289----a 1339----------E 1389-----@ 1439------A 1489------A 1539-------B 1589---------D 1290-d 1340---a 1390----a 1440-------B 1490----@ 1540--------C 1590-e 1291---b 1341---------D 1391----a 1441---------D 1491--------C 1541-----@ 1591---a 1292-------B 1342---a 1392------B 1442-d 1492---b 1542p 1592-d 1293-e 1343-e 1393-------B 1443-----@ 1493-----A 1543--b 1593-----A 1294g 1344--b 1394----------I 1444k 1494-------B 1544-f 1594----------F 1295--c 1345---b 1395--------C 1445-------B 1495---a 1545---b 1595--------C 1296----------G 1346------B 1396-------B 1446-------C 1496-e 1546-----A 1596------B 1297h 1347--------C 1397-c 1447---------D 1497-c 1547----a 1597----a 1298--b 1348-----A 1398-------B 1448-----A 1498--------C 1548-----A 1598----@ 1299----a 1349f 1399f 1449f 1499----------E 1549-------B 1599---------D PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600o 1650--b 1700--c 1750-d 1800--b 1850-------C 1900--------C 1950--------C 1601---b 1651----------F 1701----------F 1751----a 1801--c 1851-------B 1901---a 1951-------B 1602---------D 1652-d 1702---------D 1752---b 1802------A 1852------A 1902l 1952--------C 1603--------C 1653------A 1703--c 1753--c 1803------A 1853---------D 1903---a 1953h 1604--------C 1654h 1704-----@ 1754----@ 1804-----@ 1854--------C 1904-e 1954-------B 1605---------D 1655----@ 1705--------C 1755g 1805-e 1855-------C 1905--c 1955--c 1606-d 1656-d 1706-----@ 1756---b 1806-------C 1856---b 1906--b 1956-e 1607----@ 1657------A 1707l 1757--b 1807---------D 1857f 1907------B 1957---------D 1608-------B 1658-----A 1708-f 1758-----A 1808--c 1858------B 1908------A 1958---------D 1609-------B 1659----a 1709--c 1759---------D 1809-----@ 1859------B 1909-------B 1959-e 1610--b 1660-----A 1710---------D 1760------A 1810-------B 1860-e 1910------A 1960----a 1611-----@ 1661--------C 1711------A 1761-d 1811-------C 1861h 1911-------B 1961---b 1612------A 1662----@ 1712-----@ 1762----@ 1812-------B 1862---------E 1912--------C 1962---a 1613i 1663--b 1713--b 1763-e 1813l 1863--c 1913--------C 1963-e 1614-------B 1664----------E 1714------B 1764------A 1814--b 1864f 1914----------H 1964----a 1615------B 1665----------E 1715-d 1765----------E 1815------A 1865---a 1915----------F 1965-----A 1616----a 1666--------C 1716--c 1766---------D 1816---------D 1866---------D 1916---a 1966----a 1617------A 1667-------B 1717---a 1767----------F 1817---------E 1867----------E 1917--------C 1967-------B 1618--------C 1668-----A 1718-------B 1768-------B 1818-e 1868---------D 1918-d 1968----------E 1619---------D 1669-e 1719---------D 1769-------C 1819---------D 1869----------F 1919----a 1969----------E 1620---------D 1670j 1720---------D 1770---------E 1820-d 1870------B 1920---a 1970-------B 1621---------D 1671---a 1721----------G 1771---------E 1821--------C 1871-d 1921------A 1971-d 1622-----A 1672-----@ 1722--b 1772---a 1822f 1872-----@ 1922-------B 1972----a 1623----@ 1673----------E 1723----@ 1773-e 1823---a 1873-----@ 1923---a 1973----------E 1624h 1674--------C 1724-------B 1774--b 1824--c 1874-------C 1924f 1974h 1625----@ 1675----@ 1725------A 1775---a 1825------A 1875------A 1925g 1975--------C 1626k 1676-c 1726--------C 1776---a 1826----@ 1876--b 1926-----A 1976------A 1627---------D 1677---b 1727-------B 1777----a 1827----@ 1877-----@ 1927-----@ 1977h 1628-----A 1678----a 1728-------C 1778--b 1828--------C 1878------A 1928-----A 1978f 1629------B 1679----@ 1729p 1779------A 1829-e 1879h 1929---a 1979--b 1630-----A 1680--------C 1730--b 1780i 1830--b 1880---b 1930----------F 1980---b 1631--b 1681--------C 1731--------C 1781-----A 1831-------B 1881---a 1931---a 1981--------C 1632k 1682---------D 1732-----@ 1782i 1832------B 1882h 1932-------B 1982------B 1633---------E 1683--------C 1733----@ 1783---------D 1833-----A 1883-f 1933------A 1983---------D 1634-----A 1684-d 1734-------C 1784---a 1834--------C 1884---------D 1934l 1984-----A 1635----@ 1685-f 1735m 1785--b 1835---------E 1885--------C 1935-d 1985---------D 1636------A 1686q 1736---a 1786-d 1836---a 1886-----A 1936-d 1986------B 1637-e 1687-----A 1737---a 1787--------C 1837--------C 1887---a 1937---------D 1987--------C 1638--c 1688---------E 1738---------D 1788------A 1838------B 1888------A 1938---------D 1988---------E 1639--------C 1689-------B 1739-------B 1789g 1839---------D 1889--------C 1939----@ 1989----a 1640----------F 1690-----A 1740---a 1790---------D 1840---------D 1890--------C 1940------A 1990-e 1641---a 1691-------C 1741---------D 1791-------B 1841--b 1891----------E 1941--------C 1991--b 1642-----@ 1692--------C 1742-c 1792----------E 1842-e 1892----------F 1942--------C 1992-------B 1643---------D 1693------B 1743------B 1793-----A 1843-------B 1893--b 1943-e 1993---------E 1644------B 1694---a 1744-------B 1794---b 1844-------B 1894-e 1944-----A 1994---a 1645----a 1695--b 1745----a 1795-------C 1845l 1895-----A 1945--b 1995----@ 1646--------C 1696-------B 1746---------D 1796----------F 1846----@ 1896-f 1946--c 1996h 1647---------D 1697-------C 1747----------H 1797---------D 1847j 1897--------C 1947-------B 1997---a 1648g 1698-------B 1748---a 1798----@ 1848-------C 1898----------F 1948--------C 1998---------D 1649---------D 1699--b 1749-----A 1799--b 1849---------D 1899--c 1949----------E PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1349 1374 1399 1424 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 HCP01A 1705 1998 .54 .64 .62 .71 3 HCP02A 1433 1998 .64 .67 .84 .94 .90 .76 .83 .81 .66 .72 .83 .79 .76 .83 .86 4 HCP02B 1448 1998 .73 .73 .86 .89 .83 .81 .85 .87 .93 .81 .78 .92 .94 .81 .79 5 HCP03A 1426 1998 .70 .59 .79 .90 .80 .80 .82 .80 .81 .83 .74 .68 .58 .59 .74 6 HCP03B 1384 1998 .40 .55 .70 .60 .68 .82 .79 .54 .73 .83 .76 .79 .84 .85 .88 .81 .81 7 HCP05A 1605 1998 .86 .87 .79 .83 .92 .91 .86 .85 8 HCP05B 1390 1998 .67 .75 .84 .86 .89 .83 .73 .81 .89 .89 .90 .84 .86 .93 .90 .85 .82 9 HCP06A 1406 1998 .61 .55 .53 .71 .80 .74 .69 .77 .79 .67 .68 .84 .77 .76 .83 .77 10 HCP07A 1446 1998 .74 .74 .82 .92 .78 .67 .85 .85 .77 .67 .76 .93 .94 .89 .87 11 HCP07B 1443 1870 .68 .61 .70 .75 .69 .66 .80 .85 .83 .81 .80 .84 .80 .80 .83 12 HCP08B 1456 1998 .67 .74 .85 .84 .86 .77 .81 .89 .87 .90 .89 .81 .80 .87 13 HCP08E 1312 1998 .37 .51 .60 .59 .64 .72 .72 .85 .91 .84 .80 .82 .86 .91 .87 .87 .92 .90 .85 .86 14 HCP09A 1750 1998 .71 .80 15 HCP09B 1789 1998 .81 18 HCP11A 1259 1997 .29B .43 .52 .60 .60 .63 .61 .68 .89 .86 .80 .79 .80 .83 .78 .79 .85 .88 .86 .84 19 HCP12A 1720 1998 .80 .75 .66 .72 20 HCP12B 1472 1998 .78 .80 .87 .74 .65 .79 .79 .69 .71 .78 .88 .91 .81 .82 21 HCP12C 1767 1998 .83 .88 22 HCP13A 1720 1997 .55 .62 .57 .63 23 HCP13B 1762 1998 .61 .72 24 HCP14A 1428 1998 .80 .63 .77 .85 .76 .62 .73 .75 .79 .78 .85 .90 .88 .63 .52 25 HCP14B 1422 1998 .58 .60 .45 .71 .85 .77 .57 .65 .78 .84 .83 .87 .87 .91 .72 .48 26 HCP15A 1333 1998 .70 .75 .69 .70 .82 .78 .70 .84 .85 .75 .84 .86 .75 .63 .78 .90 .80 .69 .74 27 HCP15B 1326 1998 .53 .67 .75 .75 .86 .83 .76 .78 .71 .78 .87 .87 .82 .72 .70 .86 .90 .79 .83 28 HCP16A 1388 1998 .54 .49 .57 .66 .82 .89 .79 .73 .86 .86 .74 .73 .84 .90 .90 .82 .86 29 HCP16B 1388 1998 .53 .51 .68 .78 .88 .91 .83 .73 .79 .82 .84 .72 .74 .93 .92 .86 .89 30 HCP17A 1692 1997 .84 .85 .81 .70 .80 31 HCP17B 1479 1998 .75 .85 .74 .65 .90 .89 .84 .78 .71 .80 .84 .73 .67 32 HCP18A 1611 1997 .41 .49 .60 .52 .48 .50 .62 .65 33 HCP22B 1695 1998 .64 .62 .63 .68 .77 34 HCP23A 1703 1997 .35 .41 .59 .71 Av segment correlation .33 .54 .64 .59 .62 .70 .68 .78 .86 .79 .72 .81 .81 .79 .76 .79 .80 .80 .75 .77 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 HCP01A 1705 1998 .68 .75 .79 .81 .78 .69 .68 2 HCP01B 1810 1998 .75 .78 .72 .71 .70 .62 .65 3 HCP02A 1433 1998 .90 .91 .90 .80 .77 .82 .82 4 HCP02B 1448 1998 .85 .88 .90 .77 .68 .74 .66 5 HCP03A 1426 1998 .84 .78 .52 .54 .54 .61 .76 6 HCP03B 1384 1998 .90 .91 .91 .89 .88 .91 .90 7 HCP05A 1605 1998 .86 .89 .91 .87 .87 .88 .86 8 HCP05B 1390 1998 .85 .92 .92 .84 .76 .84 .84 9 HCP06A 1406 1998 .68 .68 .71 .70 .76 .85 .86 10 HCP07A 1446 1998 .91 .92 .91 .87 .86 .90 .89 11 HCP07B 1443 1870 .80 .79 12 HCP08B 1456 1998 .92 .89 .87 .83 .82 .90 .87 13 HCP08E 1312 1998 .89 .93 .86 .80 .78 .84 .59 14 HCP09A 1750 1998 .88 .90 .91 .89 .87 .89 .89 15 HCP09B 1789 1998 .80 .83 .92 .90 .89 .92 .89 16 HCP10A 1833 1998 .65 .79 .78 .79 .82 .77 17 HCP10B 1859 1998 .82 .79 .86 .83 .76 18 HCP11A 1259 1997 .84 .79 .71 .77 .81 .77 .76 19 HCP12A 1720 1998 .77 .83 .85 .82 .75 .79 .81 20 HCP12B 1472 1998 .82 .84 .90 .84 .83 .85 .84 21 HCP12C 1767 1998 .86 .86 .84 .76 .74 .71 .76 22 HCP13A 1720 1997 .72 .82 .84 .81 .79 .71 .72 23 HCP13B 1762 1998 .79 .83 .78 .72 .79 .79 .79 24 HCP14A 1428 1998 .66 .77 .69 .68 .75 .73 .75 25 HCP14B 1422 1998 .60 .78 .81 .88 .66 .62 .81 26 HCP15A 1333 1998 .80 .92 .83 .81 .87 .81 .82 27 HCP15B 1326 1998 .85 .87 .72 .74 .86 .81 .75 28 HCP16A 1388 1998 .87 .84 .89 .88 .79 .79 .80 29 HCP16B 1388 1998 .83 .81 .86 .77 .68 .69 .68 30 HCP17A 1692 1997 .89 .91 .90 .83 .74 .71 .68 31 HCP17B 1479 1998 .74 .88 .90 .87 .85 .82 .82 32 HCP18A 1611 1997 .70 .76 .83 .84 .67 .57 .62 33 HCP22B 1695 1998 .75 .75 .71 .71 .67 .70 .82 34 HCP23A 1703 1997 .66 .67 .69 .70 .66 .73 .78 Av segment correlation .80 .83 .82 .79 .77 .78 .78 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== HCP01A 1705 to 1998 294 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .667) is: Lower 1719 -.019 1766 -.013 1763 -.006 1707 -.005 Higher 1934 .013 1845 .011 1735 .010 1902 .008 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1709 +3.1 SD; 1719 -5.7 SD; 1804 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP01B 1810 to 1998 189 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .694) is: Lower 1896 -.016 1963 -.014 1997 -.011 1939 -.008 Higher 1845 .021 1974 .012 1813 .010 1902 .010 [E] Outliers 6 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1823 +3.2 SD; 1896 +4.3 SD; 1939 +3.8 SD; 1963 +3.5 SD; 1989 +3.1 SD; 1990 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP02A 1433 to 1998 566 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .775) is: Lower 1442 -.024 1629 -.013 1654 -.006 1632 -.004 Higher 1542 .007 1600 .007 1686 .006 1506 .005 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1442 1443 4.4 SD [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1442 -.883 13 1 1629 .387 21 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1735 -3.285 27 5 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1435 +3.4 SD; 1442-11.6 SD; 1629 -7.1 SD; 1632 +3.7 SD; 1654 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP02B 1448 to 1998 551 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .812) is: Lower 1996 -.005 1994 -.004 1941 -.004 1957 -.004 Higher 1600 .006 1542 .006 1506 .005 1729 .004 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1994 -.354 33 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1506 -5.2 SD; 1613 +3.4 SD; 1686 +3.2 SD; 1994 -5.0 SD; 1996 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP03A 1426 to 1998 573 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .724) is: Lower 1630 -.016 1879 -.009 1722 -.005 1632 -.005 Higher 1506 .009 1686 .007 1729 .006 1934 .006 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1630 .177 21 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1729 -3.972 27 3 1735 -3.285 27 5 1934 -3.041 33 1 [E] Outliers 11 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1483 +3.2 SD; 1630 -7.7 SD; 1632 +4.0 SD; 1707 -5.8 SD; 1722 -5.0 SD; 1755 +3.7 SD; 1807 +3.1 SD; 1879 +4.9 SD; 1924 +3.2 SD; 1934 -5.3 SD; 1936 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP03B 1384 to 1998 615 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .794) is: Lower 1577 -.010 1423 -.003 1387 -.002 1485 -.002 Higher 1729 .008 1600 .008 1735 .004 1686 .003 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1729 -3.972 27 3 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1387 +3.3 SD; 1577 -5.5 SD; 1670 -5.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP05A 1605 to 1998 394 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .819) is: Lower 1881 -.048 1916 -.003 1994 -.002 1618 -.002 Higher 1729 .008 1735 .007 1934 .005 1902 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1880 1881 -5.2 SD 1881 1882 5.2 SD [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1881 -.324 33 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1881-11.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP05B 1390 to 1998 609 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .844) is: Lower 1419 -.004 1918 -.003 1530 -.003 1566 -.002 Higher 1729 .006 1506 .005 1735 .003 1845 .003 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -3.285 27 5 =================================================================================================================================== HCP06A 1406 to 1998 593 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .700) is: Lower 1832 -.033 1845 -.005 1654 -.004 1462 -.003 Higher 1506 .008 1686 .008 1735 .006 1707 .006 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1831 1832 -4.9 SD 1832 1833 5.3 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -3.285 27 5 1832 .437 32 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 10 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1500 +3.1 SD; 1654 +3.0 SD; 1670 +3.4 SD; 1686 -6.4 SD; 1707 -5.0 SD; 1729 +3.2 SD; 1813 +3.3 SD; 1832-11.2 SD; 1842 +3.3 SD; 1845 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP07A 1446 to 1998 553 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .847) is: Lower 1488 -.004 1648 -.004 1566 -.004 1686 -.003 Higher 1729 .006 1542 .005 1735 .004 1506 .004 =================================================================================================================================== HCP07B 1443 to 1870 428 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .777) is: Lower 1573 -.004 1532 -.004 1590 -.003 1506 -.003 Higher 1600 .011 1686 .005 1845 .005 1735 .004 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1632 -2.815 21 1 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1506 +3.3 SD; 1532 +3.2 SD; 1755 +3.0 SD; 1846 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP08B 1456 to 1998 543 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .842) is: Lower 1601 -.008 1757 -.004 1480 -.003 1484 -.002 Higher 1506 .004 1686 .004 1813 .003 1934 .003 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1506 -4.216 19 2 1782 -2.185 30 1 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1601 -5.5 SD; 1686 -4.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP08E 1312 to 1998 687 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .779) is: Lower 1989 -.018 1314 -.006 1321 -.003 1407 -.002 Higher 1729 .007 1735 .005 1506 .005 1934 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1989 1990 4.8 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -3.285 27 5 1996 -1.897 33 1 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1314 +4.1 SD; 1316 -4.5 SD; 1989 -9.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP09A 1750 to 1998 249 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .850) is: Lower 1789 -.013 1759 -.003 1818 -.003 1799 -.003 Higher 1813 .007 1902 .005 1782 .004 1974 .003 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP09B 1789 to 1998 210 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .817) is: Lower 1841 -.048 1826 -.005 1818 -.004 1803 -.004 Higher 1813 .011 1902 .005 1974 .005 1934 .005 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1841 -.494 33 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1841 -7.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP10A 1833 to 1998 166 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .728) is: Lower 1834 -.042 1922 -.012 1837 -.007 1857 -.007 Higher 1845 .022 1902 .017 1934 .013 1974 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1834 -6.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP10B 1859 to 1998 140 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .772) is: Lower 1894 -.029 1896 -.009 1922 -.008 1883 -.007 Higher 1934 .022 1879 .010 1902 .009 1996 .008 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1894 -1.179 33 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1894 -5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP11A 1259 to 1997 739 years Series 18 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1259 to 1311 -- not matched by another series [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1312 1361 2 -.12 -.02 -.08 -.08 .05 -.05 .12 -.10 -.29 -.14 .29| .22 .40*-.19 -.23 -.17 -.18 .05 .08 .13 .10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .745) is: Lower 1350 -.008 1314 -.004 1333 -.003 1316 -.003 Higher 1729 .009 1542 .006 1686 .005 1506 .005 1312 to 1361 segment: Lower 1350 -.079 1314 -.047 1333 -.033 1321 -.025 Higher 1316 .109 1361 .035 1349 .029 1330 .028 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1506 -4.216 19 2 [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1316 +4.5 SD; 1321 +3.2 SD; 1335 +3.1 SD; 1350 +5.9 SD; 1488 +3.3 SD; 1880 +3.7 SD; 1925 -5.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP12A 1720 to 1998 279 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .769) is: Lower 1773 -.010 1996 -.007 1744 -.006 1727 -.005 Higher 1729 .017 1977 .004 1782 .004 1735 .004 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1773 +4.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP12B 1472 to 1998 527 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .805) is: Lower 1632 -.005 1652 -.003 1996 -.003 1472 -.002 Higher 1729 .008 1735 .003 1686 .003 1600 .003 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1632 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP12C 1767 to 1998 232 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .795) is: Lower 1943 -.011 1916 -.008 1959 -.006 1773 -.005 Higher 1813 .007 1902 .007 1845 .006 1780 .006 =================================================================================================================================== HCP13A 1720 to 1997 278 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .689) is: Lower 1782 -.013 1720 -.009 1729 -.008 1805 -.005 Higher 1735 .008 1934 .006 1882 .005 1902 .005 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1729 +3.4 SD; 1782 +4.1 SD; 1805 +3.1 SD; 1813 -8.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP13B 1762 to 1998 237 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .759) is: Lower 1883 -.018 1953 -.008 1789 -.007 1782 -.005 Higher 1813 .009 1934 .006 1882 .005 1914 .003 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1789 +3.6 SD; 1883 -7.9 SD; 1953 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP14A 1428 to 1998 571 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .747) is: Lower 1624 -.007 1559 -.004 1612 -.004 1606 -.004 Higher 1600 .008 1542 .007 1506 .007 1729 .007 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1606 +3.4 SD; 1818 +3.2 SD; 1881 +3.4 SD; 1882 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP14B 1422 to 1998 577 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .733) is: Lower 1805 -.006 1584 -.006 1944 -.004 1580 -.004 Higher 1735 .007 1600 .007 1729 .006 1686 .005 [E] Outliers 6 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1475 +3.7 SD; 1580 -6.1 SD; 1584 +3.6 SD; 1606 +3.0 SD; 1686 -6.5 SD; 1805 +4.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP15A 1333 to 1998 666 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .788) is: Lower 1670 -.003 1813 -.003 1773 -.003 1775 -.002 Higher 1729 .008 1600 .005 1542 .004 1845 .003 [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1352 +3.1 SD; 1670 +3.6 SD; 1686 +3.1 SD; 1773 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP15B 1326 to 1998 673 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .786) is: Lower 1654 -.005 1994 -.004 1710 -.003 1571 -.003 Higher 1729 .007 1542 .006 1735 .003 1600 .003 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1542 -4.014 19 1 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1336 +3.3 SD; 1654 -7.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP16A 1388 to 1998 611 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .792) is: Lower 1390 -.009 1405 -.002 1427 -.002 1995 -.002 Higher 1600 .008 1506 .006 1735 .005 1542 .005 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1390 -.162 8 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1390 -5.8 SD; 1427 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP16B 1388 to 1998 611 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .789) is: Lower 1924 -.006 1692 -.005 1964 -.004 1420 -.002 Higher 1729 .007 1735 .005 1506 .004 1902 .003 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1441 +3.1 SD; 1686 +3.2 SD; 1924 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP17A 1692 to 1997 306 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .750) is: Lower 1696 -.045 1780 -.012 1916 -.004 1995 -.004 Higher 1735 .014 1813 .007 1707 .006 1845 .006 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1695 1696 -4.4 SD [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1696 .580 23 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1696 -8.7 SD; 1773 -4.6 SD; 1780 +4.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP17B 1479 to 1998 520 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .749) is: Lower 1721 -.051 1806 -.005 1639 -.003 1702 -.003 Higher 1600 .010 1542 .009 1686 .007 1735 .005 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1720 1721 -4.9 SD 1721 1722 5.3 SD [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1721 1.732 27 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1721-11.6 SD; 1806 -4.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP18A 1611 to 1997 387 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .626) is: Lower 1707 -.007 1824 -.006 1735 -.005 1638 -.005 Higher 1813 .012 1626 .009 1847 .008 1845 .006 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1626 -2.773 21 1 [E] Outliers 12 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1624 +3.3 SD; 1626 -4.5 SD; 1638 +4.4 SD; 1699 +3.3 SD; 1700 +3.5 SD; 1707 +4.3 SD; 1729 +3.6 SD; 1748 +3.6 SD; 1769 +3.6 SD; 1824 -4.8 SD; 1903 +3.1 SD; 1944 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP22B 1695 to 1998 304 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .693) is: Lower 1925 -.006 1899 -.006 1729 -.005 1747 -.005 Higher 1735 .013 1813 .010 1934 .010 1780 .007 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1697 +3.0 SD; 1706 +3.2 SD; 1707 +3.6 SD; 1729 +3.7 SD; 1925 +3.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== HCP23A 1703 to 1997 295 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .660) is: Lower 1752 -.008 1746 -.007 1755 -.007 1715 -.006 Higher 1729 .032 1847 .010 1934 .009 1974 .007 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1729 -3.972 27 3 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1723 +3.2 SD; 1729 -5.9 SD; 1752 +4.1 SD; 1755 +3.2 SD; 1943 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Henderson 16:15 Mon 22 Dec 2003 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 HCP01A 1705 1998 294 11 0 .667 .56 1.78 .263 .866 .202 2.59 .378 -.036 1 2 HCP01B 1810 1998 189 7 0 .694 .72 2.44 .336 .897 .163 2.54 .412 -.023 2 3 HCP02A 1433 1998 566 22 0 .775 .29 1.06 .159 .758 .319 2.53 .270 -.015 4 4 HCP02B 1448 1998 551 22 0 .812 .34 .94 .176 .774 .309 2.46 .312 -.022 1 5 HCP03A 1426 1998 573 22 0 .724 .26 1.74 .227 .897 .315 2.71 .329 -.035 1 6 HCP03B 1384 1998 615 24 0 .794 .32 1.58 .195 .799 .307 2.56 .331 -.047 1 7 HCP05A 1605 1998 394 15 0 .819 .36 1.00 .151 .772 .267 2.36 .286 -.001 1 8 HCP05B 1390 1998 609 24 0 .844 .49 2.12 .346 .908 .240 2.51 .325 -.025 1 9 HCP06A 1406 1998 593 23 0 .700 .36 1.95 .296 .932 .252 2.52 .279 -.022 2 10 HCP07A 1446 1998 553 22 0 .847 .46 1.43 .253 .824 .258 2.58 .359 -.035 4 11 HCP07B 1443 1870 428 17 0 .777 .49 1.81 .323 .815 .309 2.65 .335 -.033 2 12 HCP08B 1456 1998 543 21 0 .842 .27 .60 .103 .453 .345 2.58 .370 -.024 5 13 HCP08E 1312 1998 687 27 0 .779 .50 2.92 .492 .947 .283 2.52 .327 -.027 4 14 HCP09A 1750 1998 249 9 0 .850 .60 1.37 .233 .615 .273 2.62 .431 -.046 1 15 HCP09B 1789 1998 210 8 0 .817 .70 1.46 .221 .386 .300 2.52 .345 -.028 2 16 HCP10A 1833 1998 166 6 0 .728 1.16 2.33 .411 .524 .288 2.64 .444 -.066 2 17 HCP10B 1859 1998 140 5 0 .772 1.15 2.37 .427 .485 .312 2.54 .434 -.034 1 18 HCP11A 1259 1997 739 27 1 .745 .40 2.10 .350 .903 .257 2.62 .310 -.010 1 19 HCP12A 1720 1998 279 11 0 .769 .33 .95 .144 .789 .214 2.45 .277 -.029 1 20 HCP12B 1472 1998 527 21 0 .805 .39 .94 .136 .693 .206 2.68 .321 -.021 1 21 HCP12C 1767 1998 232 9 0 .795 .34 .66 .096 .577 .197 2.75 .447 -.043 1 22 HCP13A 1720 1997 278 11 0 .689 .65 1.95 .312 .824 .216 2.46 .265 -.008 1 23 HCP13B 1762 1998 237 9 0 .759 .67 1.92 .295 .790 .214 2.55 .334 -.018 2 24 HCP14A 1428 1998 571 22 0 .747 .43 1.34 .193 .769 .244 2.53 .337 -.028 1 25 HCP14B 1422 1998 577 23 0 .733 .50 2.70 .359 .876 .248 2.64 .298 -.013 1 26 HCP15A 1333 1998 666 26 0 .788 .44 2.77 .330 .887 .278 2.72 .328 -.028 3 27 HCP15B 1326 1998 673 26 0 .786 .40 2.83 .341 .882 .275 2.57 .329 -.012 1 28 HCP16A 1388 1998 611 24 0 .792 .44 1.31 .218 .835 .219 2.60 .345 -.034 2 29 HCP16B 1388 1998 611 24 0 .789 .43 1.20 .212 .854 .206 2.54 .290 -.022 3 30 HCP17A 1692 1997 306 12 0 .750 .25 .51 .084 .574 .271 2.56 .370 -.058 3 31 HCP17B 1479 1998 520 20 0 .749 .29 .68 .086 .505 .239 2.46 .304 -.024 1 32 HCP18A 1611 1997 387 15 0 .626 .59 1.93 .397 .899 .225 2.61 .322 -.019 2 33 HCP22B 1695 1998 304 12 0 .693 .55 1.21 .194 .736 .202 2.60 .410 -.044 1 34 HCP23A 1703 1997 295 11 0 .660 .64 1.69 .248 .675 .250 2.53 .304 .020 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 15173 588 1 .768 .44 2.92 .255 .788 .260 2.75 .329 -.025 - = [ COFECHA HEND COF ] = -