Bagley Lakes, Mt. Baker-Snoqualmie National Forest, Washington - WA143 Additional Site Information Kailey Marcinkowski, David L. Peterson Measurement type: Total ring width References: Marcinkowski, Kailey W. and Peterson, David L. 2015. A 350-year Reconstruction of the Response of South Cascade Glacier to Interannual and Interdecadal Climatic Variability. Northwest Science, Vol. 89, issue 1, pp. 14-33, https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/journals/pnw_2015_marcinkowski.pdf Marcinkowski, Kailey; Peterson, David L.; Ettl, Gregory J. 2015. Nonstationary temporal response of mountain hemlock growth to climatic variability in the North Cascade Range, Washington, USA. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources, Vol. 45, pp. 676-699. doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2014-0231 Funding Sources: U.S. Geological Survey Global Change Research Program and the University of Washington School of Environmental and Forest Sciences. Contribution of the Western Mountain Initiative COFECHA output: Chronology file name : WA143.CRN Measurement file name : WA143.RWL Date checked : 22JUN18 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1659 Ending year : 2011 Principal investigators: Kailey Marcinkowski David L. Peterson Site name : Bagley Lakes Site location : Washington Species information : TSME MOUNTAIN HEMLOCK Latitude : 4552 Longitude : -12141 Elevation : 1297M Series intercorrelation: 0.528 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.258 Avg standard deviation : 0.423 Avg autocorrelation : 0.682 Number dated series : 19 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 19 Pct problem segments : 8.30 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Bagley Lakes 14:02 Fri 22 Jun 2018 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 MB08a 1729 2011 .51 .62 .74 .51 .42 .70 .71 .79 .62 .59 .63 2 MB20a 1749 2011 .28A .27B .61 .54 .46 .42 .51 .53 .65 .75 .69 3 MB04a 1734 2011 .52 .55 .74 .77 .58 .41 .55 .58 .63 .64 .54 4 MB06b 1750 2011 .58 .65 .66 .53 .44 .49 .64 .70 .66 .68 5 MB01b 1727 2011 .46 .30B .40 .62 .49 .35 .49 .47 .49 .59 .63 6 MB12a 1775 2011 .55 .49 .47 .66 .71 .58 .66 .77 .77 7 MB09b 1659 2011 .34 .29B .37B .43 .62 .65 .60 .61 .54 .55 .56 .45 .41 .42 8 MB13a 1662 2011 .37 .28A .50 .55 .34 .55 .67 .58 .51 .58 .60 .65 .78 .69 9 MB10b 1714 2011 .51 .33 .60 .69 .60 .44 .52 .66 .58 .54 .50 .47 10 MB02b 1714 2011 .61 .59 .73 .80 .80 .78 .64 .60 .61 .70 .64 .62 11 MB14a 1711 2011 .30B .36 .37 .51 .57 .54 .34B .41 .51 .49 .37 .31B 12 MB15b 1736 2011 .46 .51 .77 .67 .57 .63 .68 .75 .83 .78 .58 13 MB16a 1767 2011 .46 .61 .81 .75 .68 .70 .65 .68 .71 .54 14 MB19b 1659 2011 .29A .29A .33A .18B .34 .57 .54 .45 .53 .68 .66 .64 .72 .78 15 MB18b 1672 2011 .47 .50 .43 .14B .54 .57 .60 .62 .48 .39 .47 .45 .45 .49 16 MB17a 1684 2011 .38 .45 .34 .48 .53 .42 .30A .25A .35 .55 .53 .60 .63 17 MB07a 1662 2011 .31A .45 .61 .60 .57 .59 .44 .41 .52 .22A .33 .58 .53 .55 18 MB11a 1691 2011 .33 .41 .58 .56 .52 .54 .54 .42 .54 .61 .51 .52 .51 19 MB05b 1697 2011 .69 .64 .53 .49 .48 .46 .55 .56 .53 .41 .33A .61 .69 Av segment correlation .36 .40 .47 .43 .50 .61 .59 .53 .50 .55 .57 .58 .61 .59 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Bagley Lakes 14:02 Fri 22 Jun 2018 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 MB08a 1729 2011 283 11 0 .610 1.12 3.21 .589 .795 .229 2.71 .433 -.060 1 2 MB20a 1749 2011 263 11 2 .518 1.24 3.06 .702 .844 .272 2.70 .410 -.017 1 3 MB04a 1734 2011 278 11 0 .579 .81 2.15 .469 .798 .288 2.79 .371 -.049 4 4 MB06b 1750 2011 262 10 0 .585 .84 3.13 .525 .887 .245 2.64 .421 -.039 1 5 MB01b 1727 2011 285 11 1 .472 .78 2.53 .354 .783 .218 2.50 .284 -.020 1 6 MB12a 1775 2011 237 9 0 .611 1.30 4.21 .581 .657 .244 2.74 .458 -.004 1 7 MB09b 1659 2011 353 14 2 .475 .81 2.02 .330 .698 .239 2.49 .253 -.018 7 8 MB13a 1662 2011 350 14 1 .537 1.08 3.15 .368 .678 .228 2.42 .258 -.032 1 9 MB10b 1714 2011 298 12 0 .546 .83 2.10 .487 .913 .199 2.64 .388 -.020 2 10 MB02b 1714 2011 298 12 0 .667 .93 2.22 .307 .575 .230 2.65 .391 -.067 1 11 MB14a 1711 2011 301 12 3 .425 .90 2.38 .361 .735 .216 2.33 .213 -.011 4 12 MB15b 1736 2011 276 11 0 .633 1.52 3.12 .477 .521 .250 2.56 .276 -.008 1 13 MB16a 1767 2011 245 10 0 .589 1.40 3.17 .434 .442 .259 2.49 .363 -.018 1 14 MB19b 1659 2011 353 14 4 .487 .84 1.87 .310 .583 .279 2.57 .351 -.011 1 15 MB18b 1672 2011 340 14 1 .470 1.04 3.07 .414 .672 .268 2.61 .331 -.007 1 16 MB17a 1684 2011 328 13 2 .459 .80 1.89 .316 .446 .341 2.47 .280 -.025 1 17 MB07a 1662 2011 350 14 2 .455 .71 1.51 .230 .440 .265 2.49 .219 -.023 1 18 MB11a 1691 2011 321 13 0 .478 .92 5.13 .647 .858 .237 2.82 .426 -.010 1 19 MB05b 1697 2011 315 13 1 .529 .48 1.93 .307 .707 .377 2.69 .386 -.024 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5736 229 19 .528 .95 5.13 .423 .682 .258 2.82 .338 -.024