Minotaur Lake, Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest, Washington - WA146 Additional Site Information Kailey Marcinkowski, David L. Peterson Measurement type: Total ring width References: Marcinkowski, Kailey W. and Peterson, David L. 2015. A 350-year Reconstruction of the Response of South Cascade Glacier to Interannual and Interdecadal Climatic Variability. Northwest Science, Vol. 89, issue 1, pp. 14-33, https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/journals/pnw_2015_marcinkowski.pdf Marcinkowski, Kailey; Peterson, David L.; Ettl, Gregory J. 2015. Nonstationary temporal response of mountain hemlock growth to climatic variability in the North Cascade Range, Washington, USA. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources, Vol. 45, pp. 676-699. doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2014-0231 Funding Sources: U.S. Geological Survey Global Change Research Program and the University of Washington School of Environmental and Forest Sciences. Contribution of the Western Mountain Initiative COFECHA output: Chronology file name : WA146.CRN Measurement file name : WA146.RWL Date checked : 22JUN18 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1615 Ending year : 2011 Principal investigators: Kailey Marcinkowski David L. Peterson Site name : Minotaur Lake Site location : Washington Species information : TSME MOUNTAIN HEMLOCK Latitude : 4751 Longitude : -12102 Elevation : 1703M Series intercorrelation: 0.528 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.277 Avg standard deviation : 0.318 Avg autocorrelation : 0.681 Number dated series : 18 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 15 Pct problem segments : 7.11 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Mintaur Lake 14:37 Fri 22 Jun 2018 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ML14 1853 2011 .65 .58 .39 .57 .73 .54 2 ML20 1798 2011 .53 .56 .76 .60 .43 .34 .39 .62 .70 3 ML12 1794 2011 .51 .59 .59 .64 .76 .63 .68 .56 .33 4 ML08 1882 2011 .59 .57 .56 .32A .19B 5 ML16 1659 2011 .36 .52 .56 .57 .73 .83 .80 .76 .69 .51 .50 .80 .74 .64 6 ML15 1663 2011 .61 .76 .62 .42 .57 .65 .73 .71 .57 .53 .63 .69 .66 .54 7 ML10 1775 2011 .43 .63 .72 .62 .42 .37 .60 .72 .60 8 ML18 1645 2011 .33A .55 .74 .73 .69 .69 .61 .56 .62 .65 .50 .44 .71 .74 .58 9 ML17 1718 2011 .55 .51 .69 .76 .58 .47 .54 .47 .51 .62 .66 .55 10 ML01 1650 2011 .65 .68 .40 .37B .54 .58 .56 .57 .56 .51 .51 .69 .67 .52 11 ML03 1811 2011 .59 .60 .43 .35 .43 .70 .68 .56 12 ML11 1715 2011 .35 .46 .52 .41 .50 .36 .25A .43 .30A .59 .85 .74 13 ML09 1759 2011 .36 .49 .47 .47 .63 .58 .50 .49 .55 .60 14 ML07 1628 2011 .46 .46 .42 .38 .50 .55 .67 .69 .72 .71 .70 .57 .46 .64 .65 15 ML19 1741 2011 .54 .60 .64 .61 .67 .66 .52 .46 .53 .72 .73 16 ML02 1623 2011 .13B .18A .30A .36 .32A .32B .47 .34 .29B .55 .53 .48 .43 .61 .67 .50 17 ML04 1615 2011 .49 .47 .46 .52 .50 .34 .36 .40 .36 .43 .42B .30B .34 .58 .51 .33 18 ML06 1617 2011 .35 .33 .26A .36 .42 .39 .49 .48 .47 .60 .65 .63 .53 .37 .48 .63 Av segment correlation .32 .36 .46 .54 .48 .46 .55 .55 .56 .60 .58 .52 .47 .59 .64 .55 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Mintaur Lake 14:37 Fri 22 Jun 2018 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ML14 1853 2011 159 6 0 .567 1.18 2.19 .333 .332 .253 2.72 .420 -.029 3 2 ML20 1798 2011 214 9 0 .529 .93 2.09 .353 .673 .241 2.69 .373 -.041 1 3 ML12 1794 2011 218 9 0 .581 1.40 3.53 .594 .653 .281 2.51 .273 .004 1 4 ML08 1882 2011 130 5 2 .445 .97 2.16 .380 .619 .243 2.81 .444 -.049 1 5 ML16 1659 2011 353 14 0 .611 .79 2.03 .291 .522 .316 2.69 .311 -.049 1 6 ML15 1663 2011 349 14 0 .608 .69 1.91 .391 .773 .291 2.47 .275 -.011 1 7 ML10 1775 2011 237 9 0 .539 1.12 2.18 .432 .773 .218 2.56 .340 .026 1 8 ML18 1645 2011 367 15 1 .618 .89 2.32 .412 .669 .307 2.64 .319 -.016 1 9 ML17 1718 2011 294 12 0 .560 .80 2.34 .427 .669 .354 2.62 .344 -.044 1 10 ML01 1650 2011 362 14 1 .550 .77 1.78 .378 .810 .278 2.57 .327 -.024 1 11 ML03 1811 2011 201 8 0 .558 .47 1.02 .195 .710 .236 2.50 .354 -.039 3 12 ML11 1715 2011 297 12 2 .447 .56 1.31 .267 .670 .311 2.44 .288 -.056 1 13 ML09 1759 2011 253 10 0 .491 .65 1.60 .275 .624 .307 2.54 .315 -.030 1 14 ML07 1628 2011 384 15 0 .562 .58 1.65 .247 .657 .267 2.52 .292 -.047 1 15 ML19 1741 2011 271 11 0 .566 .62 1.42 .261 .621 .285 2.57 .262 -.065 1 16 ML02 1623 2011 389 16 6 .405 .51 1.44 .227 .687 .238 2.59 .330 -.020 1 17 ML04 1615 2011 397 16 2 .427 .34 1.46 .187 .825 .262 2.50 .304 -.033 1 18 ML06 1617 2011 395 16 1 .459 .51 2.61 .248 .708 .253 2.97 .379 -.021 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5270 211 15 .528 .72 3.53 .318 .681 .277 2.97 .324 -.030